So it is of some comfort that he has detected a real note of sanity coming out of the German government. As someone who follows the big German press organs, I have been worried about this. Both Der Spiegel and Deutsche Welle have recently published pieces that could have been written by USA State Department neocons. This right-wing gibberish is so shockingly reactionary, I am tempted to re-evaluate my thinking on the effects of a continuing military occupation by USA troops. There are also the questions raised by the thorough spying on the German government by NSA. I mean, why else would the Germans support a Nazi coup in Ukraine to the point where they would be willing to trash their own economy to censor Putin's objections to the new arrangement? I mean, maybe there are real Nazis salted throughout the German government who go home at night humming the Horst Wessel Lied and approve of the hassle being visited upon Putin by ragtag Nazis in Ukraine, but I seriously doubt it.
Putin's economic shot across the bow of EU over agricultural trade was a masterstroke. It woke up Europe to the fact that Russia is still a force on the economic world stage. And since he also let it be known that Russia is quite willing to forego German automobiles, the crazy-talk from Germany is likely to recede fairly quickly. And now come the murmurings that waiting in the wings is Russia's favorite savior, General Winter. It doesn't require a genius to conclude that the BIG economic threat—an oil embargo during a nasty winter—is being discussed in the corridors of the Kremlin.
Of course, the possibility of a few Hungarians freezing to death isn't what is driving the USA foreign policy establishment to concoct these huge lies they keep retailing to a public that absolutely could NOT give a shit about Ukraine. Deep down, I think the real worry is that Putin may just have the skills to unite the peoples of the world who are sick to death of anyone who believes in American Exceptionalism. The number of these aware is likely to be small because it requires that someone in the foreign-affairs establishment must first question the belief that American Exceptionalism is a good thing. Escobar has also written extensively about how far along Putin has come in organizing his economic project to create a world where folks can create their own economies outside of the USA's dominance.
From Minsk to Wales, Germany is the keyRT Pepe Escobar August 28, 2014
The road to the Minsk summit this past Tuesday began to be paved when German Chancellor Angela Merkel talked to ARD public TV after her brief visit to Kiev on Saturday.
Merkel emphasized, “A solution must be found to the Ukraine crisis that does not hurt Russia.”
She added that "There must be dialogue. There can only be a political solution. There won't be a military solution to this conflict.”
Merkel talked about “decentralization” of Ukraine, a definitive deal on gas prices, Ukraine-Russia trade, and even hinted Ukraine is free to join the Russia-promoted Eurasian Union (the EU would never make a “huge conflict” out of it). Exit sanctions; enter sound proposals.
She could not have been more explicit; “We [Germany] want to have good trade relations with Russia as well. We want reasonable relations with Russia. We are depending on one another and there are so many other conflicts in the world where we should work together, so I hope we can make progress”.
The short translation for all this is there won’t be a Nulandistan (after neo-con Victoria ‘F**k the EU’ Nuland), remote-controlled by Washington, and fully financed by the EU. In the real world, what Germany says, the EU follows.
Geopolitically, this also means a huge setback for Washington’s obsessive containment and encirclement of Russia, proceeding in parallel to the ‘pivot to Asia’ (containment and encirclement of China).
It’s the economy, stupid
Ukraine’s economy – now under disaster capitalism intervention – is… well, a disaster. It’s way beyond recession, now in deep depression. Any forthcoming IMF funds serve to pay outstanding bills and feed the (losing) creaking military machine; Kiev is fighting no less than Ukraine’s industrial heartland. Not to mention that the conditions attached to the IMF’s ‘structural adjustment’ are bleeding Ukrainians dry.
Taxes – and budget cuts – are up. The currency, the hryvnya, has plunged 40 percent since early 2014. The banking system is a joke. The notion that the EU will pay Ukraine’s humongous bills is a myth. Germany (which runs the EU) wants a deal. Fast.
The reason is very simple. Germany is growing only 1.5 percent in 2014. Why? Because the Washington-propelled sanction hysteria is hurting German business. Merkel finally got the message. Or at least seems to have.
The first stage towards a lasting deal is energy. This Friday, there’s a key meeting between Russian and EU energy officials in Moscow. And then, later next week, it will be Russian, EU and Ukrainian officials. The EU’s energy commissioner, Gunther Oettinger, who was in Minsk, wants an interim deal to make sure Russian gas flows through Ukraine to Europe in winter. General Winter, once again, wins any war.
Here, essentially, we have the EU – not Russia - telling Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko to stuff his (losing) ‘strategy’ of slow-motion ethnic cleansing of eastern Ukraine.
Moscow has always insisted the Ukraine crisis is a political problem that needs a political solution. Moscow would accept a decentralization solution considering the interests – and language rights - of people in Donetsk, Lugansk, Odessa, Kharkov. Moscow does not encourage secession.
Poroshenko, on the other hand, is your typical Ukrainian oligarch in a dance of oligarchs. Now that he’s on top, he does not want to become road kill. He might, if he relies on ‘support’ by the neo-Nazis of Right Sector and Svoboda, because then there will never be a political solution.
The Empire of Chaos, needless to say, does not want a political solution – with a neutral Ukraine economically tied to both the EU and Russia; economic/trade integration across Eurasia is anathema.
It’s all about NATO
In parallel, every EU diplomat with a conscience – well, they do exist - knows that the non-stop hysteria about the Russian ‘threat’ to Eastern Europe is a Washington-peddled myth designed to boost NATO. Secretary-General Anders ‘Fogh of War’ Rasmussen sounds like a scratched CD.
It’s hardly a secret in Brussels that larger EU powers simply don’t want permanent NATO bases in Eastern Europe. France, Italy and Spain are forcefully against it. Germany is still sitting on the wall, carefully weighing how not to antagonize both Russia and the US. Needless to say, the Anglo-American “special relationship” badly wants the bases, supported by the hysteria unleashed by Poland and the Baltic states – Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania.
So Fogh of War is on a predictable roll, talking “rapid reinforcements”, “reception facilities”, “pre-positioning of supplies, of equipment, preparation of infrastructure, bases, and headquarters” and “a more visible NATO presence.” This graphically proves, once again, that the Empire of Chaos couldn’t give a damn about Ukraine; it’s all about NATO expansion – the key talking point next week at the Wales summit.
The no-holds-barred neoliberal asset-stripping, wild privatization and outright looting of Ukraine, disguised as loans and ‘aid’, is now unstoppable. Yet gobbling up Ukraine’s agriculture and energy potential is not enough for the Empire of Chaos. It wants Crimea back (that future NATO base in Sevastopol…). It wants missile defense deployed in Poland and the Baltics. It would even love regime change in Russia.
And then there’s MH17. If sooner rather than later it is proved the Empire of Chaos fooled Europe into counterproductive sanctions based on the flimsiest ‘evidence’, German public opinion will force Merkel to act accordingly.
Germany was the secret behind the Minsk summit. Let’s see if Germany will also be the secret behind the Wales summit. In the end it’s up to Germany to prevent Cold War 2.0 getting hotter by the day all across Europe. more