Sunday, February 9, 2025

Week-end Wrap – Political Economy – February 09, 2025

Week-end Wrap – Political Economy – February 09, 2025

By Tony Wikrent


Strategic Political Economy

Franklin D. Roosevelt, State of the Union Message to Congress, January 11, 1944​​​​​​​

[TW: In this speech, FDR proposed an economic bill of rights]

...a noisy minority maintains an uproar of demands for special favors for special groups. There are pests who swarm through the lobbies of the Congress and the cocktail bars of Washington, representing these special groups as opposed to the basic interests of the Nation as a whole. They have come to look upon the war primarily as a chance to make profits for themselves at the expense of their neighbors- profits in money or in terms of political or social preferment….

One of the great American industrialists of our day—a man who has rendered yeoman service to his country in this crisis-recently emphasized the grave dangers of "rightist reaction" in this Nation. All clear-thinking businessmen share his concern. Indeed, if such reaction should develop—if history were to repeat itself and we were to return to the so-called "normalcy" of the 1920's—then it is certain that even though we shall have conquered our enemies on the battlefields abroad, we shall have yielded to the spirit of Fascism here at home….


The Business Community Is Extraordinarily Stupid. Is a dictatorship good for business?

Hamilton Nolan, February 05, 2025 [How Things Work]

...People often criticize business as greedy. Yes. It is greedy, as water is wet. Understanding corporations as anything other than soulless robots seeking profit is a mistake. This is why it is wise to tightly regulate them and unwise to allow them to do whatever they want. In a related sense, people often say, “Hey, wouldn’t it be in the self-interest of business to pay more taxes and subject themselves to more regulations and and generally push for more progressive values because it would help to create the stable and happy society outlined above, which is good for business in the long run?” Well, sure, but this question misunderstands the fact that the political actions of the business lobby assume that they will always be pushing against some force that is pushing back, and that the progressive forces they are pushing against will be enough to protect the basic structure of democratic society, even as businesses try to undermine it just enough to put money in their own pockets. Businesses want to pick up pennies in front of the steamroller, but they don’t want the steamroller to run them over.

Well fuckers, you have miscalculated. You rats.

The business lobby’s many years of selfish conduct and support for deleterious public policies have produced so much inequality and undermined our democratic institutions so successfully that we are now watching a strongman seize control of our government. Smooth move, you fucks. You grasping roaches. Your efforts have gotten us here. All the Koch Brother/ Federalist Society types who invested so much money in capturing the courts for the right wing have gotten us here. All the nice Chamber of Commerce types who supported the Republican Party even as it radicalized further and further because they wanted those tax cuts have gotten us here…. 


Shock Doctrine USA

Thomas Neuburger, February 07, 2025 [God's Spies]

What we’re seeing is not a new autocracy, but the old coup, the one called “neoliberalism,” the one we’ve been watching since Reagan: the complete dismantlement of government-by-the-people till only the rich have rights. It’s not the removal of the big FDR state, but its slow, then faster replacement by an equally muscular state responsive to wealth….

….Carl Biejer highlights this point in a recent paid-only piece, “The shock doctrine comes to America.”

Beijer’s point: This isn’t a new autocracy he’s creating, but the same old tried-and-true shocking. The war’s not being waged by Trump, but by “capital” writ large….

“This is what neoliberals have done over and over again to dismantle the state in other countries.…

“The neoliberals are taking an axe to the government rather than a scalpel, and this means that the left could very well see all kinds of programs related to US empire and the security state undergo some significant defunding. But we should not have any illusions about what is driving this: neoliberal austerity”


The Logic of Destruction, and how to resist it

Timothy Snyder, Feb 02, 2025

What is a country? The way its people govern themselves. America exists because its people elect those who make and execute laws. The assumption of a democracy is that individuals have dignity and rights that they realize and protect by acting together.

The people who now dominate the executive branch of the government deny all of this, and are acting, quite deliberately, to destroy the nation. For them, only a few people, the very wealthy with a certain worldview, have rights, and the first among these is to dominate.

For them, there is no such thing as an America, or Americans, or democracy, or citizens, and they act accordingly. Now that the oligarchs and their clients are inside the federal government, they are moving, illegally and unconstitutionally, to take over its institutions.

The parts of the government that work to implement laws have been maligned for decades. Americans have been told that the people who provide them with services are conspirators within a “deep state.” We have been instructed that the billionaires are the heroes.

Constitutional crisis

Elon Musk Wants to Get Operational Control of the Treasury’s Payment System. This Could Not Possibly Be More Dangerous

Nathan Tankus, February 4, 2025 [Notes on the Crisis]

I try to keep emotion out of this newsletter. I have always tried to write Notes on the Crises in a calm, detached tone so that the information I highlight shines through. However, I must be honest with readers: I’m absolutely terrified…. There is nothing more important on the entire planet than getting Elon Musk and DOGE out of the Bureau of the Fiscal Service and allowing career civil service employees to run the Treasury’s internal payments system without capricious and self-serving interference from billionaires and their allies….

Musk and his cronies are clearly aiming to redesign the payments system to serve their agenda. The most chilling sentence is this one from the Wall Street Journal:

“It couldn’t be determined what DOGE representatives intended to do with their access to the payment system. Musk and his team think the payment system should be overseen by political appointees selected by President Trump, the people said.”

This is not the attitude of people who are trying to simply technocratically make the payment system more “efficient.” They have a very clear and specific agenda, which involves unilaterally cutting spending, particularly spending they perceive to be going to their ideological foes. Is “Wokeness,” the “Green New Deal,” “Marxism,” and “Gender Ideology” going to be the new definition of an “improper payment"? ….

The data the Treasury collects could not possibly be more sensitive. We are talking about hundreds of millions of Social Security numbers, as well as a raft of other specific identifying information….

This system collects between “10,000 – 99,999” social security numbers along with identifying “business” information, including sensitive financial records and “business” bank accounts. Does anyone think that if Musk could get his hands on this information, whether directly or indirectly, he would not use it to go after, say, nonprofits he dislikes? At 3:14am Sunday, Musk pledged to shut down "illegal payments" to Global Refuge, a faith-based organization that exists to provide "safety and support to refugees, asylum seekers, and immigrants from across the world." Musk messing with ASAP is no hypothetical at all….

In some ways, as enormously alarming at this all is, it’s somehow not the biggest concern that I have been thinking about. For the past 36 hours (writing these words at Midnight on Saturday) my mind has returned over and over to the idea that they have been asking for “source code information” to the Treasury’s internal payments system….

