Sunday, April 19, 2026

Week-end Wrap – Political Economy – April 19, 2026

Week-end Wrap – Political Economy – April 19, 2026

by Tony Wikrent

War

House rejects resolution to end U.S. war with Iran by one vote

[Drop Site News, April 17, 2026]

The Republican-controlled House voted 213–214 on Thursday to defeat a resolution directing President Donald Trump to withdraw U.S. armed forces from hostilities against Iran, one day after the Senate rejected a similar measure 52–47. Only one Republican, Rep. Thomas Massie (Ky.), broke with his party to support the measure. One Democrat, Rep. Jared Golden (Maine) voted against it; Rep. Warren Davidson (Ohio), who had previously voted to end the war, voted present. The resolution, introduced by Rep. Gregory Meeks (N.Y.), would have required congressional authorization to continue military operations under the War Powers Resolution.

The Iran war’s fertilizer shock is hammering American farmers, and 70% can’t afford what they need for this year’s growing season 

[Fortune, via Naked Capitalism 04-17-2025]

Top oil companies pocketed $30 million per hour in war profits during first month of Iran conflict

[Drop Site News, April 16, 2026]

The world’s top 100 oil and gas companies earned more than $30 million every hour in windfall profits during the first month of the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran, generating an estimated $23 billion in excess earnings in March alone as oil averaged $100 a barrel, according to analysis by Global Witness using Rystad Energy data reported exclusively by the Guardian. Saudi Aramco stands to make an estimated $25.5 billion in war profits in 2026 if the $100 price holds, while ExxonMobil is on track for $11 billion, Chevron $9.2 billion, and Shell $6.8 billion—with three Russian state-linked companies, Gazprom, Rosneft, and Lukoil, projected to collect a combined $23.9 billion, boosting Vladimir Putin’s war chest for the conflict in Ukraine.

Iran used Chinese satellite to monitor and target U.S. bases, leaked documents show

[Drop Site News, April 16, 2026]

Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Aerospace Force acquired a Chinese spy satellite in late 2024 that it used to monitor and help target U.S. military bases across the Middle East during the war, the Financial Times reported Wednesday, citing leaked Iranian military documents confirmed by Fox News. The IRGC purchased the TEE-01B satellite from Chinese company Earth Eye Co for roughly $36.6 million, paid in renminbi, according to the report. Time-stamped coordinate lists, satellite imagery, and orbital analysis show Iranian commanders used the satellite to surveil Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia on March 13, 14, and 15—the same days President Donald Trump confirmed U.S. aircraft at the base had been struck—as well as Muwaffaq Salti Air Base in Jordan, the U.S. Fifth Fleet naval base in Bahrain, and Erbil airport in Iraq around the time of IRGC-claimed strikes on those facilities. China’s Foreign Ministry denied the report, calling it “not true.”

How Much Has the War in Iran Depleted the U.S. Missile Supply?

Garrett M. Graff, April 14, 2026

Trump not violating any law

'He who saves his Country does not violate any Law'

Trump Stuns By Saying ‘I Don’t Know’ When Asked Directly NBC’s Kristen Welker ‘Don’t You Need to Uphold the Constitution?’

Joe DePaolo, May 4th, 2025

Caught in the Crackdown: As Arrests at Anti-ICE Protests Piled Up, Prosecutions Crumbled

A.C. Thompson [ProPublica] and FRONTLINE, and Gabrielle Schonder [FRONTLINE], April 14, 2026

  • Protesters Detained: ProPublica and FRONTLINE found more than 300 people who were arrested during immigration sweeps and accused of crimes like assaulting or interfering with law enforcement.
  • Cases Collapse Under Scrutiny: Over and over, cases against protesters fell apart, often because statements made by the arresting officers were debunked by video footage.
  • Chilling Effect: Experts said arrests, even without convictions, can quash dissent. “I don’t want to be assaulted again. I don’t want to wind up back in federal prison,” a protester said.

DOJ fires US immigration judges who ruled for pro-Palestine activists 

[Jurist News, via Naked Capitalism 04-16-2025]

Luigi-Inspired Arsonist Threatened “Our Way of Life,” Feds Say 

Ken Klippenstein [via Naked Capitalism 04-15-2025]

Oligarchy

The Shocking Secrets of Madison Square Garden’s Surveillance Machine

[Wired, via The Big Picture, April 18, 2026]

Famously vengeful Knicks owner Jim Dolan has long spied on people at his iconic arenas. He has turned MSG into one of the most aggressive private facial-recognition operations in the country, using it to ban critics and lawyers at the door. Private-sector dystopia that most fans never see coming.

[TW: As the classic thinkers of civic republicanism warned, the morbidly rich suffer extreme psychological damage because they lose the capacity for self-discipline, destroying any basis for one of the key components of civic virtue. This happens because the morbidly rich can afford to surround themselves with sycophants who are unwilling to call out the excesses the morbidly rich indulge in. This is why Locke's concept of venerating private property must be forcefully opposed by the civic republican principles of General Welfare and the civic virtue of subordinating private interest to the public good. The preservation of a republic requires that the absence of civic virtue among the most powerful, the morbidly rich, must be countered by the extension of the Constitutional guarantees of individual liberty to the states (which conservatives and the (anti)Republican Party have been and are now contesting), AND private actors such as corporations and the morbidly rich.]

Billionaire Adelson Pours $40 Million To Back GOP—Soros Gives $50 Million To His Democrat PAC 

[Forbes, via Naked Capitalism 04-17-2025]

Felonomics

Mom, Kids, and Nowhere to Go - Family homelessness is spiking just as the Trump administration rolls back social services.

Casey Quinlan, April 13, 2026 [The American Prospect]

GOP Food Stamp Work Requirements Hit Just as Jobs Dry Up

Whitney Curry Wimbish, April 16, 2026 [The American Prospect]

...ALREADY, MILLIONS OF PEOPLE HAVE LOST their SNAP benefits, according to a new tracker that the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities (CBPP) released last Wednesday. The data shows that between July 2025, when Trump signed the mega-bill into law, and December 2025, participation in SNAP dropped in every single state. Nationwide, the program lost 2.5 million people, or 6 percent. The CBPP expects that once Trump’s first round of cuts are fully implemented, four million people will lose some or all of their food stamp benefits....

...A study from Columbia University’s Center on Poverty and Social Policy found that every $1 cut from SNAP costs society between $14 and $20....

The carnage of mainstream neoliberal economics

What, Exactly, Is a Fair Wage?

[Reviewed]: The Wage Standard: What’s Wrong in the Labor Market and How to Fix It
By Arindrajit Dube (Dutton)

Arindrajit Dube has written a lucid, empirically rigorous, and—in the current political climate—audacious book. The Wage Standard marshals decades of labor economics research to make a case that should be obvious but somehow still needs making: Most American workers have been systematically underpaid for the past half-century, not because markets dictated it, but because power did. This argument deserves to be read widely, taken seriously, and debated vigorously. Among other things, it raises questions that progressive advocates for higher minimum wages need to address....

Dube’s detective work in tracing the causes of this divergence is among the book’s startling contributions. He dispatches the usual suspects with care. Technological change and globalization matter, he concedes, but they cannot explain the peculiar magnitude of American inequality relative to that of peer nations that experienced similar shocks without similar outcomes. What ultimately matters, Dube argues, are the institutional arrangements—unions, minimum wages, tight labor markets, and shared workplace norms—that once constrained employer discretion and have since been systematically dismantled....

Among the book’s most important contributions is what Dube calls the “wage standard”—the idea that there is, or ought to be, a societally determined acceptable range of pay for most jobs. This is not simply a technocratic benchmark. It is a claim about democratic agency over economic life. Markets do not simply discover wages the way they discover prices for soybeans. Wages are always already shaped by power—by the relative bargaining strength of employers and workers, by the institutional context in which that bargaining takes place, and by shared social norms about what constitutes fair treatment. If wages are a political and social phenomenon, then setting them is a legitimate exercise of democratic deliberation rather than an interference with neutral market outcomes....

HAWB 1783 - Benjamin Franklin on the Augmentation of Wages Occasioned by the American Revolution - How America Was Built

Tony Wikrent, February 1, 2015 [real-economics.blogspot.com]

[TW: I consider this to be one of the foundational statements of political economy in the philosophy of civic republicanism. But look in the index of any economics textbook today and for the past century, and try to find any reference to Franklin at all.]

Benjamin Franklin’s 1783 essay “Reflections on the Augmentation of Wages, Which Will Be  Occasioned in Europe by the American Revolution,” which was published in Paris in the Journal d Economie Puplique:

"…If the term wages be taken in its widest signification, it will be found that almost all the citizens of a large state receive and pay wages. I shall confine my remarks, however, to one description of wages, the only one with which government should intermeddle, or which requires its care. I mean the wages of the lowest class, those men without property, without capital, who live solely by the labor of their hands. This is always the most numerous class in a state; and consequently, that community cannot be pronounced happy, in which from the lowness and insufficiency of wages, the laboring class procure so scanty a subsistence, that, barely able to provide for their own necessities, they have not the means of marrying and rearing a family, and are reduced to beggary, whenever employment fails them, or age and sickness oblige them to give up work.

"Further, the wages under consideration ought not to be estimated by their amount in money, but by the quantity of provisions, clothing, and other commodities, which the laborer can procure for the money which he receives.

"….The horrible maxim, that the people must be poor, in order that they may remain in subjection, is still held by many persons of hard hearts and perverted understanding, with whom it were useless to contend. Others, again, think that the people should be poor, from a regard for the supposed interests of commerce. They believe that to increase the rate of wages would raise the price of the productions of the soil, and especially of industry, which are sold to foreign nations, and thus that exportation and the profits arising from it would be diminished. But this motive is at once cruel and ill founded.

"….To desire to keep down the rate of wages, with the view of favoring the exportation of merchandise, is to seek to render the citizens of a state miserable, in order that foreigners may purchase its productions at a cheaper rate; it is, at most, attempting to enrich a few merchants by impoverishing the body of the nation; it is taking the part of the stronger in that contest, already so unequal, between the man who can pay wages, and him who is under the necessity of receiving them; it is, in one word, to forget, that the object of every political society ought to be the happiness of the largest number...."

Note that Franklin explicitly states that the wages of the great mass of people is an issue in which the government "should intermeddle." What else can this mean than direct government interference in the "free workings" of the labor market? ....

HAWB 1800s – The Doctrine of High Wages – How America Was Built

Tony Wikrent, April 1, 2016 [DailyKos]

Democracy Is Not a Ballot Box: It Is Control Over What We Produce and Who Owns It 

William Murphy [via Naked Capitalism 04-13-2025]

The mystery variable that explains stubbornly low consumer sentiment 

G. Elliott Morris [via Naked Capitalism 04-14-2025]

A Pillar of the Economics Establishment Admits That It Was Wrong

[The Atlantic, via The Big Picture, April 18, 2026]

The World Bank is quietly reversing decades of free-trade orthodoxy and endorsing industrial policy. A big intellectual concession with real consequences for global investing.

Austerity creates fascism

Cory Doctorow, April 12, 2026 [Pluralistic]

..."Austerity begets fascism" is one of those things that makes a lot of intuitive sense, but it turns out that there's a good empirical basis for believing it. In "Public Service Decline and Support for the Populist Right" four economists from the LSE and Bocconi provide an excellent look at the linkage between austerity and support for fascists:

Public Service Decline and Support for the Populist Right - Evidence from England’s National Health Service (pdf)

Here's how they break it down. Political scientists have assembled a large, reproducible body of evidence to show that "public service provision is crucial to people’s perceptions of their quality of life and living standards." Good public services are the basis for "the social contract between rulers and the ruled" – pay your taxes and obey the laws, and in return, you will be well served.

When public services go wrong, people don't always know who to blame, but they definitely notice that something is going wrong, so when public services fail, people stop trusting the state, and that social contract starts to fray. They start to suspect that elites are lining their pockets rather than managing the system, and they "withdraw their support" for the system.

Fascists thrive in these conditions. Fascists come to power by mobilizing grievances. By choosing a scapegoat, fascists can create support from people who are justifiably furious that the services they rely on have collapsed. So when you can't get shelter, or health care, or elder care, or child care, or an education for your kids, you become a mark for a fascist grifter with a story about "undeserving migrants" who've taken the benefits that should rightly accrue to "deserving natives."....

Health care crisis

How Merck fends off competitors to keep the cost of its blockbuster cancer drug sky-high

[International Consortium of Investigative Journalists, Apr 13, 2026]

...The Cancer Calculus, a yearlong investigation by the International Consortium of Investigative Journalists, sheds new light on how Merck has fended off competitors to keep the price of Keytruda sky-high, locking out patients and squeezing health care systems worldwide....

Predatory finance

Bloomberg’s New Economy Forum and the Five-Month Delay.

[William, via Naked Capitalism 04-17-2025]

...Who Was in the Room

The 7th Bloomberg New Economy Forum convened in Singapore, November 19–21, 2025. Theme: "Thriving in an Age of Extremes."