COBOL is the lingua franca of mission critical legacy IT in use since the 1960s and too many systems have been too important to abandon it. “Modernization” has instead been built around making COBOL function somewhere besides a mainframe. The “modernization” of the Treasury’s IT payments infrastructure seems to have constituted a combination of rooting out Assembly code and a basically completed transition of “mainframe” COBOL to an “internally-developed RM COBOL” running on Linux servers. RM COBOL is an update on mainframe COBOL “designed for optimum performance and wide portability across a broad diversity of computers and operating systems.” Most notably, the Treasury’s transition to RM COBOL seems to have involved harmonizing more than 30 different COBOL systems which had evolved separately. It was 30 “dialects” they managed to get to speak one standardized language.

Does Elon Musk understand any of this? Does he have any grasp of the scale and complexity he is trying to reach into and exercise “influence”? Currently the most urgent and profound danger is not what he intends to make this sprawling apparatus do. The most immediate danger is what might break in the process of trying to get this apparatus to do what he wants.  

At every step of modernizing this system they have run systems concurrently to make sure the “new” functions as well as the old. Redundant systems are only phased out over long time periods after they have enough data on system functioning to feel confident in the “modernized” infrastructure. This is expensive, time consuming and absolutely necessary to make sure this system functions 100% of the time. Elon Musk, however, has never shown respect or understanding of the concept of a mission critical IT system. All he sees is “inefficiency” because he doesn’t understand that there are some things in this world that need to function no matter what and you spend the additional money to make sure it runs, including when it's being updated….


Musk Cronies Dive Into Treasury Dept Payments Code Base 

Josh Marshall, February 4, 2025 [Talking Points Memo]

A 25-year-old DOGE operative named Marko Elez in fact has admin privileges on these critical systems, which directly control and pay out roughly 95% of payments made by the U.S. government, including Social Security checks, tax refunds and virtually all contract payments. I can independently confirm these details based on conversations going back to the weekend. I can further report that Elez not only has full access to these systems, he has already made extensive changes to the code base for these critical payment system.


Day Five of the Trump-Musk Treasury Payments Crisis of 2025: Not “Read Only” access anymore

Nathan Tankus, February 5, 2025 [Notes on the Crisis]

One source explicitly said that they were only reporting to me because there was no one left in the Federal Government to report security breaches to:

”I do not wish to harm my agency in any way. I loved working here. We did some of the most important work in the country and barely anyone knew who we were. In normal times, I would report insider threats to the appropriate security channels inside the government- but there is no one left for me to report it to.” ….

There is specific code which tells you where to direct specific payments in specific ways and the structures, and why they are structured the way they are, requires deep contextual knowledge. This is “business logic”. The entire issue with COBOL and why it has been such a struggle to maintain it is that COBOL systems (both private and public) developed for decades with very little documentation, have a million different path dependent coding choices. Mar Hicks 2020 article in Logic Magazine “Built to Last” is worth a read on this topic.

This is what I meant yesterday when I referenced that 30 different COBOL systems at Treasury had developed their own “dialects” and they launched Payment Application Modernization (PAM), which among other things, unified them. What they unified was the business logic of those systems (as well as likely other factors, most notably the physical architecture of the systems they ran on). Part of me wishes they didn’t modernize with PAM because those 30 different and distinct systems would have been more secure from their infiltration. PAM processed 4.7 trillion dollars of payments in 2024.


"I’m absolutely terrified" Musk is breaking Treasury's payment system”

Tony Wikrent, February 03, 2025 [DailyKos]

[TW: this post reports on the Tankus reports above. But I point your attention to the many comments by active and retired IT specialists who discuss their experiences working with legacy COBOL and other systems, amplifying and confirming Tankus’s warnings. In particular this comment, on Musk’s disregard for proper IT practices. ]

Musk is an idiot!  Anybody read the articles about musk the move of the Twitter server farm from Sacramento to Portland, that he was too impatient and stupid to follow established procedures for doing that and as a result, that server farm at Twitter, now the failing sesspool called X, has never worked right, has caused problems with the company ever since, and probably always will until the company goes bankrupt.  I have worked in technology, either in computers or telecom almost my whole life and have seen stupid people like him destroy companies and people over and over and over.  It's too bad musk was so stupid and arrogant that just because he had previously successful in business, he thought he could be successful in something he knows nothing about, and given unchecked, unconstitutional, and illegal power by the psychopathic toddler.  


The 24-Hour Reality Check: Musk’s Impossible Power Grab And America’s Crisis 

Mike Brock [TechDirt., via Naked Capitalism 02-06-2025]

The conflict-of-interest at the heart of Musk’s position as DOGE director represents more than just an ethical concern—it strikes at basic principles of constitutional governance. Federal conflict-of-interest laws weren’t created arbitrarily; they emerged from centuries of understanding about how democracy can be corrupted when private interests capture public authority. These laws establish bright lines between public service and private gain precisely because such separation is essential for maintaining democratic accountability.

Consider how this plays out across Musk’s various roles. As DOGE director, he has significant authority over federal contracting and procurement. Yet he simultaneously controls SpaceX, which receives billions in government contracts for national security launches. This means he’s effectively sitting on both sides of the negotiating table—representing both the public interest in efficient contracting and his private interest in maximizing profit. This isn’t just inappropriate; it’s explicitly prohibited by federal law.

The conflict becomes even more profound when we examine his control of X/Twitter while serving as a government official. A platform that plays a crucial role in public discourse is now effectively under government control through Musk’s dual position. We’ve already seen how this creates direct First Amendment violations—when Musk uses the platform to censor discussion of government employees, he’s acting simultaneously as platform owner and government censor. This is precisely the kind of merger of private and public power that constitutional safeguards were designed to prevent.

Tesla presents another stark example of illegal conflict. As a federal official with broad authority over government efficiency and procurement, Musk oversees policies that directly affect the electric vehicle industry. Yet he simultaneously runs the largest electric vehicle manufacturer in America. This means his official actions—whether about environmental regulations, government fleet purchases, or infrastructure decisions—inevitably affect his private interests. Federal law prohibits this arrangement because it makes it impossible to determine whether decisions are being made for public benefit or private gain.

The foundational law here is 18 U.S.C. § 208—Acts affecting a personal financial interest. This criminal statute prohibits federal employees from participating in matters that affect their financial interests. The law is crystal clear: A federal employee cannot participate in any “particular matter” that affects their financial interest or the interests of their companies. Every time Musk makes decisions about government efficiency or procurement while controlling Tesla, SpaceX, or his other companies, he’s potentially violating this criminal statute….

Through DOGE, Musk has gained access to incredibly sensitive government systems and information—including Treasury payment systems, classified materials, and internal agency data. This means every conflict-of-interest statute is triggered at its highest level of concern. Here’s why:

When Congress passed 18 U.S.C. § 208, they were imagining scenarios where federal officials might have access to some information that could affect their private interests. But Musk’s situation goes far beyond anything the drafters likely contemplated—he has gained access to the actual machinery of government while simultaneously running multiple companies directly affected by that machinery.

Consider what this means in practice: Through DOGE, he has access to sensitive Treasury data while running public companies whose stock prices could be affected by that information. He can see classified materials while controlling SpaceX, which competes for national security contracts. He has visibility into federal agency operations while owning a social media platform that shapes public discourse about those agencies….

We’re watching the illegal seizure of government power by private interests in real time. Full stop. There’s no complex legal theory that makes this okay. No presidential waiver or executive order can override these fundamental conflict-of-interest laws any more than they can make two plus two equal five.

This isn’t about government efficiency or reform— it’s about converting public institutions into instruments of private power.


Trump Purges Inspectors General Investigating Musk’s Businesses

[The Lever, February 7, 2025]

At the Department of Agriculture, where the inspector general’s office was probing alleged animal abuse at Musk’s brain implant company Neuralink, inspector general and 22-year USDA veteran Phyllis Fong was escorted out of her office by security guards last Monday. Department of Defense Inspector General Robert Storch was fired just months after he reportedly opened a review into repeated failures by Musk and his rocket company SpaceX to properly disclose their contact with foreign leaders.

The Department of Transportation, which oversees the National Transportation Safety Board, had its inspector general fired as safety regulators oversaw several open probes into Tesla, Musk’s electrical vehicle company, over its remote and self-driving vehicles. The same goes for the Environmental Protection Agency, where investigators have settled multiple lawsuits with Tesla in recent years over Clean Air Act and hazardous waste law violations.

Trump also fired the inspector general at the Department of Labor, which oversees the National Labor Relations Board. The board has 17 open investigations against Musk’s companies Tesla and SpaceX for alleged unfair labor practices, safety violations, and discriminatory work practices.



A 25-Year-Old With Elon Musk Ties Has Direct Access to the Federal Payment System

[Wired, February 4, 2025]


Why DOGE’s meddling at Treasury could have catastrophic consequences for the US economy

Liz Fong-Jones, February 6, 2025 [Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists]

Individual engineers experimenting directly upon real, live systems without first validating their changes or seeking peer review violates every best practice for controlling risk in the industry. Elon Musk says he wants to run the government more like a business, but no business operates this way. For instance, every public company must implement Sarbanes-Oxley (SOX) controls to ensure no single developer can tamper with their financial data and systems. The vast majority of private software companies adhere to Service Organization Control Type 2 (SOC2), and the government’s own Authorization to Operate (ATO) protocols, which likewise prescribe testing processes and forbid employees from unilaterally making changes. 


Musk’s Treasury Incursion Puts Entire Financial System at Risk 

[Bloomberg, via Naked Capitalism 02-08-2025]


The Young, Inexperienced Engineers Aiding Elon Musk’s Government Takeover 

[Wired, via Naked Capitalism 02-03-2025]


‘Things Are Going to Get Intense:’ How a Musk Ally Plans to Push AI on the Government 

[404 Media, via Naked Capitalism 02-06-2025] 


Musk’s Junta Establishes Him as Head of Government 

[Doomsday Scenario, via Naked Capitalism 02-02-2025] 

Imagining how we'd cover overseas what's happening to the U.S. right now


Elon Musk’s Takeover Is Causing Rifts in Donald Trump’s Inner Circle

Jake Lahut, Feb 5, 2025 [Wired]


Elon Musk’s Demolition Crew

[Propublica, Feb. 6, 2025]

[TW: Short bios of 22 people working for DOGE, including the wife of Trump’s deputy chief of staff Stephen Miller]


The Elite Lawyers Working for Elon Musk’s DOGE Include Former Supreme Court Clerks

[ProPublica, Februrary 7, 2025]

All three — Keenan Kmiec, James Burnham and Jacob Altik — have DOGE email addresses at the Executive Office of the President, according to records reviewed by ProPublica. 


Trump Has Disturbing Response to DOGE’s Massive Overreach of Power

Edith Olmsted, February 7, 2025 [The New Republic]

During a press conference Friday, Trump was asked about the Department of Government Efficiency’s unfettered access to trillion-dollar payment systems such as the U.S. Treasury Department, as well as the personal information of millions of Americans, including their Social Security numbers, home addresses, and bank account numbers.

“Why does DOGE need all of that?” asked one reporter.

“Well, it doesn’t, but they get it very easily,” Trump admitted. “I mean, we don’t have very good security in our country, and they get it very easily.”

Trump appeared completely unbothered by the massive intrusion on the privacy of U.S. citizens—in fact, he seemed to suggest it was the fault of government agencies for not better concealing this information from Musk’s goons.


Exclusive: DOGE Staffers Appear to Have Admin Accounts at Department of Education as Trump Seeks to Abolish It 

[Zeteo, via Naked Capitalism 02-08-2025]


It's Grim at the Department of Labor: One DOL staffer explains what we stand to lose.

Hamilton Nolan, Feb 08, 2025 [How Things Work]


The Government’s Computing Experts Say They Are Terrified 

[The Atlantic, via Naked Capitalism Water Cooler 02-07-2025]

“Elon Musk’s unceasing attempts to access the data and information systems of the federal government range so widely, and are so unprecedented and unpredictable, that government computing experts believe the effort has spun out of control. This week, we spoke with four federal-government IT professionals—all experienced contractors and civil servants who have built, modified, or maintained the kind of technological infrastructure that Musk’s inexperienced employees at his newly created Department of Government Efficiency are attempting to access. In our conversations, each expert was unequivocal: They are terrified and struggling to articulate the scale of the crisis…. The four experts laid out the implications of giving untrained individuals access to the technological infrastructure that controls the country. Their message is unambiguous: These are not systems you tamper with lightly. Musk and his crew could act deliberately to extract sensitive data, alter fundamental aspects of how these systems operate, or provide further access to unvetted actors. Or they may act with carelessness or incompetence, breaking the systems altogether. Given the scope of what these systems do, key government services might stop working properly, citizens could be harmed, and the damage might be difficult or impossible to undo. As one administrator for a federal agency with deep knowledge about the government’s IT operations told us, ‘I don’t think the public quite understands the level of danger.’ Each of our four sources, three of whom requested anonymity out of fear of reprisal, made three points very clear: These systems are immense, they are complex, and they are critical.”