The co-chairs: Gina Raimondo, former U.S. Commerce Secretary. Mario Draghi, former Italian Prime Minister and former President of the European Central Bank. Gan Kim Yong, Deputy Prime Minister of Singapore.

Read those names again. The person who ran American commercial policy. The person who ran European monetary policy. And the person who runs the trade ministry of Southeast Asia's financial capital.

Around them: the CEO of HSBC — the bank that is the plumbing for East-West capital flows. The Chair and CEO of Nasdaq. The COO of Google DeepMind. The CEO of GIC, Singapore's sovereign wealth fund. The Global Chairman of PwC. Former UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak. Former U.S. Deputy National Security Advisor Jonathan Finer. Former Indonesian President Joko Widodo. The Prime Ministers of Singapore and Greece.

Five hundred delegates. Fifty countries. Invitation only.

That's not a conference. That's a coordination meeting....

Wall Street banks start trading derivatives to bet on pain in private credit 

[FT, via Naked Capitalism 04-17-2025]

The Financial Product That Blew Up the Global Economy Is Back

Logan McMillen, April 17, 2026 [The New Republic]

As if the economy isn’t already in enough chaos, the banks are reviving credit default swaps.

They’re not capitalists — they’re predatory criminals

The Man Whom Exxon Tried To Drill

Chris Walker, Apr 16, 2026 [The Lever]

After years of using shareholder votes to pressure oil giants on climate, one activist triggered a corporate backlash that is reshaping the limits of investor power....

...in December 2023, Van Baal’s Dutch nonprofit, Follow This, along with a U.S.-based activist investor group, Arjuna Capital, used their limited ownership of Exxon stock to submit a shareholder resolution asking the oil giant to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. 

Now the corporation had responded by suing its own shareholders — simply for proposing a nonbinding resolution. Van Baal had never heard of such a move. 

The next morning, the nonprofit decided to fight back. In a press release, Follow This declared, “Exxon Mobil is afraid of its shareholders.”

What Van Baal could not yet see was just how aggressively Exxon would dig in — or just how far the shock waves would spread. 

Over the next two years, the lawsuit would send a chill throughout the investment world. Asset managers that once supported climate-related resolutions would all but retreat from the tactic. Climate reformers would be called to the mat on Capitol Hill. One by one, small shareholders fell silent — first in the United States, and then in Europe....

Bitcoin Gets A Dark Money-Backed Assist In Congress

Veronica Riccobene, Apr 13, 2026 [The Lever]

Bitcoin’s secret backers celebrate a bonanza. A dark money pro-cryptocurrency influence group with deep ties to Trumpworld is lauding a new Senate bill codifying President Trump’s plans for a crypto-boosting strategic Bitcoin reserve and onshoring Bitcoin mining. The Lever’s Freddy Brewster reports that the Satoshi Action Fund — a 501(c)(4) group that does not disclose its donors — has shared top personnel with the Koch network of right-wing think tanks and dark money nonprofits. That includes the Heritage Foundation, which published the Project 2025 plan to overhaul the government under Trump. An executive with the pro-Bitcoin group even wrote the Project 2025 chapter on dismantling the Environmental Protection Agency.

A federal Bitcoin stockpile could boost the crypto token’s value to nearly $1 million a token, more than 10 times its current value  —  a massive giveaway to the largest Bitcoin owners, two percent of whom own more than 90 percent of all of the currency in circulation.

The new bill was co-introduced by Sen. Cynthia Lummis (R-Wyo.), who is not seeking reelection after serving a sole term as a senator, during which she bestowed the title of “the Senate’s first and finest bitcoiner.”

Organic Intellectuals and Toilet-Paper Fire 

[Un-Diplomatic, via Naked Capitalism 04-14-2025]

[Yves Smoth: "A must read. I am surprised this sort of thing has been so long in coming."]

...The toilet paper warehouse was owned by a firm called Kimberly-Clark, which produces toilet paper, Huggies, Kleenex, Q-Tips, Depends, and on and on. Last November, Kimberley-Clark committed $40 billion to acquire Kenvue, a similar health-products company, promising in the same press statement to reduce its 22k-person workforce by 3.5%.

Last month, workers filed a case with the National Labor Relations Board accusing Kimberly-Clark of refusing to bargain with unions. In 2018, a global trade union meeting publicly condemned Kimberley-Clark for “heavy-handed tactics,” cutting worker jobs, and closing plants without prior consultation. Since 2000, the company has had to pay $81 million in penalties for labor-law violations.

My point is that the company generates huge profits from low-margin products, it has a history of immiserating the labor that produces its surpluses, and its current strategy sees it simultaneously 1) refusing to bargain with workers, 2) cutting jobs, and 3) nevertheless mobilizing $40 billion to acquire another profit center for its business.

This is all normal capitalism shit! But it’s not happening in a vacuum. Ever heard of the K-shaped economy? Since the dawning of the neoliberal era in the 1970s, capital’s share of national income has grown at the expense of labor’s share of national income. Many scholars have pronounced neoliberalism a dead doctrine since 2020, but the share of income going to workers is at its lowest in 50+ years....

A Retrospective on Bidenomics

Ryan Cooper, April 7, 2026 [The American Prospect]

...Third and perhaps most importantly, the American people absolutely despise inflation. Much as it might pain me and other leftists to admit it, this is a nation that principally identifies as consumers, not workers. Any future president must keep that fact at front of mind for the foreseeable future....


Restoring balance to the economy

On Tax Day, Mamdani Taxed the Rich

Whitney Curry Wimbish, April 16, 2026 [The American Prospect]

The mayor, his supporters, and public opinion convinced their previously reluctant governor to agree to a tax on the second (or third, fourth, fifth, etc.) homes of their city’s nonresident rich.

As Mexico Enacts Universal Healthcare, Advocate Says Insurers’ ‘Stranglehold’ Is Moving US in ‘Opposite Direction’ 

[Scheerpost, via Naked Capitalism 04-12-2025]

Jury finds Live Nation and Ticketmaster held illegal monopoly over concert venues

[Drop Site News, April 16, 2026]

A New York jury found Wednesday that Live Nation Entertainment and its Ticketmaster subsidiary maintained an illegal anticompetitive monopoly over large concert venues, ruling in favor of a lawsuit brought by dozens of states after four days of deliberation. The jury found that Ticketmaster’s anticompetitive practices caused concertgoers in 22 states to overpay by $1.72 per ticket—a figure that could result in hundreds of millions of dollars in damages once trebled, though Live Nation estimated the aggregate single damages figure would fall below $150 million. The penalty phase, including potential divestiture of venues such as amphitheaters, will be decided by the judge in a separate proceeding.

Live Nation Verdict Serves as a Warning

David Dayen, April 16, 2026 [The American Prospect]

Companies thought they could get away with anything while Donald Trump was in office. But today they have a new problem: state attorneys general, and juries full of ordinary Americans....

But the impact of this will not just end with Live Nation. The pay-to-play system set up by the Trump administration made a merger or monopolization just a matter of giving a few million dollars to the right lobbyists. There has been a burst of concentration throughout economic sectors in the last year, as the C-suites realize the corrupt nature of the regulatory environment. Some truly absurd notions, like a merger between United and American Airlines, have been floated.

That gambit is probably over, or at least significantly hobbled. State AGs have already signaled that they’re likely to take more actions. They are working to block the Nexstar-Tegna merger and will probably try to block the merger between Paramount and Warner Bros., on the back of growing public support in Hollywood. Every company thinking about using their market power or joining up with a competitor will have to think about the fact that, even if they have the means to buy off the Trump administration, they might run afoul of the states. That’s a new piece of information that their consultants and advisers will have to tell them. And it will create a chilling effect on the continued narrowing of who benefits in the economy.

Resounding Verdict! Jury Finds the Live Nation-Ticketmaster Monopoly Illegal on All Claims 

[Big Tech on Trial, via Naked Capitalism 04-17-2025]

The Case For Public Factories

Ganesh Sitaraman, Joel Dodge, and Vanderbilt Policy Accelerator, April 16, 2026

The United States has entered an era of short supply: in recent years, Americans have faced episodic shortages in semiconductors and other critical goods during COVID-19 shutdowns, energy price shocks following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and now again energy supply disruptions caused by the war with Iran. We have also faced chronic shortages stemming from our failure to build enough housing, our struggle to build out clean energy infrastructure, and our loss of production capacity for shipbuilding, rare earth magnets, and other strategic goods to China and other countries....

In a new paper, we propose an addition to that toolkit: public factories. Public factories are just that: government-owned production facilities that exist to provide (or expand) the supply of important goods. We argue that public factories can provide policymakers with an additional powerful and flexible tool to address some of our most urgent challenges. In a separate white paper, one of us (Dodge) illustrates one type of challenge public factories could address: the need to secure supply chains for critical energy components like batteries and transformers....

In the defense sector, public factories pre-date the Republic, with the Continental Congress encouraging states to create their own munitions factories during the Revolutionary War. After the war, President George Washington and Secretary of the Treasury Alexander Hamilton successfully advocated for the creation of armories—government-owned weapons factories—in the 1790s to reduce the military’s dependence on lackluster private production and risky foreign supply chains. During World War II, the government built and owned the vast majority of new industrial plants needed for military mobilization, the arsenal – and industry – needed for democracy to defeat fascism.

[TW: Sitaraman and Dodge fail to emphasize how government programs were responsible for almost all the major technological advances which created the modern industrial mass-production economy:

How America Was Built - LQD - New England Machine Tools

Tony Wikrent, May 14, 2012 [real-economics.blogspot.com]

The following excerpt is from an article by industrial historian Merritt Roe Smith, “New England Industry and the Federal Government,” in Engines of Enterprise: An Economic History of New England, edited by Peter Temin, Harvard University Press, 2000. Smith is also author of a number of classic studies of the machine tool industry.

Smith argues that "there were moments during the nineteenth century when government action made an enormous difference to the development of the market economy," and traces the development of the metal working machine tool industry to prove his point....

"Historians of technology long have known that a number of fundamentally new machine-tool designs—for milling machines, forging machines, edging machines, and turret lathes, to name but four of the most important—first appeared in the firearms industry and that their inventors held contracts with the War Department. We also know that a number of the most important designs (like Simeon North’s plain milling machine of 1816-1817) were never patented and those that were (like John H. Hall's drop forging equipment) quickly made their way into armories, machine shops, and technically related manufacturing operations around the country without any royalties being paid to the inventors. This was so because the War Department, at the behest of the U.S. Army Ordinance Bureau, which oversaw the contract system, insisted that if private arms makers wished to continue as government contractors, they had to share their inventions and improvements on a royalty-free basis with the government-owned national armories at Springfield and at Harpers Ferry, Virginia. The national armories, in turn, made the new technology readily available to all comers. Virtually anyone who was interested and had a proper letter of introduction (which was easily obtained from one’s congressman) could visit the national armories at Springfield and Harpers Ferry, make drawings of interesting designs, and, in some cases, even borrow patterns from the armory machine shops for a particular machine or a complete set of machinery. As a result, the new technology quickly filtered out into the larger economy."


How America was Built - LQD - New England Machine Tools, continued

Tony Wikrent, May 17, 2012 [real-economics.blogspot.com]

...from Peter Temin’s paper, “The Industrialization of New England, 1830-1880,” in Engines of Enterprise: An Economic History of New England, edited by Temin, Harvard University Press, 2000:

"The American System of Manufactures, based on the use of interchangeable parts, made it possible for Americans to produce light manufactures in volumes and at prices unattainable in England….

"The American System did not, however, emerge from the private economy. It began in arms production, at U.S. government armories....

"Solutions to technical problems were shared by the managers the host plant in the expectation that they would be treated similarly in a visit they would make. This reciprocity was the key to the fellowship of machinery managers and a potent force for the dissemination of knowledge. The open-door policy was common practice among machinery firms in the later nineteenth century, and violations of the custom were criticized in the trade press the same way a lack of hospitality was scorned in many traditional cultures...."

Why would these nineteenth century machinists, striving to build their own companies in a brand new industry, be so willing to share trade secrets with their competitors? Such behavior obviously violates the selfish impulses of the "invisible hand" that is so much in favor among professional economists, and has been raised to the level of religious faith by such unthinking ideologues as Lawrence Kudlow. The answer is to be found in the idea of public virtue, which I have been trying to promote the past year or so, after reading  Bernard Bailyn's crucial The Ideological Origins of the American Revolution.John Kasson ably summarizes the point in his 1976 book, Civilizing the Machine: Technology and Republican Values in America, 1776-1900 (New York, NY: Grossman Publishers): 

"The questions of the introduction of domestic manufactures and the role that labor-saving machines might play in American life were considered not as isolated economic issues but as matters affecting the entire character of society. No doubt profit motives existed, but would-be manufacturers had to make cogent arguments which addressed broader ideological concerns. “In addition to asking “How much will it pay?” they had to consider as well, ”How will it advance the cause of republicanism?” The question was not rhetorical – not at this time at least."