DOGE targets Consumer Financial Protection Bureau as Musk tweets ‘RIP’ 

[Washington Post, via Naked Capitalism 02-08-2025]

[Lambert Strether notes “The CFPB is funded by the Fed, not Congress, although it was set up by Congress. The Fed has not been bowing to Trump.”]



Elon Musk Has Broken the Constitutional Order

Matt Ford, February 5, 2025 [The New Republic]

Trump and Musk hope to dismantle this post–Gilded Age system altogether. The president’s hatred of the “deep state” of D.C. bureaucrats, whom he blames for his first term’s failures, pairs easily with Shadow President Musk’s hatred of any regulatory constraints that could limit his businesses. “Regulations, basically, should be default gone,” Musk said recently in a group chat hosted on Twitter. “Not default there: default gone. And if it turns out that we missed the mark on a regulation, we can always add it back in.”

Musk acknowledged in that pseudo–town hall that he hopes to deal as much damage as possible as quickly as possible. “If it’s not possible now, it’ll never be possible,” he told his allies, including two Republican lawmakers. “This is our shot. This is the best hand of cards we’re ever going to have. And if we don’t take advantage of this best hand of cards, it’s never going to happen, so we’re going to do it.” (Musk has previously suggested that a Trump administration would engineer an economic crisis as a matter of course, promising supporters a period of “economic chaos, a crashing stock market and financial hardship”—the prospects of which become much more realistic now that he controls the federal government’s purse strings.)


DOGE Employees Ordered to Stop Using Slack While Agency Transitions to a Records System Not Subject to FOIA 

[404 Media, via Naked Capitalism Water Cooler 02-06-2025]

“The messages indicate that, under Elon Musk’s leadership, DOGE is actively taking steps to make sure its communications and records are not subject to the Freedom of Information Act, a records transparency law commonly used by journalists and lawyers to hold government accountable. Instead, DOGE is asserting that rather than reporting up through the Office of Management and Budget as the United States Digital Service did for years, it is reporting through the Executive Office of the President and to White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles. Under OMB, it was generally subject to FOIA. Under the White House Chief of Staff, records it creates are generally not subject to FOIA.”


Red states pursue their own DOGE-style reforms 

[The Hill, via Naked Capitalism 02-08-2025]


Anti-republicanism

The Plot Against America: How a Dangerous Ideology Born From the Libertarian Movement Stands Ready to Seize America

Mike Brock, February 08, 2025 [Notes From The Circus]

As I write this in early 2025, a quiet revolution is unfolding within the U.S. government. Inside the newly created Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), teams of young tech operatives are systematically dismantling democratic institutions and replacing them with proprietary artificial intelligence systems. Civil servants who raise legal objections are being removed. Government databases are being migrated to private servers. Decision-making power is being transferred from elected officials and career bureaucrats to algorithms controlled by a small network of Silicon Valley elites. This isn't a spontaneous coup—it's the culmination of a dangerous ideology that has been meticulously developed since the 2008 financial crisis, one that sees democracy itself as obsolete technology ready to be “disrupted.” To understand how we reached this critical moment, and why it threatens the very foundation of democratic governance, we need to trace the evolution of an idea: that democracy is not just inefficient, but fundamentally incompatible with technological progress….

On September 15, 2008, Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy, marking the largest failure of an investment bank since the Great Depression. This event catalyzed the global financial crisis, leading to widespread economic hardship and a profound loss of faith in established institutions.

In the aftermath of the crisis, several key figures emerged who would go on to shape a new movement in American politics.

Curtis Yarvin, writing under the pseudonym Mencius Moldbug, had been developing a critique of modern democracy on his blog Unqualified Reservations since 2007. As the financial crisis unfolded, Yarvin applied his unconventional analysis to the economic turmoil.

In a 2008 post, “The Misesian explanation of the bank crisis,” Yarvin wrote….

For decades, libertarian thinkers had argued that free markets, left unrestrained, would naturally outperform any system of government. But what if the problem wasn’t just government interference in markets—what if the very concept of democracy itself was flawed?

This was the argument put forward by Hans-Hermann Hoppe, a student of Mises's protégé Murray Rothbard, who took libertarian skepticism of the state to its extreme conclusion. His 2001 book Democracy: The God That Failed landed like a bombshell in libertarian circles. Published at a moment when many Americans still saw democracy as the “end of history,” Hoppe argued that democracy was an inherently unstable system, one that incentivized short-term decision-making and mob rule rather than rational governance. His alternative? A return to monarchy.

But this wasn’t the monarchy of old. Hoppe envisioned a new order—one where governance was privatized, where societies functioned as “covenant communities” owned and operated by property-holders rather than elected officials. In this world, citizenship was a matter of contract, not birthright. Voting was unnecessary. Rule was left to those with the most capital at stake. It was libertarian thought taken to its most extreme conclusion: a society governed not by political equality, but by property rights alone….

2008 did not just destroy the economy—it shattered faith in democratic institutions themselves. Libertarians saw an opportunity. And in Silicon Valley, a new belief took hold: democracy wasn’t just inefficient—it was obsolete. Over the next decade, the ideas incubated in this period would evolve into a coherent challenge to the foundations of liberal democracy, backed by some of the most powerful figures in technology and finance.

As millions of Americans lost their homes and jobs in the years following the crisis, these ideas began to gain momentum. The Tea Party movement emerged in 2009, channeling populist anger against government bailouts and the Obama administration's response to the crisis.

As the Tea Party gained momentum, it fostered a broader cultural shift that primed many Americans to be receptive to alternative political and economic theories. This shift extended beyond traditional conservatism, creating an opening for the tech-libertarian ideas emerging from Silicon Valley.

The movement’s emphasis on individual liberty and skepticism of centralized authority resonated with the anti-government sentiment growing in tech circles. As a result, concepts like cryptocurrency and decentralized governance, once considered fringe, began to find a more mainstream audience among those disillusioned with traditional political and financial systems.

Peter Thiel, one of the most outspoken erstwhile libertarians in Silicon Valley, put this sentiment in stark terms in his 2009 essay The Education of a Libertarian: “I no longer believe that freedom and democracy are compatible.” ….

Figures like Yarvin didn’t just critique democracy—they sought to undermine the very conditions in which democratic deliberation is possible. By weaponizing media fragmentation, they hacked the cognitive foundations of democracy itself, ensuring that political power would no longer rest on reasoned debate but on the ability to manipulate information flows....


Project 2025: Russell Vought’s plan to force the United States into a theocracy if Trump seizes power

Heather Cox Richardson,  July 19, 2024 [Milwaukee Independent]


OMB head Russell Vought takes over as CFPB as acting head, DOGE team deletes X account

Matt Egan, February 8, 2025 [CNN] 


Trump loyalist pushes ‘post-Constitutional’ vision for second term 

Beth Reinhard, June 8, 2024 [Washington Post]

A battle-tested D.C. bureaucrat and self-described Christian nationalist is drawing up detailed plans for a sweeping expansion of presidential power in a second Trump administration. Russ Vought, who served as the former president’s budget chief, calls his political strategy for razing long-standing guardrails “radical constitutionalism.”


Renewing American Purpose

Russell Vought, September 29, 2022 [The American Mind, Claremont Institute]

We are in a post constitutional moment in our country. Our constitutional institutions, understandings, and practices have all been transformed, over decades, away from the words on the paper into a new arrangement—a new regime if you will—that pays only lip service to the old Constitution. Our system is now much more like an unwritten constitution which operates based on precedents, like the English system. No constitutional amendments have been passed to enact this, but new legal paradigms have been introduced—a “living constitution,” independent agencies, permanent, “expert” civil servants—that have changed the underlying separation of powers at the core of our system.

[TW: Vought is comically ironic, because movement conservatives, before they were brought to power by Trump, used to proclaim the need to respect norms, mores, and traditions developed by societies over long periods of time. They used to argue for strong limits on government, incremental change, and institutional stability. What they are doing now, using the unitary executive to eliminate entire agencies of government, contradicts the primacy accorded to Congress in the Loper Bright decision they celebrated just a year ago. 

[And their argument about originalism is shown to be sham by the absence of any discussion of how the founders worried about the ill effects of political parties, and wanted to prohibit them. All the dangers the founders foresaw we are now experiencing as the Republican Party supports Trump’s unitary executive actions over the heads of Congress, destroying the founders’ scheme of having an independent legislative branch check the executive. ]


More Babies!  Trump and his set act carefree in the face of catastrophe—and they give their supporters permission to do the same.

Ben Tarnoff, February 7, 2025 [The New York Review]

... It is not just the fires, floods, zoonotic diseases, and other insignia of ecological emergency. It is also the discomfiting spectacle of a leadership class so extravagantly unfit for the task at hand. Incompetent rulers are nothing new. They are one of human history’s main themes. What feels more specific to our time is the extent to which our leaders have responded to a moment of severe and proliferating crisis by regressing into a childlike state, and encouraging their followers to do the same….

But Trump is poorly cast for the part of patriarch. While he glowers in his official portraits, his political style is more silly than stern. He babbles. He is a creature of impulse and instinct, fickle and dysregulated. His humor is that of the schoolyard; his train of thought is, at minimum, haphazard. If you have ever heard a toddler tell a story, it sounds like Trump: digressive, bizarre, filled with tonal shifts, often hilarious. His inner circle exudes a similarly infantile affect. Elon Musk is nothing if not a smirking preadolescent….

The desire to be carefree is integral to the psychic allure of Trumpism. It is pleasurable to disinter one’s deepest resentments, to worship power, to go berserk with rage, to be floridly conspiratorial, to know nothing, to hallucinate Marxists under the bed, to picture the people you hate in tears and in chains. But the unifying principle, the rind that envelops and coheres these delights, is the abdication of adulthood’s defining obligation: to take responsibility for oneself and others. It is precisely this responsibility that Trump and his set refuse….

No picture of Trumpism would be complete without the Democratic Party bumbling about in the background, and here too the logic of Big Baby finds a foothold. The counterpart to the feral puerility of American conservatism is a senescent American liberalism whose grandees are well into their second childhood....

It cannot be banished by banishing Biden, as it is a more general condition. The party is run by sundowning seniors who refuse to cede the driver’s seat even though they pose a danger to themselves and others: recall Dianne Feinstein berating a room full of literal children for politely asking her to do something about climate change….   

Nobody went to jail for the Iraq War or the 2007–2008 financial crisis. In a time of mass criminalization, when children can be tried as adults, the worst adults are never punished. Creating a culture of elite impunity has been a bipartisan affair, and it has bred the cynicism on which Trumpism feeds. Equally bipartisan is the state’s decades-long divestiture from the obligation of caring for its citizens, a process that the scholar Ruth Wilson Gilmore calls “organized abandonment.”

Earlier generations of social movements were able to force the creation of institutions that, however imperfectly, bore a degree of responsibility for our collective wellbeing. The story of the last half-century is the corrosion of those institutions, with prisons, private equity, and other toxins oozing through the cracks. It is a sign of how antisocial our society has become that the basic values one learns in kindergarten—to share, to be kind, to tell the truth, to reciprocate and cooperate—are so vilified in our political life. 

Nation Shrugs as Godzilla Eats Washington 

Matt Taibbi, Racket News [Center for Renewing A


Resistance

What Are Democrats Supposed to Do?

Josh Marshall, February 3, 2025 [Talking Points Memo]

Right now in Washington, DC, Donald Trump and Elon Musk are dominating literally everything. That will start changing quickly, at least in a limited way, in the courts. But the overriding need is for Democrats to get a seat at the table. And they can do that in several ways. The biggest way is that Republicans will need help to pass a budget and raise the debt ceiling. The rubber starts meeting the road on that front next month. Real soon. You can talk as much as you want. But the White House and congressional Republicans absolutely need that help. And Democrats need to be crystal clear that the answer is absolutely no help — without meeting their conditions. That’s where you get the seat at the table….

The crisis part of this is that Trump needs to stop breaking the law. The nonsense of trying to unilaterally shut down whole parts of the government, cancer research and everything else has to stop. The whole Musk operation. No more breaking federal laws. There’s a budget. The President can’t ignore the law. How to make that argument? Musk gave a bunch of kids access to your monthly Social Security check and all your financial data. They can stop anyone’s check at any time. That’s the central message. That has to stop. The larger political message is that Trump is taking away your health care and starting a trade war to jack up your prices all so that he and his billionaire friends can get huge tax cuts. Remember that the clearest poll data we’ve gotten since the inauguration is that “billionaire advisors” are super unpopular and Musk specifically is very unpopular. That’s the outline of the whole message. You’re about to lose a lot of stuff — your health care coverage and a bunch of money to inflation — so Elon and Trump and their pals can get a tax cut….