Any school of economics that believes markets are the sum total of untold millions of individuals pursuing their own self-interest, simply cannot understand or explain political economy that includes some of the more noble characteristics of humanity, such as a desire to improve and strengthen one's community and nation. 

Creating new economic potential - science and technology

A New Eye Opens at the Top of the World

[Universe Today, via Naked Capitalism 04-16-2025]

...at an altitude of 18,400 feet above sea level! The summit of Cerro Chajnantor in Chile's Atacama Desert is higher than the Everest base camp, in air so thin that every visitor must carry supplemental oxygen and pass a medical examination before being allowed up. The road to the top is unpaved, the weather brutal, and the temperature unforgiving. And yet, on April 9th, more than a hundred scientists, engineers and dignitaries made the ascent to celebrate the inauguration of the Fred Young Submillimeter Telescope (otherwise known as FYST, pronounced “feast”) and it’s a 6 metre instrument that has been three decades in the making.

The altitude is not an accident however. Submillimeter light, wavelengths shorter than a millimetre, sit between infrared and radio waves on the electromagnetic spectrum and are almost completely absorbed by water vapour in the atmosphere before it can reach instruments on the ground. The Atacama Desert is one of the driest places on Earth, and at nearly 5,600 metres the air above Cerro Chajnantor is exceptionally thin and dry. It is, quite simply, one of the best places on the planet to observe at these wavelengths and FYST has been designed to exploit that advantage to the fullest.

The telescope is built for speed. Its innovative Crossed-Dragone optical design (two mirrors are tilted at angles to each other rather than aligned along a single axis, eliminating obstructions and delivering exceptionally clean images across a wide field) allows it to sweep large areas of sky rapidly in each exposure. Its primary instrument, Prime Cam, can hold up to seven interchangeable detector modules and will field over 100,000 superconducting detectors giving it a mapping speed more than ten times faster than any previous submillimeter observatory. That makes FYST less like a traditional telescope pointed at individual targets and more like a celestial movie camera, building up deep, wide surveys of the sky in a part of the spectrum that has never been systematically filmed before....

Scientists Grow Electronics Inside the Brains of Living Mice 

[Singularity Hub, via Naked Capitalism 04-16-2025]

A single shot transforms the mice’s brains into biomanufacturing machines. Blood proteins churn the injected chemicals into a soft, flexible electrode mesh that seamlessly wraps around delicate neurons. Pulses of light aimed at the mesh quiet hyperactive cells. All the while, the mice go about their merry ways, with no inkling they’ve been turned into cyborgs.

This science fiction-like invention is the brainchild of Purdue University scientists seeking to reimagine brain implants....

Physical economy

Why Diesel Prices Surge Faster Than Gasoline in Every Energy Crisis

Robert Rapier - Apr 17, 2026 [Oilprice.com]

The Iran War Is Hitting California Harder Than Any Other State - California imports roughly 75% of its crude oil, almost one-third of which comes from the Middle East.

[Wall Street Journal, via The Big Picture, April 14, 2026]

Information age dystopia / surveillance state

Georgia's voting technology blunder

Cory Doctorow, April 18, 2026 [Pluralistic]

[TW: A highly misleading headline. What Doctorow provides here is an eye-popping eye-witness account of how voting machine manufacturers abused the legal process to silence critics.]

...Diebold – one of the leaders in the cartel – knew that its voting machines were defective. They'd crash, lose their vote-counts and malfunction in other ways that were equally damaging to election integrity.

This was an alarming piece of news, but perhaps just as alarming is the way it came to light. A Diebold employee described this situation in a memo that was subsequently hacked and dumped by parties unknown. That memo, along with the accompanying tranche of extremely alarming revelations about Diebold's voting machine division, was the subject of one of the first mass-censorship copyright campaigns in internet history.

Diebold didn't dispute the veracity of these damning revelations: rather, it claimed that since the memos detailing its gross democracy-endangering misconduct had been prepared by an employee, that they were therefore works-made-for-hire whose copyright was held by Diebold, and thus anyone who reproduced the memo was infringing on the company's copyright.

Under Section 512 of the then-new Digital Millennium Copyright Act, Diebold was empowered to send "takedown notices" to the web hosting providers whose users had posted the memos, and if the web hosts didn't remove the content "expeditiously," they would be jointly liable for any eventual copyright damages, which are statutorily set at $150,000 per infringement.

Every web host folded. No one wanted to take the risk of tens of millions of dollars in statutory damages....

OpenAI Staffers Horrified When Senior Leadership Hatched “Insane” Plan to Pit World Governments Against Each Other - "It worked for nuclear weapons, why not AI?"

[Futurism, via Naked Capitalism 04-14-2025]

They Cloned Her Voice, Then Claimed Her Songs -- AI Music Scams Are Using Copyright Law as a Weapon Against Real Artists

[Vinyl Culture and Chinmaya Srivastava, Apr 12, 2026, via Naked Capitalism 04-15-2025]

Vydia (the same distributor used to upload the AI fakes) then filed copyright claims against Campbell’s original YouTube videos. The very videos the AI had been trained on. YouTube’s automated Content ID system does not use humans to review initial claims. It treats the first entity to register a song as the rightful owner, an assumption that held when creating music required human effort, but shatters completely when AI can produce a synthetic clone of any artist’s catalogue in seconds.

Conservative / Libertarian / (anti)Republican Drive to Civil War

Pete Hegseth Nailed It. No Really.

Josh Marshall, April 18, 2026 [Talking Points Memo]

You’ve probably seen the story about how, at a DOD presentation, Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth quoted what he apparently thought was a bible verse but was in fact the faux biblicalism delivered by Samuel L. Jackson’s character, Jules Winnfield, in Pulp Fiction. There’s a lot here. Yes, the faux godly Hegseth should really be a bit more versed in the bible. But it’s really perfectly apt that he’s not. If you remember, Winnfield is a hitman, a killer, a man of meaningless violence. He wraps his murders in stylized bible verse imitations to give them some mix of giving them retributional ooomph and just for kicks. Is there any better description of Pete Hegseth? I can’t think of one. Hegseth’s brand of Christian nationalism is a permission structure for domination and violence.... 

The Far-Right Plot to Hijack the Constitution — and How to Stop It

Dr. Paul Zeitz, Apr 16, 2026

A small, well-funded network is using the real $39 trillion debt as cover to rewrite our founding document. Here’s how the cross-partisan pro-democracy coalition must respond.

On March 18, 2026, the U.S. House voted 211 to 207 to advance a Balanced Budget Amendment — short of the two-thirds needed to pass. The same day, the national debt crossed $39 trillion, roughly 125 percent of GDP. A day later, the Trump administration announced it would seek up to $200 billion more for its war against Iran.

The fiscal alarm is warranted. And that is what makes this moment so dangerous — because a small, well-funded network is using that alarm as cover for a plan to rewrite the Constitution itself and lock Project 2025 into it permanently. If they succeed, the changes could not be reversed by any future election, Congress, or Supreme Court....

A parallel grassroots track has been running for over a decade under Convention of States Action, led by Tea Party co-founder Mark Meckler. Their resolution is not limited to the debt. It calls for a convention to “limit the power and jurisdiction of the federal government” — language so broad it can mean almost anything.

As of 2026, the Convention of States resolution has passed in twenty state legislatures, with Kansas the newest. Fourteen more states are considering it this year, including Ohio, Pennsylvania, Massachusetts, Illinois, and Washington. Trump regime cabinet endorsers include Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth and Secretary of State Marco Rubio. The Heritage Foundation — author of Project 2025 — has formally endorsed the Article V convention push....


The South Rises Again

History rhymes....

Heather Cox Richardson, Apr 14, 2026, Letters from an American, April 13, 2026

...Before Trump won the presidency in 2016, the modern-day Republican Party was well on its way to endorsing oligarchy. It had followed the usual U.S. historical pattern to that point. In the 1850s, 1890s, 1920s, and then again in the modern era, wealthy people had come around to the idea that society worked best if a few wealthy men ran everything.

Although those people had been represented by the Democrats in the 1850s and the Republicans in the 1890s, 1920s, and 2000s, they had gotten there in the same way: first a popular movement had demanded that the government protect equality of opportunity and equal justice before the law for those who had previously not had either, and that popular pressure had significantly expanded rights.

Then, in reaction, wealthier Americans began to argue that the expansion of rights threatened to take away their liberty to run their enterprises as they wished. To tamp down the expansion of rights, they appealed to the racism of the poorer white male voters whose votes they needed to maintain control of the government, telling them that legislation to protect equal rights was a plan to turn the government over to Black or Brown Americans, or immigrants from southern Europe or Asia, who would use their voting power to redistribute wealth.

The idea that poor men of color voting meant socialism resonated with white voters, who turned against the government’s protecting equal rights and instead supported a government that favored men of property. As wealth moved upward, popular culture championed economic leaders as true heroes, and lawmakers suppressed voting in order to “redeem” American society from “socialists” who wanted to redistribute wealth. Capital moved upward until a very few people controlled most of it, and then, usually after an economic crash made ordinary Americans turn against the system that favored the wealthy, the cycle began again.

When Trump was elected, the U.S. was at the place where wealth had concentrated among the top 1%, Republican politicians denigrated their opponents as un-American “takers” and celebrated economic leaders as “makers,” and the process of skewing the vote through gerrymandering and voter suppression was well underway. Republican leaders wanted a small government that kept taxes low and left business to do what it wished, but they still valued the rule of law and the rules-based international order....

The (anti)Federalist Society assault on the Constitution

Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas blasts progressivism as threat to America

Devin Dwyer, ABC News [via newsletter.scotusblog.com, Apr 17, 2026]

Justice Clarence Thomas spoke on Wednesday at a University of Texas Austin Law School event tied to America’s founding 250 years ago. During his remarks, Thomas criticized the political philosophy of progressivism, presenting it as an existential threat, according to ABC News. “Progressivism seeks to replace the basic premises of the Declaration of Independence and hence our form of government,” he said. “Thomas said Washington has been overrun by elected and appointed officials who lack commitment to ‘righteous cause, to traditional morality, to national defense, to free enterprise, to religious piety or to the original meaning of the Constitution.’”



Clarence Thomas Can’t Get American History Right

Matt Ford, April 17, 2026 [The New Republic]

This year marks the 250th anniversary of the nation’s independence. Justice Clarence Thomas, the senior-most member of the Supreme Court, sought to honor that historic milestone this week by denouncing millions of his fellow Americans and claiming that their views were incompatible with the Declaration of Independence’s ideals. In doing so, he only demonstrated his profound ignorance of this nation’s history, as well as his own personal flaws.

Thomas’s roughly hour-long speech on Wednesday at the University of Texas at Austin Law School ....

Clarence Thomas alone is devoted to the Declaration’s principles in Washington, says Clarence Thomas, and the problem is only getting worse. “As we meet today, it is unclear whether these principles will endure,” the justice warned. “At the beginning of the twentieth century, a new set of first principles of government was introduced into the American mainstream. The proponents of this new set of first principles, most prominently among them the twenty-eighth president, Woodrow Wilson, called it progressivism.

“Since Wilson’s presidency, progressivism has made many inroads in our system of government and our way of life,” Thomas continued. “It has coexisted uneasily with the principles of the Declaration. Because it is opposed to those principles, it is not possible for the two to coexist forever.”

Thomas is correct that progressivism was introduced around the turn of the twentieth century, that Woodrow Wilson was the twenty-eighth president, and that Wilson was a progressive. The historical accuracy ends there. Presenting Wilson as the inventor of progressivism is historically illiterate, akin to saying that Joseph Stalin invented communism or that Ronald Reagan invented conservatism.

In reality, the Progressive era emerged in the 1890s from the corruption and excesses of the Gilded Age. A broad range of activists, journalists, legislators, and judges challenged the societal ills that had emerged from the nation’s rapid industrialization. Arrayed against them were corrupt party machines in the big cities and corporate tycoons that had concentrated wealth in the form of trusts and monopolies. Progressivism consisted of multiple movements, some overlapping and some not. To say that progressives in general sought to lay out a “new set of first principles” that would replace the Declaration’s principles is baseless....

Is Corruption No Longer A Crime? A little-noticed Supreme Court ruling may be sending a message.

David Sirota, April 13, 2026 [The Lever]

In an easy-to-miss two-line order in its shadow docket, the U.S. Supreme Court just vacated the corruption conviction of a local official, raising a question: Will the kind of influence peddling that’s now ubiquitous in politics eventually end up being explicitly deemed unprosecutable simply because it’s so ubiquitous? ....

For those of us who believe money in politics is a big problem, what’s notable is that the high court has sided with the particular legal argument made by Sittenfeld’s lawyer, a former Trump official now at one of America’s most Trumpy law firms.

In Sittenfeld’s petition, his legal team cast politicians soliciting money from big donors doing government business as the same as politicians asking for support from grassroots donors who support their broader agenda. From there flowed their argument that juries fed up with corruption cannot be allowed to convict politicians who accept large sums of money in exchange for government favors....

But then, Sittenfeld’s lawyers — and perhaps the Supreme Court — don’t seem to see money’s influence on politics as a problem. They seem to see transactions between donors and politicians as an integral part of democracy. Indeed, Sittenfeld’s petition insisted that “campaign solicitations are the lifeblood of our representative democracy.”

Read that over and over again, and you realize how problematic that argument is. The process of politicians begging for cash from donors undermines representative democracy by encouraging them to disproportionately represent the interests of a handful of donors rather than their whole constituencies. And yet we’re told that the process is the “lifeblood of our representative democracy.” It’s Orwellian....

The Inside Story of Five Days That Remade the Supreme Court - Secret memos obtained by The New York Times illuminate the origins of the court’s now-routine “shadow docket” rulings on presidential power.

Jodi Kantor and Adam Liptak, April 18, 2026 [New York Times]

Just after 6 p.m. on a February evening in 2016, the Supreme Court issued a cryptic, one paragraph ruling that sent both climate policy and the court itself spinning in new directions.... By a 5-to-4 vote along partisan lines, the order halted President Barack Obama’s Clean Power Plan, his signature environmental policy. They acted before any other court had addressed the plan’s lawfulness. The decision consisted of only legal boilerplate, without a word of reasoning.

At the time, the ruling seemed like a curious one-off. But that single paragraph turned out to be a sharp and lasting break. That night marks the birth, many legal experts believe, of the court’s modern “shadow docket,” the secretive track that the Supreme Court has since used to make many major decisions, including granting President Trump more than 20 key victories on issues from immigration to agency power....

The New York Times has obtained those papers and is now publishing them, bringing the origins of the Supreme Court’s shadow docket into the light.

The 16 pages of memos, exchanged in a five-day dash, provide an extraordinarily rare window into the court, showing how the justices talk to one another outside of public view....

In public, Chief Justice John G. Roberts Jr. has cultivated a reputation for care and caution. The papers reveal a different side of him. At a critical moment for the country and the court, the papers show, he acted as a bulldozer in pushing to stop Mr. Obama’s plan to address the global climate crisis.

When colleagues warned the chief justice that he was proposing an unprecedented move, he was dismissive. “I recognize that the posture of this stay request is not typical,” he wrote. But he argued that the Obama plan, which aimed to regulate coal-fired plants, was “the most expensive regulation ever imposed on the power sector,” and too big, costly and consequential for the court not to act immediately.

In the Trump era, he and the other conservative justices have repeatedly empowered the president through their shadow docket rulings. By contrast, the papers reveal a court wielding those same powers to block Mr. Obama. Justice Samuel A. Alito Jr. warned that if the court failed to stop the president, its own “institutional legitimacy” would be threatened....

Civic republicanism

When Leaders Should Resign - A necessary corrective to a very sick public culture and recovery of a lost virtue.

Mike Brock, Apr 16, 2026 [Notes from the Circus]

...There is a concept in public life that has almost entirely disappeared, and its disappearance explains more about the current crisis than most of the things we spend our time arguing about. The concept is this: the seat does not belong to you.

If you hold public office, the authority you exercise belongs to the people who granted it. If you sit in the C-suite, the fiduciary duty you carry belongs to the shareholders, the employees, the customers whose lives are entangled with the institution you lead. If you command a military unit, the loyalty you receive is owed to the mission and the people who serve under you. In every case, the position exists to serve interests that are not your own. You are a steward. You were entrusted with something. The moment your presence in the seat becomes a distraction from the purpose of the seat, you have an obligation to leave it.

This is not punishment. It is the basic condition of the job....

Taibbi’s error, and it is an error shared by an entire cottage industry of writers who built their brands as counter-warriors to the #MeToo movement, is a category mistake. They treat resignation as though it exists on the same continuum as criminal conviction — as though leaving office is a penalty that requires the same evidentiary standard as a prison sentence. It does not. These are different institutions answering different questions. The court asks: did this person commit a crime, and can it be proven beyond a reasonable doubt? The office asks: can this person continue to serve the interests they were entrusted to protect?

A politician embroiled in public scandal is not effectively representing the people who elected them. A CEO at the center of a months-long media firestorm is not effectively leading the company. A university president who has become the story is not effectively running the university. This is true whether the allegations are proven, unproven, or even false. The distraction is the point. The inability to fulfill the purpose of the seat is the point. The seat was never about you.

If you are falsely accused, and the accusation becomes an unmanageable public spectacle, this is of course unfair to you. Genuinely, humanly unfair. And you have remedies for that unfairness. You have defamation suits. You have civil courts. You have a legal system designed to adjudicate exactly this kind of injury. What you do not have is the right to hold the seat hostage while you fight your personal battle, consuming the attention and resources and institutional credibility that belong to the people the seat was built to serve.

That is what lawsuits are for. That is what courts are for. And a leader who cannot distinguish between their personal interest in vindication and their institutional obligation to the people they serve is no leader at all....

A Historian Spent 30 Years Interviewing Nazis. He Identified 12 Warning Signs of Fascism. All 12 Are Present in America Right Now

[Uncensored Objection, via The Big Picture, April 12, 2026]

Three decades of interviews with actual Nazis distilled into a 12-point checklist. Spoiler: the checklist is fully checked. Read it and decide for yourself.

Sunday, April 12, 2026

Week-end Wrap – Political Economy – April 12, 2026

Week-end Wrap – Political Economy – April 12, 2026

by Tony Wikrent


“A curtain of darkness is settling over our nation.”

Heather Cox Richardson, Apr 11, 2026 [Letters from an American, April 10, 2026]

It feels like something shifted in the United States this week after President Donald J. Trump threatened on Tuesday that “a whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again.” As professor of human rights, global affairs, and philosophy Mathias Risse of Harvard University’s Kennedy School noted, the Geneva Conventions prohibit “acts or threats of violence whose primary purpose is to terrorize civilians.” He notes that Trump’s threat terrorized 90 million Iranians by threatening them with genocide.


Killing History — DOJ’s Office of Legal Counsel (OLC) declares the Presidential Records Act unconstitutional

Joyce Vance, Apr 08, 2026 [Civil Discourse]

...“You have asked,” it begins, “whether the Presidential Records Act of 1978 (“PRA” or “Act”) is constitutional.” The answer follows immediately: “We conclude that it is not.” There are two reasons, either of which, standing on its own, would have been sufficient to undo the PRA. The opinion explains that they are “interlocking.” The Act “exceeds Congress’s enumerated and implied powers”, and it also “aggrandizes the Legislative Branch at the expense of the constitutional independence and autonomy of the Executive.” In other words, we’re watching another power grab by this administration, a stratagem to expand the power of the executive at the expense of Congress, while claiming it’s the other way around….

[TW: I hope readers who have been here long enough will remember that in the past few years I often linked to law journal and scholarly articles debunking the conservative arguments about “enumerated” powers:


Donald Trump's Plan To Steal Or Destroy Everything — We should assume it's underway, starting with the Epstein files.

Brian Beutler, Apr 10, 2026 [Off Message]

Donald Trump now claims to own all of his presidential records. To be more precise, his Justice Department’s Office of Legal Counsel, which interprets law for the entire executive branch, recently opined that the Presidential Records Act is unconstitutional, and thus that any government documents that cross the president’s desk, or pertain to his work, are his to keep, unless he chooses to leave them with the National Archives….

This is bullshit because the president works for the public, not the other way around; he is no more entitled to make off with our documents than you’re entitled to charge a Ferrari to the company credit card….

...And we should suspect the worst, because this action only really makes sense as a fabricated legal defense against actions Trump and his subordinates have already taken or intend to take imminently. There was no reason for Trump to do this unless he means to make off with or destroy a large number of incriminating or valuable public records in short order—not merely at the end of his term. If Trump had sincere, above board motives, he could have challenged the Presidential Records Act in court directly, rather than make a lawless assertion of power and wait for litigants and judges to stop him. The reason an administration of such low character would do this now, years before Trump leaves office, is to begin the process of burying or destroying or privatizing records right away—many months before Democrats regain control of Congress….


Trump's New Attempt To Keep You From Voting

Joyce Vance, Apr 06, 2026 [Civil Discourse]

Last Tuesday, Donald Trump signed a new executive order designed, to put it simply, to make it more difficult for us to vote.


War

Yes, Trump Might Use Nukes in Iran

Andrew Day, Apr 7, 2026 [www.defenddemocracy.press]

...Maybe these statements were just bluster, maybe not. Regardless, if Tehran doesn’t budge, Trump will feel pressure to follow through and turn Iran into an apocalyptic hellscape before tomorrow morning.


Moreover, Trump doesn’t seem to have internalized the “nuclear taboo,” the idea that strategic planners consider the nuclear option illegitimate and uncomfortable to even contemplate. Joe Scarborough of MSNBC reported during the 2016 presidential race that Trump had questioned a foreign policy adviser about the impermissibility of using nuclear weapons. “Three times he asked at one point, if we had them, why can’t we use them,” Scarborough said.

Trump: First of all, you don’t want to say, “Take everything off the table,” because you’d be a bad negotiator if you did that.

Matthews: Just nuclear.

Trump: Look, nuclear should be off the table. But would there be a time when it could be used? Possibly, possibly.

Matthews: OK. The trouble is, when you said that, the whole world heard it. [Then–Prime Minister] David Cameron in Britain heard it. The Japanese, where we bombed them in ’45, heard it. They’re hearing a guy running for president of the United States talking of maybe using nuclear weapons. Nobody wants to hear that about an American president.

Trump: Then why are we making them? Why do we make them?

Arguably, Trump had a point. After all, a president can’t take nuclear weapons “off the table” without thereby negating their deterrence value. Still, the exchange suggests Trump approaches the issue with less gravity and forbearance than the average world leader….

“President Trump is clearly frustrated and looking for an off ramp to end the war, but seems to want to put some kind of exclamation point on the campaign,” Jennifer Kavanagh of Defense Priorities told The American Conservative. “He’s hoping for a big win that he can use to sell the war as a massive success. This could push him to escalate, even as the returns are diminishing.”….


When War Crimes Rhetoric Becomes Battlefield Reality: The Slippery Slope to Total War on Iran.

[JustSecurity, via The Big Picture, April 07, 2026]

Iranian power plants and other critical civilian infrastructure are protected from attacks by the law of war the United States helped craft after World War II. Such an object can lose its protection only if it is used for military purposes by the enemy and its destruction “offers a definite military advantage.” Even then, such an object can be attacked only if, after a case-by-case rigorous analysis, the “concrete and direct military advantage anticipated” outweighs the civilian suffering that is expected to result. 

[TW: Aa number of Democratic Senators and Congressmen declared Trump should once again be impeached. Even former prominent Trump boosters such as Tucker Carlson and Candace Owens have begun calling for the use of the 25th Amendment to remove Trump from office.

[Because the (anti)Republicans in Congress will block another impeachment, I think a more useful and effective response is to introduce and fight to pass a law making it an explicit war crime for any President — absent a nuclear attack on the US or any of its allies, or without a Declaration of War by Congress — to order the use of nuclear weapons. To maintain the deterrent capability of US nuclear weapons, this law must be explicit that it does not apply to an order in which a nuclear attack on the US or any of its allies has already been inflicted or has already begun. This is necessary to maintain US strategic deterrence.

[By contrast, this new law would clearly state that any use of nuclear weapons outside this deterrent role would be a war crime.

[The introduction and debate of this new law can be framed and managed in such a way as to force supporters of the unitary executive theory to admit that either there are limits to presidential authority, or admit that their interpretation of unitary executive theory is not even bounded by the war powers clause of the Constitution. This admission would inflict serious damage on the unitary executive theory, especially in the court of public opinion.

[This would be much more likely to attract the support, or at least votes, of Republican members of Congress, and could be used to great benefit in attacking the unitary executive theory.

[This new law should also include sturdy and robust safeguards for members of the military who refuse unlawful orders. We have already seen Trump’s vindictive attempt at retribution against the Vindman brothers during his Trump’s first term, and the threats to prosecute Senators Slotkin and Kelly, and the Congressmen who joined them in publishing a video remining members of the military their duty includes refusal to obey unlawful orders. Will a JAG lawyer who advises a commander not to obey an order be subjected to retaliatory investigations, abuse, professional damage, and even personal danger by Trump and his agents? Using the hypothetical Seal Team 6 question during the Supreme Court hearing on Presidential immunity – what if Trump orders certain military units or operatives to kill any JAG lawyer opposing illegal orders? ]


Confirmed: Trump admin threatened to overthrow the papacy

Adam Lynch, April 08, 2026 [Alternet, via DailyKos, April 08, 2026]

Pope Leo XIV chronicler Christopher Hale says he has confirmed that Trump’s Pentagon threatened to declare war on the Vatican.

“In January, behind closed doors at the Pentagon, Under Secretary of War for Policy Elbridge Colby summoned Cardinal Christophe Pierre — Pope Leo XIV’s then-ambassador to the United States — and delivered a lecture,” said Hale.