So what should or can someone individually do? If Democrats are starting to ask, why should we help?, I would want to send the message that they absolutely shouldn’t. This isn’t a hard message. Get your hands off my parents’ Social Security checks and stop looking at their financial data. No help on anything until the law breaking stops. Period. No debt ceiling help. No budget help. And remember — Democrats can grind the Senate to a halt at any time by refusing unanimous consent to new business. No help on anything until the law breaking stops, and hands off the parents’ Social Security checks. Or yours. That’s a strong message.


Global power shift

Chinese cars at smartphone prices

[X-Twitter, via Naked Capitalism 02-06-2025]


Chinese cars at smartphone prices: Revolutionizing the budget car market February 5, 2025   In China, the prices of new cars have reached incredibly low values, which are comparable to the prices of modern smartphones. Chinese automakers have managed to offer vehicles at prices ranging from just $610 to $1,714, making them the most affordable models in the world.



Did a Trump executive order just cripple the global US regime change network? 

Kit Klarenberg, January 31, 2025 [thegrayzone.com]


Gaza / Palestine / Israel

Trump spoke to Egyptian president about plan to evict Palestinians from Gaza 

[Axios, via Naked Capitalism 02-02-2025]


‘Existence is resistance’: Palestinians tell Trump they won’t leave Gaza 

[Defend Democracy, via Naked Capitalism 02-08-2025]


Did You Notice? They Admitted Possibly Killing Almost a Million Palestinians 

[BettBeat, via Naked Capitalism 02-08-2025]

The truly chilling aspect was not just the numbers, but the casual manner of their delivery. Between discussions of real estate opportunities and vague promises of regional stability, the two leaders outlined a vision of Gaza stripped of its indigenous population, reimagined as a playground for investors and developers. The banality of evil, as Hannah Arendt observed, often comes dressed in bureaucratic language and economic projections.

The press corps sat silent. Markets continued trading. The machinery of state ground forward. Yet in that moment, through a simple numerical admission, we witnessed the acknowledgment of one of history's most rapid and devastating campaigns of population elimination.


Oligarchy

CEO of Palantir telling shareholders that ‘when it’s necessary to scare enemies & on occasion kill them’

[X-Twitter, via Naked Capitalism Water Cooler 02-05-2025]

Carole Cadwalladr
@carolecadwalla
Britain: we have to understand wtf we’ve done. We’ve allowed one of Trump’s closest allies have access to our entire NHS data systems. This is the CEO of Palantir telling shareholders that ‘when it’s necessary to scare enemies & on occasion kill them’
Quote
Evan
@StockMKTNewz
·
Feb 3
Palantir $PLTR CEO Alex Karp just said this to retail shareholders

[TW: The Palantir CEO openly saying they sometimes kill their enemies reminds me that "doge" was the title of the leader of the oligarchy of Venice. "Doge" is Venetian dialect for "duke." The best commentary I ever read about the Venetians calling themselves a "republic" was James Fenimore Cooper's "Introduction" to his 1831 novel The Bravo. The Wikipedia entry does not even summarize the story, which is about a highly skilled swordsman being blackmailed by the Venetians to be an assassin (his father has been imprisoned by the Venetians).

[The Bravo to Palantir: the more things change, the more they remain the same.

[We have to expect the worst from Musk's seizure of control of the US government. ]


Trumpillnomics

PRESIDENT TRUMP’S TARIFFS ARE A NECESSARY SOLUTION 

[The White House, via Naked Capitalism 02-03-2025]

[TW: I read this, and gawked at how basically incompetent it was. It’s just a pastiche of campaign talking points, many of them not even related to tariffs or trade. For example, there are repeated references to fentanyl trafficking. How are tariffs going to be applied to an illegal substance? And there is no discussion at all about making sure the banking and financial system support the goal of increasing economic capacity, rather than the present focus on achieving maximum short term “profit.” ]


Restoring balance to the economy

On Having a Maximum Wealth A small thought experiment.

Hamilton Nolan, January 25, 2025 [How Things Work]

…The idea that, in a world of scarcity, there is a level of wealth that is enough is both common sense and kryptonite to capitalism. The fact that there is not and has never been a serious discussion of capping wealth or incomes in America—despite the accompanying fact that even a child can understand that at some level, gaining additional wealth becomes unnecessary—goes to show how central the concept of unlimited wealth accumulation is to everything that happens here….

As long as the people who control AI and its corporate underpinnings are allowed to make an unlimited amount of money from it, making a large amount of money for those people will be the underlying goal of the AI industry. That is the logic of capitalism, so fundamental to everything in America that it tends to disappear in the background. This is the default. This is why on the internet, for example, websites like Wikipedia and Craigslist, which operate with “usefulness to the public” as their goal, are the exceptions, and pop-up ads designed to rip you off and hidden scams to steal your data are the rule. It is easy to imagine Facebook as a useful public utility; instead, it is a trashy den of extremism and slop. That is because the company makes its decisions in service of making money rather than in service of being useful to the public. Despite the fact that Mark Zuckerberg has a net worth of more than $200 billion, far more than his descendants could ever spend in several generations, he continues to make his primary product worse because it will make him more money. This, though we do not always think of it this way, is the consequence of having no limit to the accumulation of wealth….

Progressives spend their lives fighting for laws and regulations and reforms to try to counteract this trend. I would argue that capping the accumulation of wealth would be the easiest and most direct way to achieve the things we are trying to achieve….

Such a limit on net worth would eliminate the incentive of every single tech CEO, already rich, to get richer. By default, the AI industry would need another goal. The question guiding the evolution of the technology could be, “How do we use this powerful technology to make lives better?” The new drugs it discovered would be distributed with an eye towards the public good rather than towards the infinite generation of profits. The drudge work that it automates could be paid back to the public in the form of shorter hours for the same pay, rather than having those gains taken by CEOs and investors, while workers were stuck with fewer jobs. And on, and on. All I am suggesting here is that there is shortcut to the goals that communists were going for, that does not require full revolution. Simply capping how rich people are allowed to get could radically reorient the goals of society by removing the (insane!) thing that our mighty corporations now work towards like insatiable robots of doom.

Stop Worshiping the American Tech Giants 

Lina M. Khan [New York Times, via Naked Capitalism 02-05-2025]


Is Trump Serious About Trying to Close the Private Equity Carried Interest Loophole?