“America has the military power to do whatever it wants in the world,” Colby and his associates informed the cardinal. “The Catholic Church had better take its side.”

As the room temperature grew, Hale said he confirmed that one U.S. official “reached for a fourteenth-century weapon and invoked the Avignon Papacy, the period when the French Crown used military force to bend the bishop of Rome to its will.” ….

Citing a Free Press report, a writer obtained accounts from Vatican and U.S. officials briefed on the Pentagon meeting. According to his sources, Colby’s team picked apart the pope’s January state-of-the-world address line by line and read it as a hostile message aimed directly at President Donald Trump. Hale said what “enraged them most” was Leo’s declaration that “a diplomacy that promotes dialogue and seeks consensus among all parties is being replaced by a diplomacy based on force.”

“The Pentagon read that sentence as a frontal challenge to the so-called ‘Donroe Doctrine’ — Trump’s update of Monroe, asserting unchallenged American dominion over the Western Hemisphere,” said Hale….

The Pentagon's January confrontation with Cardinal Pierre signals an unprecedented willingness by Trump officials to pressure religious institutions into alignment with administration goals. This represents a potential inflection point: where diplomatic courtesy once governed state-Church relations, coercion may now be replacing negotiation. The Vatican's refusal to participate in the 250th anniversary celebration underscores that even America's most prominent religious institution will not compromise its moral authority for political expediency.


The Public Theology We Need Now — Moral compromise is far too common, but we know a better way.

William J. Barber, II and Jonathan Wilson-Hartgrove, Apr 11, 2026 [Our Moral Moment]

In the spring of 1933, while the world faced rising authoritarian movements, Franz von Papen traveled to Rome as a delegate of Germany’s new Chancellor. There he began negotiations for an agreement between the Vatican and the German Reich – a Concordant both parties would sign that summer, preparing the way for Hitler’s regime to advance its agenda for the next dozen years without mass resistance from German Christians. The details of the agreement were spelled out in several pages, but the structure was simple, and largely reflected how most Catholic and Protestant churches would negotiate the Third Reich: churches would be free to worship, run schools, and conduct social services as long as their preachers stayed out of politics.

The pastoral ministries of the Church could continue if it silenced its prophetic critique.

When the US President threatened genocide on social media this week, Pope, Leo XIV - the first American Pope - told reporters, “This truly is not acceptable.” He encouraged US citizens to call their representatives in Congress and demand a check on the President’s war powers. This was not the first time Leo (or Pope Francis before him) challenged Trump’s agenda, but it was remarkably direct….

The central question of public theology is always what God requires of us, no matter who is in charge. Throughout history clergy have been accused of being “too political” in times and places where political leaders did not want to have to deal with the challenge our moral traditions offer. The compromise that Trump demands today and that German Christians agreed to in 1933 has been made far too often in human history. It was the basic agreement between white churches and the Jim Crow regime in the American South, between church leaders and the Roman emperor Constantine in the fourth century, and between many governments and church institutions in between.

But this is not the only story of public theology that we have inherited. Two years before von Papen traveled to Rome to meet with Vatican officials in 1933, a handful of clergy, scholars, and activists traveled to New Haven, Connecticut at the invitation of seven African-American students at Yale Divinity School who had dedicated themselves to “service and sacrifice for Christ.” The students were concerned about the authoritarian movements of their day, both in Europe and in the American South. They also knew God had called them to become leaders in the church who could work together for “the creation of a new social order based on the principles of Jesus.”

Not content to simply wait for their theological school to equip them for this moral leadership, they called on a young scholar from Howard University (Benjamin Mays), a young labor organizer (A. Philip Randolph), a couple of preachers who had built large churches in New York City and Atlanta, and a couple of PhD’s who would go on to lead HBCUs over the next few decades. Only one of their professors, Jerome Davis, helped facilitate the gathering. For a few days, the small group reflected together on this question: how could they practice the militant nonviolent love of Jesus in a way that would bring down Jim Crow? They recorded their resolutions in a document they titled, “Whither the Negro Church?,” then they set about building institutions that could operationalize their vision.

Just five years later, one of those seven students and his spouse traveled with Howard and Sue Bailey Thurman to India, where they met Gandhi and continued the discussion they’d started about nonviolence. Others who’d participated in the seminar worked together to build the Institute for Religion at Howard University, where Thurman became Dean of Rankin Chapel. Mays left Howard to lead Morehouse College, and others from this “Rankin Network” went on to teach and lead at Virginia Union, Lincoln University, Shaw University, North Carolina College (now NC Central University), and other HBCUs. But their growing network came back to Howard for regular meetings and stayed in touch through the “Journal of Religious Thought” that William Stuart Nelson, a Yale graduate, edited.

The public theology of this network did not make headlines for the next couple of decades. Most of its adherents didn’t get big book deals or respected teaching posts….

Before Martin Luther King, Jr., James Farmer, Diane Nash and many others were leaders of the modern civil rights movement, they were students at the HBCU’s shaped by this Rankin Network. There they learned a faith that demanded social action, the philosophy of nonviolence, and the hope that movements could change what seemed immovable. When he was martyred in 1968 after becoming the most recognizable moral leader of the 20th century America, Dr. King was eulogized by his mentor and college President – one of the handful of people who’d been at that initial seminar in 1931 - Dr. Benjamin Mays….


Trump decided on war with Iran after secret Israeli pitch, New York Times reports

[Drop Site Daily, April 8, 2026]

President Donald Trump authorized strikes on Iran following a February 11 Situation Room meeting in which Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, appearing alongside Mossad chief David Barnea and military officials, presented a four-part regime-change pitch that included a video montage of potential replacement leaders such as Reza Pahlavi, the New York Times reported Tuesday. Netanyahu argued Iran’s ballistic missile program could be destroyed within weeks, that the regime would be too weakened to close the Strait of Hormuz, and that Mossad-fomented street protests combined with a Kurdish ground front from Iraq could trigger an uprising. Trump’s immediate response was reported as: “Sounds good to me.” Vice President JD Vance was absent, stranded in Azerbaijan. U.S. intelligence officials pushed back sharply the following day. Central Intelligence Agency Director John Ratcliffe called the regime-change scenario “farcical,” Secretary of State Marco Rubio called it “bullshit,” and General Dan Caine told the president the Israelis routinely “oversell” plans that are “not always well-developed,” the Times reported. War Secretary Pete Hegseth was described as the strongest proponent of immediate action.


Here’s A List Of Gulf Energy Infrastructure Damaged In Iran War

[Bloomberg, April 12, 2026, via gCaptain]


Joy Reid: Forget Impeaching Trump, we need to demand he stand trial at the Hague!
A recording from Dean Obeidallah's live video
Dean Obeidallah and Joy-Ann Reid
Apr 08, 2026


‘Food security timebomb’: a visual guide to the Gulf fertiliser blockade

[The Guardian, via The Big Picture, April 07, 2026]

The Strait of Hormuz isn’t just about oil—it’s a chokepoint for global fertilizer supplies. The blockade is threatening food security from Asia to Africa. UN says record numbers of people could face acute hunger if conflict continues. 


The Cascade: The war’s secondary effects have crossed a threshold.

[The Omission, via The Big Picture, April 06, 2026]

The war’s secondary effects have crossed a threshold. They are no longer consequences. They are independent crises with their own momentum, and most of them will not stop when the bombing stops. 


2026: The Year US Corporations Used AI to Allegedly Help Commit War Crimes and Make Themselves Military Targets — The Untold Story of Google, AWS, and American Corporations Being Accused of Committing War Crimes

Christopher Armitage, Apr 05, 2026 [The Existentialist Republic]

...There are many reasons for our pre-War complacency, but one of them surely is that mainstream economic theory led us to believe that the global economy is robust. It did this, not through real analysis, but through fantasy. The two key fantasies that mainstream economics promulgates on this front are:

  • That every commodity is homogeneous and has a multitude of suppliers; and

  • That inputs to production can easily be substituted for one another…..


Steve Keen, Apr 05, 2026 [Building a New Economics]



U.S. academics suspended or dismissed over opposition to Iran war

[Drop Site Daily: April 6, 2026]

At least three American academics have been suspended or dismissed in the past month after voicing opposition to the U.S.-Israeli actions in the Middle East, the Guardian reported. Shirin Saeidi was formally dismissed from the University of Arkansas following social media posts supporting Palestine and praising Iranian leadership, as well as allegations she used university letterhead to advocate for the release of an Iranian official convicted in Sweden. Idris Robinson, a philosophy professor at Texas State University, filed a lawsuit after his contract was terminated following an off-campus talk on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, and Aria Fani was removed as director of the Middle East Center at the University of Washington after sending emails via the center’s listserv criticizing Israel and U.S. policy, though he retains his faculty position.


Marcus Foundation Bankrolls Pro–Iran War Group — A foundation associated with Home Depot has been the biggest funder of one of the loudest voices for war against Iran

Matthew Cunningham-Cook, April 10, 2026 [The American Prospect]

...In 2025, the Marcus Foundation donated $19 million to FDD, according to Forbes—well more than half of the group’s total budget for the prior year and a massive increase from the $5.75 million it had contributed to FDD in 2024 (which was similar to the amount it had given in previous years).

Launched by Home Depot co-founder Bernie Marcus, who died in November 2024, the foundation is now chaired by Frank Blake, who served as CEO of Home Depot from 2007 to 2014. The foundation’s board includes Marcus’s two sons and Ken Langone, a major GOP donor who co-founded the world’s largest home improvement retailer with Marcus.

The Marcus donations are by far the largest FDD has ever received, helping to fuel the organization’s rapid growth over the past few years. In 2021, FDD spent just under $17 million on its small battalion of analysts and commentators. By 2024, that number had almost doubled to $32.5 million.

As a hawkish pro-Israel group, the FDD views Iran as engaged in a “multi-front war” against Israel. After advocating for strikes on Iran over the course of many years, FDD has actively argued against a diplomatic settlement in recent weeks, with Dubowitz writing in the New York Post that any truce that does not result in the destruction of Iran’s missile capability is unacceptable, and most recently arguing for resumed combat and regime change if Iran does not accept U.S. terms….


BBC Caught Fabricating Quote Of An Iranian Calling For The U.S. To Drop An ‘Atomic Bomb’. 

[The Dissident, via Naked Capitalism 04-07-2025]


Trump not violating any law

'He who saves his Country does not violate any Law'


Trump Stuns By Saying ‘I Don’t Know’ When Asked Directly NBC’s Kristen Welker ‘Don’t You Need to Uphold the Constitution?’

Joe DePaolo, May 4th, 2025 [mediaite.com]


Trump promises pardons to his entire staff

[Wall Street Journal , via Zeteo, This Week in Democracy – Week 64, April 10, 2026

The Wall Street Journal reported that Trump has already promised mass presidential pardons to his staff before he leaves office, saying in a private meeting that he’d “pardon everyone who has come within 200 feet of the Oval.”


Exclusive: FBI’s New Political Pre-Crime Center 

Ken Klippenstein [,via Naked Capitalism 04-06-2025]


Trump's New Red Scare Comes To Local Police — FBI emails show the feds are training local cops on NSPM-7

Dan Boguslaw, Apr 08, 2026 [Deeper States]

FBI emails I obtained show the administration is pushing state and local police to target Americans with left-wing views…. Its target is not a foreign power thousands of miles away, but US citizens who disagree with the president and his hardline advisers. This domestic war’s chief weapon is a national security presidential memorandum, NSPM-7, which attempts to criminalize a laundry list of common left-wing beliefs and viewpoints….

What this development means in practice is if you have criticized a corporation on social media, held a sign that demands ICE leave your city, shared a meme about alleged UnitedHealthcare CEO killer Luigi Mangione, or publicly condemned Trump’s Iran war at a local town hall, both the federal government and your local police could take note and forward along a list of your thoughtcrimes to the FBI for further review….


‘Mentally and Physically Tortured’: Palestinian Former ICE Detainee Speaks Out — Leqaa Kordia details the inhumane treatment she suffered for more than a year in an overcrowded ICE detention center.

Mehdi Hasan and Team Zeteo, Apr 11, 2026

...Kordia, who was freed last month, joins Mehdi to highlight just how bad the conditions were inside the detention center she was kept in - one of many that have sprung up all over the country since Trump took office. “I actually stayed sleeping on the floor for three months straight,” Kordia tells Mehdi, adding that she saw women who were seven and eight months pregnant in her ‘dorm’. “I thought that I knew about these things… but the reality was absolutely shocking.”

The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) says it detained Kordia for overstaying an expired F-1 student visa, but also cited her role in Columbia University’s 2024 pro-Palestine protests, which likely made her a target for ICE….


Three Hundred Habeas Cases in Which the Government Has Defied Court Orders 

[Lawfare, via Naked Capitalism 04-06-2025]


Army veteran charged with leaking classified Delta Force tactics to journalist

www.dropsitenews.com/...

Courtney Williams, 40, a former Army veteran who supported Delta Force operations at Fort Bragg, North Carolina, appeared in federal court in Raleigh on Wednesday on a charge of unlawfully transmitting national defense information, accused of disclosing classified “tactics, techniques and procedures” of an unnamed special military unit to journalist Seth Harp, in whose book Williams is cited repeatedly and by name. Harp said Williams had endured years of sexual harassment while providing special operations troops with cover documents, including passports and credit cards for overseas deployments. “Courtney Williams is a veteran, a mother, and a patriotic American. She has committed no crime. Trump’s unhinged DOJ will not even say what ‘classified information’ she allegedly leaked. Her arrest and imprisonment is an outrage,” Harp wrote on X. FBI Director Kash Patel has also commented on the case, praising Williams’ arrest as “outstanding work” on the part of the Bureau and its partners. Williams faces a maximum penalty of ten years in prison.


The Beginning of The End of Donald Trump’s Presidency?

(Judge J. Michael Luttig [via The Big Picture, April 05, 2026]

Jay Powell was always the one man in the world who could stand up to Donald Trump, and Trump knew it, which is why, despite his false bravado, he feared the Reserve Board Chairman. Trump forced the latest confrontation with Jay Powell in one last desperate attempt to force Powell from office so that he could finally seize control over the independent Federal Reserve Bank in the eleventh hour and manipulate the interest rates to disguise the crippling economic impact of his sweeping, unconstitutional global tariffs and his unconstitutional war in Iran. It turned out to be the worst miscalculation of his life.


Strategic Political Economy

The New Defense Budget

Josh Marshall, April 10, 2026 [Talking Points Memo]

...I don’t think people have really absorbed the extent of it, it’s significance, the scale of growth. The president wants to increase the defense budget by more than 40%. That comes on top of his request for $200 billion to fund his current war with Iran.

It’s important to appreciate that there’s simply no way for the Pentagon to productively absorb that scale of resources on that timescale. Again, almost a 50% increase on a budget that is already massive in absolute and relative terms. If you think about what that scale of diversion means, you still won’t really quite grasp it, just as I’m not able to fully grasp it.

We have to see this in the context of the already massive cash diversion to ICE and the mass deportation and detention system, which the government also cannot remotely absorb. And finally the now-quite open admission from Republicans and Trump himself that they think all of this will come with massive cuts to all of the social safety net. It is a huge reorientation of the entire federal government from being a modern government, focused primarily on supporting and protecting its citizens, to one focused on, and built for, force and violence.


Are we going backwards? What happens when reason stops mattering in politics? 

Richard Murphy, April 08, 2026 [Funding the Future]

What happens when reason stops mattering in politics? We are living through the answer in real time. For 45 years, neoliberalism has been the dominant force in Western democracies, and in that time, it has done something far more dangerous than redistribute wealth upwards. It has systematically dismantled the intellectual and ethical foundations that make democratic politics possible.

The Enlightenment gave us something extraordinary: the idea that reason, evidence, and the equal moral worth of every human being should guide how we organise society. Neoliberalism replaced that with markets. It reduced people from moral equals to economic actors, stripped public services in the name of efficiency, weakened democratic accountability, and narrowed the boundaries of political thought until Margaret Thatcher's "There Is No Alternative" became conventional wisdom rather than a political choice.

The consequences are now impossible to ignore. Careful reasoning is being replaced by crude slogans. Evidence is losing ground to belief. Nuanced debate has given way to hostility. And the backlash against neoliberalism's failures is not producing a return to Enlightenment values; it is producing the conditions for fascism: demands for loyalty over accountability, indifference to consequences, and the deliberate promotion of inequality for the benefit of an elite….


The modern age of unreason

Richard Murphy, April 06, 2026 [Funding the Future]

The Enlightenment, emerging in the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries, was an intellectual and moral project. It asserted that reason, evidence and debate should replace deference to authority. It argued that all people have equal moral worth (although I am all too aware that early proponents had decidedly limited views on who might qualify for such treatment). It insisted that power must justify itself. From those ideas flowed democracy, human rights, the rule of law and the expectation of accountability. These things then underpinned the supposed Western ideals which were taught as the values of the society to which we were told we should at least aspire when I was young.

Neoliberalism, by contrast, is a much later political and economic doctrine. It is a late twentieth-century project that sought to reassert the primacy of markets, reduce the role of the state, and recast individuals as primarily economic actors….

Second, neoliberalism stripped out the ethical core of the Enlightenment. The idea of equal moral worth, and respect for the "other", as seen in the work of Adam Smith, was subordinated to the idea of market value. Those without economic power were, in effect, treated as having a lesser claim on society.

Third, neoliberalism weakened the institutions that the Enlightenment helped to create. Public services, democratic accountability, and the capacity of the state to act in the collective interest were all eroded in the name of efficiency.

Fourth, neoliberalism denied complexity. It insisted that markets could solve problems that are, in reality, social, political and ecological. In doing so, it allowed those problems to accumulate….


The Bottom 50%: The Untold Economic Story 

[The Counterprogramming Club, via Naked Capitalism 04-06-2025]

...How much of our nation’s wealth is controlled by the bottom 50% in the United States today?

2.46%. That’s it. Half of the population controls just 2.46% of our nation’s wealth….

In 1989, the bottom 50% controlled only 3.52% of the nation’s wealth. Over the past four decades, the wealth share of the bottom 50% decreased by precisely 1.06%….


… In 1989 Q3, the top 0.1% held 8.6% of the nation’s wealth. As of 2025 Q4, the top 0.1% controls a whopping 14.5%. For context, the minimum wealth cutoff for the top 0.1% is over $46 million (latest data 2022).

The top 1% have grown their wealth share by 9.1% since 1989.

If the bottom 50% only saw a minimal reduction in their wealth share (1%), where did the top 1% pull from?

  • The wealth share of the 90-99% decreased by 1.6% since 1989 (from 38% to 36.4%).

  • The wealth share of the 50-90% decreased by 6.4% (from 35.7% to 29.2%).

Dominant narratives suggests wealth is being transferred from the bottom to the top. The data tell a different story. The bottom 50% has hardly seen a change in their wealth share. It’s the middle and upper classes’ wealth share that’s shrinking….

The top 10% holds $119.7 trillion in wealth, compared to the bottom 90% with $55.6 trillion (31% of total wealth). When the top 10% controls most of the nations capital (68%), the bottom 90% is cut out of economic decision making.

88% of stocks and funds in the United States are owned by the top 10%—a significant spike compared to 81.8% in 1989. The top 0.1% is responsible for the entirety of that increase: growing their share from 14.8% to 24% since 1989….


How It Is. And how it always was, actually.

Aurelien [Trying to Understand the World, via Naked Capitalism 04-09-2025]

Over the last couple of weeks, I’ve set out two-thirds of an argument, which I hope to complete today. Briefly, I suggest that the nature of conflict in all its aspects (military and technological, but also economic and political) has changed and is changing further, and generally to the disadvantage of the West. The military battle-space is no longer ruled by high-technology and extremely expensive weapons platforms, whose effectiveness is increasingly disputed by drones and missiles. These new systems can make attacks prohibitively expensive, but they can also be used offensively, and defence against them is difficult. Moreover, the resources and technologies needed to construct and use them are relatively modest, and within the capabilities of far more nations that can afford a fifth-generation jet aircraft. Likewise, economic levers not previously exploited become weapons with the new capabilities these systems provide.

These developments would be less of a problem if western states had more intellectual flexibility, and better-operating government systems. But stranded between cloudy aspirational pronouncements and actual implementation on the ground, they have lost the ability to make operational-level plans and carry them through. This suggests that as the indirect consequences of the continuing Iran crisis start to bite, western governments will be increasingly less capable of coping with them as they affect their economies and their societies, and indeed will lack the ability to plan, and even to understand what is happening.

All this suggests that there will be a considerable rebalancing of strategic and political power in the world in the next few years. The purely military dimension is important, of course, but it’s not the only one, because economic power, the use of control over commodities, processing and manufacturing, and even the internal stability of countries are also parts of the equation....


The Fed, Congress, and the President: The Constitutional Authority to Make Money

Christine Desan, Apr 6, 2026 [Institute for New Economic Thinking]

Excerpt:
"Democratic theory, constitutional text, and the long history of legislative struggle all point toward the same conclusion: money-making in its very design must flow from the people’s immediate representatives. If the executive could dominate the central bank, the danger would not be confined to inflation. It would reach the deeper possibility that money creation could be directed to reward allies, reshape markets, and hollow out the distribution of powers that democratic government depends on..…

The power to make money is the power to rule. In a representative system, that authority cannot simply be absorbed into presidential control without altering the constitutional order itself. The fight over the Federal Reserve therefore concerns more than one institution. It asks whether the constitutional architecture of democratic sovereignty still has force or whether one of its most essential prerogatives will be surrendered in the name of executive uniformity."


US Fertility Rate Falls To All-Time Low 

[NPR, via Naked Capitalism 04-11-2025]


“Economic Civil War”: States Push Laws to Shield Oil and Gas Companies From Accountability 

[ProPublica, via Naked Capitalism 04-05-2025]


Global power shift

Competing drone systems 

[Events in Ukraine, via Naked Capitalism 04-07-2025]

...The Australian Army Research Centre (AARC) has been working with the Ukrainian army on drones, and in mid-March a Ukrainian analyst published a two-part article on ‘myths of drone warfare’ for the AARC….

Furthermore, the article criticized the idea, popular among Ukrainian government speakers, that drones are vastly cheaper than other weapons systems. Though a single drone may be cheaper than a single missile, there are many other costs that go into drone warfare:

“The sustainment overhead of using drones further undermines the notion that they are a low-cost, low-overhead capability. High sortie rates, short platform lifespans, and intensive electronic contestation impose substantial logistical demands. Batteries, motors, airframes, sensors, frequencies, and software all require continuous replacement and modification. Tens of Mavic-type drones are lost per day in one brigade, which is tens of thousands of dollars daily – that demands proper staffing, procurement, write-off procedures, training, etc. Ukraine has shown that mass drone employment entails industrial-scale sustainment pipelines comparable in complexity—if not in unit cost—to conventional munitions supply. Volunteer teams operating outside formal logistics systems cannot support this scale or tempo of operations over time.”

…. But the most important myth is that drones can replace humans. It is just this illusion that Ukraine’s chronically undermanned army believes in. But as the Ukrainian website Militarny wrote a few weeks ago, drones are a dead end unless integrated into broader combat operations along with infantry and other weapons systems.


[X-Twitter, via Naked Capitalism 04-06-2025]

x

GRAPH — Chinese high speed rail network superimposed on US and Canada 2026


U.S.-South Korea Relations Are at Breaking Point 

[Foreign Policy, via Naked Capitalism 04-09-2025]


Israel / Gaza

What if Israel just won’t stop? 

[Responsible Statecraft, via Naked Capitalism 04-07-2025]


Oligarchy

The Fire Next Time — They will understand it when it arrives. That will be too late.

Mike Brock, Apr 11, 2026 [Notes from the Circus]

...Elite society in America — across the spectrum, left to right, Democratic donor class to Republican establishment, corporate boardroom to think tank — is operating under a shared and catastrophic misapprehension. They believe that what has gone wrong is a messaging problem. A policy gap. A failure of communication between the people who know how to run things and the people who need to be persuaded to let them keep running things. They commission polls. They convene focus groups. They hire consultants who tell them which words land and which don’t. They propose new policies calibrated to the data. They are, in their own estimation, being responsive.

They are blind to what is coming. Some of them will read these words and find in them the ravings of someone who has lost perspective — someone captured by grievance, by alarmism, by the kind of thinking that serious people learn to dismiss….

What they cannot see — what their position inside the system makes structurally invisible to them — is how they are perceived from the outside. Not what people think of their policies. What people think of them.

The distinction is everything.

A policy problem is solvable with better policy. A legitimacy crisis is not. A legitimacy crisis is not a question of what the people in charge are doing. It is a question of whether the people in charge have any right to be in charge at all — whether the system that produced them, rewards them, and protects them from consequence is a system that serves the people it claims to represent, or a system that serves itself while claiming to represent the people.

The answer, in the minds of a growing majority of Americans, is the latter. And no policy proposal, however well-designed, answers that question. Because the question is not about policy. It is about legitimacy. And legitimacy, once lost, is not recovered by competence. It is recovered — if it is recovered at all — by accountability, by justice, and by the visible arrival of genuinely different people in positions of power….


They’re not capitalists — they’re predatory criminals

Emergency Prices: How Private Equity Captured the Ambulance Market

Matt Stoller and Dan Geller, Apr 11, 2026 [BIG]


Vertical Vertigo — Brian Callaci’s book describes the deregulatory strategies franchisors use to protect their profits.

Jarod Facundo, April 10, 2026 [The American Prospect]
Chains of Command: The Rise and Cruel Reign of the Franchise Economy
By Brian Callaci
University of Chicago Press


[Economic Liberties, Apr 10, 2026]


Felonomics

He’s Not Grifting Anymore. He’s Just Taking It. 