Yves Smith,February 7, 2025 [Naked Capitalism]

[TW: If Trump and the (anti)Republicans really want to help working people, a top priority would be abolishing the carried interest loophole and cutting private equity down to size. For example, tariffs won’t bring much manufacturing back if the financial and banking system is not refocused from short term profits to long term increases in industrial capacity.]

 ...we expect this to be at most Mexico-Canada tariffs 2.0: that even if Trump presses forward in a serious manner, he’ll declare victory after getting minor concessions, or here, tax code changes…. 


Disrupting mainstream economics

A few points for the left 

Julia Steinberger [via Naked Capitalism 02-05-2025]

[TW: A review of the Movement for Socialism event in Zurich, “a lovely gathering of leftists in the context of resisting the World Economic Forum in Davos” by a friendly attendee. Gives you a good idea of how politically sterile and useless the left has become. ]


Does the Far Left have a way ahead?

Mike Shelby, January 24, 2025 [Gray Zone Research]

...there are six factors by which to judge an insurgency, or in this case another national insurrection:

  • Appeal of Program

  • Popular Support

  • Quality of Leadership & Troops

  • Internal Unity

  • Operational Terrain

  • Sanctuary….


  • The operational terrain has shifted. Geographically, of course, nothing has changed. But the Operational Environment — the human terrain, politics and governance, law enforcement’s stance against political violence — has changed drastically. The conditions favorable to violent and disruptive direct action from 2020 don’t exist anymore. And surveillance cameras and security systems combined with artificial intelligence will almost certainly make detection and tracking faster and easier.

  • Additionally, one of the largest drivers of Far Left organizing from 2015-2021 was actually right wing organizing. Proud Boys, Patriot Prayer, and other right wing groups regularly organized, held meetings and rallies, and had a public events for which there necessitated so-called antifascist opposition. This is one of the largest changes in operational terrain, because those groups either don’t exist anymore or they don’t hold public events. The lack of right wing street action — easily identifiable and accessible in urban settings — is one of the largest reasons for the disappearance of left wing street action. Pending a return of right wing street groups, the Far Left has fewer accessible targets.


Health care crisis

What is Long COVID? A Beginner's Guide

Julia Doubleday, Feb 07, 2025 [The Gauntlet, via Naked Capitalism 02-08-2025]


Information age dystopia / surveillance state

Add F*cking to Your Google Searches to Neutralize AI Summaries 

[Gizmodo, via Naked Capitalism 02-03-2025]

...if people are regularly finding techniques to disable AI summaries in Google searches, perhaps that means they do not want them in the first place? Google search results have never been perfect, of course—there is still a lot of poor information across the web. But AI summaries present users with a prominent blurb at the top of their search that looks authoritative when it just risks compounding the misinformation problem with more erroneous slop…. 

...this is all being forced on users whether they like it or not. From Google Docs to X and Instagram, there are AI buttons and search boxes and dropdowns everywhere now, because every tech company needs to have an AI strategy. Is a basic keyword search too much to ask?


Climate and environmental crises

The climate crisis is set to erase $1.47 trillion in US home values. Here are 5 areas predicted to get hit hard.

[Business Insider, via Naked Capitalism 02-06-2025]


Democrats' political malpractice

This Is So Much Worse Than Last Time -Why Democrats and the media are struggling to capture the insanity—and danger—of the new Trump administration.

Alex Shephard. February 5, 2025 [The New Republic]

...Meanwhile, the Democrats, who ostensibly don’t get to take a break from this, have, in characteristic fashion, taken the wrong lessons from his reelection and seem to have spent much of the last two months paying the same consultants who lost the election to tell them how they can be more like Trump. Despite the takeover of the Treasury they are, incredibly, still voting for some of his nominees. (Chris Wright, a former fracking executive, was confirmed as energy secretary with seven Democratic votes on Tuesday.)


Why Are Dems Surprised? [podcast]

[The Intercept, February 7, 2025]

On this week’s episode of The Intercept Briefing, foreign policy analyst and Voices contributor Sunjeev Bery says it has a lot to do with who makes up the party leadership. “I’ll say that from my perch, what I’m seeing is a window into the broader culture of the elected officials of the Democratic Party. They are not organizers, by and large. They are not people who build and channel power to extract concessions from the powers that be. They are ladder climbers and aggregators of pre-existing power. And that’s why the Democratic Party is losing. You have folks like Chuck Schumer, he’s not a critic of concentrated wealth. He’s a product of concentrated wealth.”


Trump’s transactional regime


Conservative / Libertarian / (anti)Republican Drive to Civil War and / or Pandemonium

[TW: reference is to John Milton’s Pandemonium in "Paradise Lost" Book I : The Capital of Hell ]


How Civil Wars Start, Part 1 — Here's some background on the biggest development since the 2020 coup

Mike Shelby, January 29, 2025 [Gray Zone Research]

Implications: First, this is not simple political warfare. This is an intra-elite conflict over control of state resources and cultural institutions, and it’s important because intra-elite conflict historically leads to civil war and state breakdown.

Intra-elite conflict is seen in the lead up to the French Revolution and English Civil War, where the counter-elite faction attacks the elite’s monopoly on power. It's also seen prior to fragmentation in the late Roman Republic and inter-war Weimar Germany.

If the Trump administration is successful, then progressive NGOs will see a reduction in employment, organizing capability, and influence-building through social services. This is an existential crisis for establishment elites. These are the roots of their power and influence.



The Coming War on Dissent 

Jack Crosbie, February 4, 2025 [The New Republic]

As critics focus on Trump’s attacks on the media, his administration is preparing a larger assault on the First Amendment.


The Far-Right Group Building a List of Pro-Palestine Activists to Deport

Jonah Valdez, February 6 2025 [The Intercept]

The premise behind Trump’s more recent order is rooted in Project Esther: a treatise by the authors of Project 2025. The document was billed as “a blueprint to counter antisemitism” and offered strategies to target and silence critics of Israel, including deportation. A fact sheet about the executive order related by the Trump administration mirrored language from Project Esther and laid bare the order’s intent to “cancel the student visas of all Hamas sympathizers on college campuses,” vowing to deport “all the resident aliens who joined in the pro-jihadist protests.”

Such ideas are increasingly gaining purchase in conservative discourse. Pledges to deport supporters of Palestinian rights were a key part of the Republican Party’s platform. A congressional bill introduced last May called for similar measures.