[Meidas+, via Naked Capitalism 04-06-2025]


2.5 Million Poor Americans Have Lost Food Aid Since Trump Signed GOP’s Big Ugly Bill Into Law 

Brad Reed, Apr 08, 2026 [Common Dreams]


Trump’s Wreckage of Social Security and Medicare

Robert Kuttner, April 9, 2026 [The American Prospect]

...As Trump blurted out the other day, he believes that the direct costs of the war combined with his unprecedented request for a 44 percent increase in military spending mean that the federal government can no longer afford Medicare. This is of course preposterous—most of the cost of Medicare is financed by the dedicated payroll taxes that workers pay. Trump has also floated cutting Social Security’s disability program, another form of social insurance with a dedicated stream of tax revenue….

Beginning in 2034, Social Security’s trust funds face a projected shortall of 19 percent, according to the latest Trustees’ Report. Under the law, unless Congress acts, benefits must be cut by that amount.

Why the shortfall? One reason is aging. As lifespans increase while birth rates decrease, there are fewer workers per retiree. But a bigger reason is that the very rich have captured an ever larger share of national income since the late 1970s, and thanks to the payroll tax cap, they do not pay a proportionate share of the payroll taxes that finance Social Security. (Any income above $184,500 is not subject to payroll tax, making it effectively regressive.)

An authoritative study by the RAND Corporation found that if the income distribution of the first two postwar decades had persisted, the bottom 90 percent (who pay Social Security taxes) would have an additional $2.5 trillion a year. Payroll taxes (12.4 percent) on $2.5 trillion would be $310 billion, or more than the annual Social Security deficit of around $250 billion a year.

Restoring a decent income distribution will take years of brave policies. But in the meantime, we can start taxing the very rich and dedicate some of the proceeds to making Social Security whole. An obvious start would be to uncap the payroll tax, which would bring in something like $3.2 trillion over a decade….



Americans ‘Falling Behind’ On Debt: Subprime Delinquencies Hit 11-Year High 

[Benzinga, via Naked Capitalism 04-08-2025]


Soon after massive honeybee deaths, Trump moves to close the nation’s premier bee lab 

[KCUR, via Naked Capitalism 04-07-2025]


DOGE Attacks on Social Security Have Left Millions in the Lurch 

[Truthout, via Naked Capitalism 04-07-2025]

When Elon Musk’s “Department of Government Efficiency” (DOGE) was running roughshod over the Social Security Administration (SSA) last year, experts warned it could spell disaster for disabled, ill, and aging Americans who depend on its programs. A March 2026 report by the Disability Rights Education and Defense Fund (DREDF) and the American Association of People with Disabilities (AAPD) offers insights into just how dire the situation has become.

“It seems that applications are taking longer and being denied more often and running into more errors in the process,” Matthew Borus, a professor at Binghamton University and one of the report’s authors, told Truthout.

The new report is based on interviews with more than 50 benefits specialists working at dozens of organizations nationwide that, together, assist about 8,000 claimants each year in obtaining and maintaining Supplemental Security Income (SSI) or Social Security Disability Insurance (SSDI). Those programs provide financial assistance to about 13.5 million older Americans and those with disabilities….

The Social Security Administration lost about 7,500 employees, or 13 percent of its workforce, from January 2025 to January 2026, according to data from the Office of Personnel Management. Customer service positions were hit especially hard, with a loss of over 3,000 staff tasked with assisting visitors to field offices and callers to the administration’s national 800 number, according to a Center on Budget and Policy Priorities report. That same report found that leadership shifted thousands of the remaining workers into customer service positions to plug gaps, but this means that many now responsible for customer support have little to no experience in their roles.


DOGE Cuts Left U.S. Unable to Help Americans Stranded in Iran War Zone

Nick Turse, April 12 2026 [The Intercept]

...the Trump administration fired hundreds of key State Department personnel with the skills needed to safeguard U.S. citizens abroad and usher them from harm’s way, lawmakers say. These foreign service officers — who lost their jobs amid Elon Musk’s purge of the federal workforce — contacted members of Congress last month with dire warnings about the department’s inability to manage the ongoing crisis.

“The Department is actively preventing experienced, cleared, available officers from helping American citizens in crisis,” a group of nearly 250 mostly mid-career and senior State Department foreign service officers wrote in a letter sent to lawmakers that was shared exclusively with The Intercept. “The crisis now unfolding in the Middle East is, in part, a foreseeable consequence of this and other short-sighted decisions taken by this administration to undermine the federal bureaucracy by eliminating expertise and politicizing our apolitical workforce.”


The carnage of mainstream neoliberal economics

Housing Is Cheap. Capital Makes It Expensive 

William Murphy [via Naked Capitalism 04-11-2025]

Housing isn’t expensive because of some mysterious shortage of materials or a lack of engineering capacity. The physical reality is far more blunt: at the level of commodity production, a basic family housing unit can be manufactured for roughly $7,000–$15,000, and in some cases even lower when you push standardization, scale, and minimal design….

So what explains the gulf between that and the six-figure price tags in the United States?

Not materials. Not engineering. Not even labor in any simple sense.

It’s the structure of the system.

Housing in the U.S. is not treated primarily as shelter—it’s treated as an asset class. Land is speculated on. Developers must extract profit. Finance capital inserts itself at every stage. Local zoning regimes fragment production. Regulatory and legal layers accumulate costs. Each step adds a toll, and each toll is justified as “necessary,” even though the underlying production process is already known and replicable….


The Tungsten Trap 

Warwick Powell [via Naked Capitalism 04-07-2025]


Helium Is Hard to Replace

[Construction Physics, via Naked Capitalism 04-10-2025]


America’s booming annoyance economy

[Business Insider, via The Big Picture, April 05, 2026]

Companies have figured out that bad customer service is more profitable than good customer service. The annoyance economy is booming—and you’re paying for it. 


Health care crisis

Long COVID disability burden in US adults 

[Nature, via Naked Capitalism 04-06-2025]


The Human Cost of Failing to Name COVID ‘Airborne’ 

[The Tyee, via Naked Capitalism 04-06-2025]


Out-of-pocket for Insulin by Medicare insured 

[JAMA, via Naked Capitalism 04-08-2025]

Question  Was implementation of a $35 monthly insulin out-of-pocket cap in Medicare associated with changes in spending, insulin use, or clinical outcomes among Medicare beneficiaries with type 2 diabetes?

Findings  In this cohort study of 4.8 million US Medicare beneficiaries from 2019 to 2023, an interrupted time-series analysis found that implementation of the insulin out-of-pocket cap in 2021 and 2023 was associated with significant reductions in insulin out-of-pocket spending, increased insulin use, lower hemoglobin A1c levels, and small increases in rates of severe hypoglycemic events.

Meaning  These findings suggest reducing cost-sharing policies could improve access and adherence to essential medications for patients with chronic conditions.


Predatory finance

The Private Credit Cartels 

Maureen Tkacik, April 6, 2026 [The American Prospect]


FO Exclusive: Big Trouble in the US Private Credit Market 

[Fair Observer, via Naked Capitalism 04-05-2025]


The Hater's Guide to Private Equity

Ed Zitron, Feb 27, 2026


Restoring balance to the economy

Monopoly Round-Up: Lina Khan Is Back

Matt Stoller, Apr 05, 2026 [BIG]

...I want to focus on an announcement this week from former Federal Trade Commission Chair Lina Khan. She is co-founding a new academic institute, the Center for Law and Economy, at Columbia University. The center will focus on the way “law and legal institutions structure the economy.” As such, it’s a useful moment to spend a bit of time looking at the long-term institution building of the anti-monopoly movement, and how it is addressing the democracy crisis in America.

Khan, of course, isn’t alone, she’s leading a movement. For instance, the Fordham Law Review just did an entire issue on Antitrust Law and Oligarchy, with articles by a host of former Biden officials. What these twin intellectual events show is that the movement to tame anti-democratic forces in America is growing, under the radar, in powerful ways….

In 1964, Robert Bork, Milton Friedman, and George Stigler were all advisors to the conservative Republican Presidential candidate Barry Goldwater. It was the height of the Civil Rights movement, and if Goldwater lost, the government was sure to take over parts of the health care system….

Sure enough, their nightmare came true. Goldwater was smashed, the government created Medicare and Medicaid, and the environmental, consumer rights, and women’s rights movements rewrote the American order. But Bork - a former Marxist - was not discouraged. Shortly after the election, he wrote a letter to a friend at Kirkland and Ellis, a major corporate law firm. “I am not as discouraged as people think I should be,” he said. “I think our general attitude should be that of the Bolsheviks after 1905.”

I found this letter in the Bork archives, and it shocked me because it shows just how radical Bork truly was. He hated the mid-20th century American system, and sought to overthrow it, as Lenin had the Russian monarchy.

He didn’t seek to do it via armed conflict, but through intellectual work, historical excavation, and organization. His movement told a different story about America than the populist stories animating the New Deal world in which they found themselves. To them, it was the power of concentrated capital that led to prosperity, not the ‘populistic’ regulations and antitrust laws regulating corporate America….

HAWB - Introduction - How America Was Built

Tony Wikrent, January 26, 2015 [real-economics.blogspot.com]

...Our intent is to frontally attack the conservative, libertarian, and neo-liberal interpretations of USA economic history, which are so distorted by their focus on "private property" and "free enterprise" and their hostility to "statism" as to constitute a lie. Everyone is probably familiar with these conservative, libertarian, and neo-liberal memes, which are repeated literally everyday in the mass media:

  • The only thing government ever does is tax you
  • Government is the problem
  • Government never created a single job
  • Government workers are useless bureaucrats living high on the hog

The actual history of the USA economy shows that these are all rotten lies. It is not that there was no role played by free enterprise and the private sector: they were just as important as the role of government. It is just that the exclusion and derision of the government role has become so extreme that it becomes a lie in effect of application.

Here is just some of the highlights of the chronology:

  • 1783 Benjamin Franklin’s Reflections on the Augmentation of Wages, Which Will Be Occasioned in Europe by the American Revolution
  • Jefferson’s Land Ordinance of 1785….
  • 1794-1816 The federal armories lay the foundation of modern industrial mass production
  • 1801–1806 Oliver Evans develops the high-pressure steam engine
  • The Coast Survey Act of 1807 and the discovery of a deep water channel into the port of New York City
  • 1804-1859 The Army Corps of Topographical Engineers explore and map the West
  • 1817 The Erie Canal
  • 1802-1835 The US Military Academy at West Point and its role in engineering and education
  • The General Survey Act of 1824
  • The Rivers and Harbors Act of 1824
  • 1835-1852 The Illinois-Michigan Canal and the creation of Chicago
  • 1838-1842 United States Exploring Expedition of the US Navy
  • 1843 Direct funding to Samuel Morse for development of the telegraph
  • 1850s Admiral Benjamin Franklin Isherwood and the development of steam power
  • Land Grant Act of 1850
  • Steamboat Act of 1852 and the power to regulate private property….
  • 1862 Morrill Land-Grant Colleges….


Creating new economic potential - science and technology

What Causes Chronic Pain? Scientists Identify Key Culprit in the Brain 

[SciTech Daily, via Naked Capitalism 04-05-2025]


Scientists just watched Alzheimer’s damage happen in real time 

[Science Daily, via Naked Capitalism 04-05-2025]


China Flies World’s First Megawatt-Class Hydrogen Turboprop Engine 

[Fuel Cells Works, via Naked Capitalism 04-08-2025]


Disrupting mainstream economics

Economic questions: the Herman Daly question

Richard Murphy, April 07, 2026 [Funding the Future]

Herman Daly (1938-2022) spent much of his career challenging one of the central dogmas of modern economics: the belief that continuous economic growth is both possible and desirable. Working first within mainstream economics and later helping to establish the field of ecological economics, Daly argued that the economy cannot be understood apart from the physical systems that sustain it.

Conventional economic models often treat the environment as a backdrop or as a supplier of resources and a sink for waste. Daly reversed this perspective. The economy, he insisted, is not the whole system. It is a subsystem embedded within the biosphere, dependent on flows of energy and materials that the planet can supply only in limited quantities.

Once this is recognised, the idea of endless growth begins to look less like ambition and more like denial.

Hence, the Herman Daly Question: If the economy is a subsystem of the biosphere, and the biosphere has limits, why do we organise economic policy around the assumption that growth can continue indefinitely?


Information age dystopia / surveillance state

 I broke up with my Kindle. My new e-reader treats me better

[Washington Post, via The Big Picture, April 07, 2026]

Was it the bibliophile Eden some Kobo fans described? Not quite. The reality was messier than expected — but still better. After Amazon’s Kindle removed my ability to download and back up my own e-books, I went in search of an alternative. 


Kill switches, guardrails: The raging debate over healthcare AI agents 

[Becker’s Hospital Review, via Naked Capitalism 04-06-2025]


How do social media platforms trap users in networks they would rather leave? 

[TECHNOLOGY.ORG, via Naked Capitalism 04-05-2025]


The Inevitability of the AI Depression 

Charles Hugh Smith [via Naked Capitalism 04-06-2025]


Testing Suggests Google’s AI Overviews Tells Millions of Lies Per Hour 

[ars technica, via Naked Capitalism 04-08-2025]


Climate and environmental crises

America’s Power Supply Just Flipped in Surprising Direction

[Newsweek, via Clean Power Roundup, April 10, 2026]

Renewables generated more than one-third of America's electricity in March, overtaking gas for the first time and marking the cleanest month on record for the nation’s power supply, according to new monthly data compiled by energy think tank Ember.


Billionaires buy up Yellowstone after destroying global ecosystems

[Drop Site Daily, April 7, 2026]

An investigation by In These Times found that seven of the ten largest landowners in Montana’s Park and Sweet Grass counties—home to some of the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem’s most celebrated wildlife habitat—are ultra-wealthy investors and industrialists who accumulated their fortunes through industries that are actively destroying ecosystems elsewhere. The MacMillan family, majority owners of Cargill Inc. and proprietors of the 44,000-acre Wild Eagle Mountain Ranch in the Crazy Mountains, illustrate the pattern most sharply: Cargill’s 2003 opening of a soy export terminal in Santarém, Brazil, triggered an explosion of industrial soy cultivation on the Planalto Santareno that has razed more than 660 square miles of Amazonian forest cover since 2000, poisoned waterways, and displaced the Mundurukú and other Indigenous communities who had managed the land sustainably for generations. The investigation from Joseph Bullington is here.

​​​​​​​


Democrats' political malpractice

Center-left think tank has board members with AI financial ties

[Drop Site Daily: April 8, 2026]

The Searchlight Institute, a Washington think tank launched last fall to push the Democratic Party toward the center, has not disclosed that its board includes philanthropist Simone Coxe—whose multibillion-dollar fortune stems largely from her venture capitalist husband Tench Coxe’s investments in Nvidia—or billionaire hedge fund manager Stephen Mandel, whose firm Lone Pine Capital is heavily invested in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Nvidia’s largest chip manufacturer, The Lever reported Tuesday. The think tank has been vocally opposing data center moratorium legislation proposed by Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) while publishing white papers favoring lighter-touch AI regulation. Read the full report from The Lever here.


Conservative / Libertarian / (anti)Republican Drive to Civil War

Britain is a key arena in the struggle against a new form of fascism

Richard Murphy, April 07, 2026 [Funding the Future]

piece by Lewis Goodall, published on 6 April, deserves much more attention than it is getting. In his account of his recent visit to the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) in the USA, he suggests that the American right is no longer simply observing Britain. His suggestion is that it is reimagining it….

Goodall reports that those attending the CPAC have created a narrative in which the UK is suggested to be “gone. Fallen. Lost” and as a country supposedly overrun, governed by Sharia law, and stripped of free speech. None of this, of course, is even remotely true, but truth is not an issue that worries those at the CPAC. Pathways to power are, and that matters because what Goodall is describing is not just myth-making. It is the early stage of something far more consequential, which is the deliberate construction of a political target.

If I read Lewis Goodall correctly, the consequences of this targeting of the UK by those at the CPAC are clear. US money will follow this false narrative that they are creating, and when it does, the consequences for the UK will be profound.

First, we need to understand the background to this suggestion. Most importantly, the American radical right, centred on figures like Donald Trump, does not operate purely as a political movement. It has been clear for some time, and especially since the Citizens United decision in 2010, that it is also a financial ecosystem. Media platforms, influencers, political action groups, think tanks, and donors are all intertwined. Narrative is monetised, and outrage is capitalised.

What that means is that once Britain is successfully defined within CPAC as the country that has “fallen”, it becomes an asset within the wider US geopolitical narrative. It can be used to generate attention, mobilise supporters, and, crucially, attract funding….


The Banality of MAGA-fication — A new book by an unremarkable Republican accidentally illuminates the devolution of the party

Jonathan Chait, April 10, 2026 [The Atlantic]

...“The Vise” is the organizing metaphor for Tillman’s argument, in which he posits that the American left has gained quasi-permanent control of American politics. Although his metaphor is original, the underlying case is not. Numerous conservatives have employed other conceits to illustrate the left’s supposed control of American life: “The Cathedral,” the “long march through the institutions,” the “Flight 93 election,” and so on.

All of those constructs serve the purpose of imagining the Democrats not as a rival coalition with opposing policies but as a unified, impersonal force that is always on the precipice of totalitarian control. This desperate situation leaves Republicans with no choice but to destroy that which threatens to destroy them. And if the instrument of destruction available to them is an imperfect vessel, so be it….

But Tillman also believes that the 2020 election was unfair. Conservative complaints about that election come in two broad categories. The strong version is Trump’s claim that the election was stolen through fraudulent ballots. The weaker version holds that the election was “rigged” by social media, liberalized mail-in balloting, and other stratagems, even if the vote count was technically correct. Tillman expresses openness to both theories. “We may never know the full extent of the manipulations that took place before, during, and after the 2020 election,” he writes. He justifies the January 6 attacks (“Without excusing violence, I note that when you squeeze ordinary Americans in a Vise, not all of them will comply with your demands”) and decries the sentencing of the rioters as excessive. “The Progressive Political Vise,” he asserts, using Trumpian-style capitalization rules, “worked to crush anyone who dared question the outcome of the 2020 presidential election.” ….


Trump and Orbán Are Tied at the Root — Pull the threads

Christopher Armitage, Apr 11, 2026 [The Existentialist Republic]

JD Vance flew to Budapest this week to campaign for a foreign leader…Viktor Orbán .... why does the most powerful government on earth need one specific man to win in a country smaller than Ohio?

The answer starts with a name almost nobody outside political consulting circles knows. Arthur Finkelstein spent four decades shaping Republican politics in near-total secrecy, working for Nixon, Reagan, Jesse Helms, and George H.W. Bush. He was so reclusive that colleagues said those who matter in politics knew him, and no one beyond that, which was exactly how he wanted it. Starting in 2008, he relocated to Budapest and rebuilt Orbán's failing party from the ground up, designing in secret the political identity Orbán still uses today. The formula he built there was the same one that later defined Trump's campaigns: manufacture a single face for everything the base fears, hold them in permanent siege posture, never let the enemy dissolve. Orbán used George Soros. Trump used whoever served the moment. The formula is identical because it came from the same man.

Finkelstein's protégés, known inside Republican politics as "Arthur's kids," went on to staff Trump's campaigns directly. Tony Fabrizio, one of his closest disciples, served as Trump's pollster in both 2016 and 2024. Before he died in 2017, Finkelstein also introduced Paul Manafort to the pro-Russian Ukrainian oligarch network he had been cultivating across Eastern Europe. Manafort collected tens of millions of dollars from that network before offering to run Trump's 2016 campaign for free. The Senate Intelligence Committee later concluded that Manafort's ties to Russian intelligence while managing the campaign represented a "grave counterintelligence threat." Trump pardoned him in December 2020….



Naomi Bethune, April 2, 2026 [The American Prospect]

[TW: “showing what can happen if we tribe up
“I want to say how proud I am of everybody, just showing what can happen if we tribe up, and if we stick together and if we keep fighting back. Our future, our existence, depends on standing up for ourselves and not backing down,” Hendrix said in the video posted by @Make_EuropaSnow. “You can’t be afraid of the people who are so fragile to a word.”


The (anti)Federalist Society assault on the Constitution

Supreme Court remade by Trump ushers in historic defeats for civil rights

Justin Jouvenal [The Washington Post, via scotusblog.com, Apr 10, 2026]

A new analysis of 270 Supreme Court decisions handed down “between 2020 and 2024 — the first five terms of the six-justice conservative majority” — shows that, over that period, the court became “the first since at least the 1950s to reject civil rights claims in a majority of cases involving women and minorities,” according to The Washington Post. “The analysis shows that in addition to civil rights, the court powered by Trump’s picks — Justices Neil M. Gorsuch, Brett M. Kavanaugh and Amy Coney Barrett — has pushed to the right of any modern court on religious rights and voting issues.”


Democrats’ Colossal Missed Opportunity to Shape the Supreme Court

Peter S. Canellos [Politico, via scotusblog.com, Apr 8, 2026]

In a column for Politico, Peter S. Canellos, author of a new book on Justice Samuel Alito, revisited President George W. Bush’s nomination of Harriet Miers to the Supreme Court seat that Alito was eventually confirmed to fill. Bush ultimately withdrew Miers’ nomination after facing pushback from “conservative judicial activists,” and after Democrats, according to Canellos, failed to do enough “to rescue” her. Canellos described “the Miers debacle” as a “colossal missed opportunity for the Democrats.” According to Canellos, Miers “was emphatically not a creature of the conservative legal movement,” and the Democrats should have celebrated the opportunity to add Miers to the court, especially given a Republican was in the White House and Republicans controlled the Senate.

How Alito Paved the Way for the Trump MESS (YouTube video)

Sidney Blumenthal and Sean Wilentz, April 8, 2026, [The Court of History, YopuTube]

Sidney Blumenthal and Sean Wilentz speak with Peter S. Canellos, author of “Revenge for the Sixties: Sam Alito and the Triumph of the Conservative Legal Movement,” his extraordinary rise, close links to the Federalist Society, crusade against Roe v. Wade, and his multiple scandals.


Civic republicanism

Stochastic Activism — The rules apply everywhere

Christopher Armitage, Apr 09, 2026 [The Existentialist Republic]

[TW: This is a primary motivation for why I offer this weekly wrap]

A chaotic system is not a random system. Precise, unchanging rules govern a chaotic system and determine its outcome. What makes it chaotic is that you cannot predict individual events in advance, not because the rules are absent but because the system is too complex to trace from cause to effect at the individual level. You cannot follow any single raindrop from cloud to ground, but you can predict with certainty that it is going to rain….

In the winter of 1170, King Henry II of England said words to the effect of “Will no one rid me of this turbulent priest?” Four of his knights heard it, rode separately to Canterbury Cathedral, and killed Thomas Becket on the altar steps. Henry issued no official order and no coordination happened between the four men; the signal was broadcast and the probability distribution handled the rest.² Researchers who study political violence eventually gave this mechanism a name: stochastic terrorism. A person with a large platform broadcasts that a particular group of people or individual are dangerous, subhuman, an existential threat to everything decent. He does not instruct anyone to commit violence or coordinate with anyone; he simply turns up the signal, consistently, at volume, and repeats it. Somewhere in the population receiving that signal, the probability distribution does what probability distributions do, and someone acts. No one planned it or ordered it. The violence was unpredictable at the individual level and statistically almost guaranteed at the aggregate level. The broadcaster provides the conditions and steps back while maintaining plausible deniability.

Now watch what happens when you flip it.

A publisher sends an article to fifty thousand subscribers. The article explains that DOGE employees transferred Social Security Administration data to an unauthorized outside server, sent a file containing the private records of roughly a thousand people to outside affiliates, signed an agreement with a political group seeking to use that data to challenge election results, and continued accessing SSA data after a federal judge ordered them to stop. The government’s own lawyers documented all of this in a federal court filing on January 16, 2026.³ The article explains that state computer crime statutes cover this conduct, that the president cannot pardon a state criminal conviction, and that here is the complaint filing process for your state.

Nobody coordinates with anybody, and nobody knows which complaint lands on which desk or which attorney general wakes up on which morning feeling particularly brave and ambitious. Readers filed over a thousand complaints across more than twenty states.⁴ The system self-organizes; the broadcaster provided the conditions while readers did the rest.

This is stochastic activism. It follows the same physical laws as stochastic terrorism because it is the same mechanism turned toward a different end….

When you excite an atom, it transfers energy to the atoms around it. It doesn’t use Roberts Rules of Order, coordinate with the receiving atoms, or need a central command structure telling it which direction to move. Energy transfers through matter according to laws that predate every government that has ever existed and will outlast every government that will ever exist. An atom moves around more, that creates what we call heat, sufficient heat applied to any system then produces changes that system; movement and time are the only variables.

Every person who files a complaint, makes a call, sends a letter, shows up at an office, crashes a fundraiser, or loudly shows up somewhere they were not expected is an atom now excited and generating energy. They transfer energy to the people immediately around them, those people transfer it further, their actions can even become amplified, this movement and energy generates heat. Heat softens and melts and allows reformation….

Governments are not closed systems, though, and that changes everything. The second law of thermodynamics describes what happens when no new energy enters. We are the new energy.

Here’s one example of what that looks like in practice. State legislators report that six to eight constituent contacts on one side of an issue feels like a landslide of public opinion.⁶ [6. Strand, M. (2018). How many contacts does it take to change a legislator’s mind? Nonprofit VOTE. https://www.nonprofitvote.org/how-many-contacts-does-it-take/]

Six people. That is a Tuesday afternoon, and three excited atoms finding three others….