Caribbean Matters: ICE raids target Puerto Ricans and Puerto Rico

Denise Oliver Velez, February 08, 2025 [DailyKos]


Oklahoma’s Mental Health System Under Threat: A Deep Dive into House Bill 1343 

[Dissent Speaks, via Naked Capitalism 02-03-2025]

“….proposes to completely dissolve the Department of Mental Health and Substance Abuse Services (ODMHSAS) and transfer all its functions to the Department of Corrections.”


Trump says he’s firing Kennedy Center board of trustees members and naming himself chairman

Will Weissert, February 8, 2025 [AP]


Sunday, February 2, 2025

Week-end Wrap – Political Economy – February 02, 2025

Week-end Wrap – Political Economy – February 02, 2025

By Tony Wikrent


Strategic Political Economy

We Found the $2 Trillion

David Dayen, January 27, 2025 [The American Prospect]

GRAPH — The Road to $2 Trillion

Elon Musk wants to cut government spending. But the waste in the system goes to elites like him. Here’s a better way to bring down deficits….

This article should come with a warning label: We should not cancel the equivalent of 7 percent in annual GDP all at once, which would trigger a deep recession. But identifying the real sources of inefficiency in our government—the trillions funneled to elites—can preserve resources for programs to help those in need….

Ramaswamy has called for a 75 percent personnel reduction across federal agencies. This would hardly save anything. According to the Congressional Budget Office, there are about 2.3 million federal employees with total compensation in 2023 of $271 billion; that’s 4 percent of the U.S. budget. Federal employees were roughly 4.3 percent of all workers in 1960 and 1.4 percent today. As a result, we’ve seen an explosion in contractors undertaking tasks that government workers used to perform. Nearly three times as much money is spent on contractors than federal workers.

Slashing the federal workforce, almost two-thirds of which is at the Departments of Defense, Veterans Affairs, and Homeland Security, would likely lead to more expensive contractors, and also increase the $247 billion in improper payments the government makes every year....

Physicians for a National Health Program (PNHP), which advocates for a single-payer system, noticed even greater savings potential in the MedPAC report. Traditional Medicare sets a “benchmark” for spending on the average beneficiary. Several studies have shown that MA plans spend between 11 and 14 percent less, because they cherry-pick healthier patients, even after accounting for upcoding to make them look sicker. Increasing denials of care allows MA plans to rake in even more profit.

In all, PNHP found that MA plans charge the government at rates $140 billion per year higher than traditional Medicare…. 

The government also spends massive amounts of money on prescription drugs. In 2022, U.S. drug prices were 178 percent higher than in 33 other industrialized nations, according to a report funded by the Department of Health and Human Services. Some of these drugs are sold at 20 to 30 times the cost of production and distribution; pharmaceutical profit margins are significantly higher than private-sector counterparts…. Using federal statutes to seize certain drug patents and distribute them to generic manufacturers that charge less would also save billions. But more structurally, we could overhaul the monopoly patent system that gives drug companies exclusive rights to charge whatever they want for a set period….

Of course, moving to a single-payer system wholesale could yield over half a trillion dollars in savings from administrative expenses alone, per the People’s Policy Project. But even if the nation isn’t ready for single-payer, limiting private-sector profit-taking and boosting public provision comes to roughly $490 billion per year….

In 2021, the Congressional Budget Office offered a range of options to take the Pentagon budget down by $1 trillion over a decade. Gledhill estimated significant savings from service contracts, which make up close to half of all Pentagon obligations. Many are redundant or could be done more cheaply in-house. Other possibilities include unwinding ineffective contract orders and bringing in other firms to drive down costs through a competitive bidding process….

Putting a number on Pentagon savings is difficult, but using CBO’s conservative figures would net $100 billion per year. Some people I talked to think that could double. Let’s split the difference and say $150 billion a year.

The kind of procurement reform in service contracts and equipment orders needed at DOD could be replicated across the government, insourcing operations and ensuring that taxpayers aren’t routinely ripped off. The Project on Government Oversight has found that federal employees are almost uniformly less expensive than contractors. The Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development estimates that one-fifth of government procurement globally is siphoned away through bid-rigging. In the U.S., that translates to $150 billion a year. As much as $521 billion a year is lost due to fraud, according to the Government Accountability Office. As Matt Stoller has written, management consultants with a tendency to do nothing but add bloat cost the government $70 billion in 2023.

GRAPH — The Road to $2 Trillion

…. the tax gap, the distance between tax liability in a given year and actual taxes paid. In 2022, the last year studied, the IRS put this number at an astonishing $606 billion per year. This gap is concentrated among the top 1 percent, who evade $163 billion per year, according to a 2021 Treasury Department report….

...A one-percentage-point increase in the corporate tax rate equals about $13.5 billion per year in revenue. Setting a 25 percent tax rate through stock returns would lead to almost no difference between the nominal and the effective tax rate. For the past couple of years, the effective corporate tax rate has been around 20 percent. Add five points and you’re up to $65 billion per year….

...There are several other major tax expenditures; the Tax Policy Center lists the top 13 as costing between $1.12 trillion and $1.38 trillion per year, depending on the estimate. It’s a dizzying amount of money, funneled mostly from working people to elites…. 


Trump and Elon Musk Just Pulled Off Another Purge—and It’s a Scary One

Greg Sargent, January 31, 2025 [The New Republic]

...Why is Musk’s DOGE trying to access payment systems inside the Treasury Department? It’s not clear what relevance this would have to his ostensible role, which is to search for savings and inefficiencies in government, not to directly influence whether previously authorized government obligations are honored.

Another question: Did Trump directly authorize Musk to do this, or did he not? Either answer is bad. If Trump did, he may be authorizing an unelected billionaire to exert unprecedented control over the internal workings of government payment systems. If he did not, then Musk may be going rogue to an even greater extent than we thought….

Former officials I spoke with were at a loss to explain why Musk would want such access. They noted that while we don’t yet know Musk’s motive, the move could potentially give DOGE the power to turn off all kinds of government payments in a targeted way. They said we now must establish if Musk is seeking to carry out what Trump tried via his federal funding freeze: Turn off government payments previously authorized by Congress. The White House rescinded the freeze after a national outcry, but Trump’s spokesperson vowed the hunt for spending to halt will continue. The former officials are asking: Is this Treasury power grab a way to execute that?

“Anybody who would have access to these systems is in a position to turn off funding selectively,” said Michael Linden, a former OMB official who is now director of Families Over Billionaires, a group fighting Trump’s tax cuts for the rich. “The only reason Musk wants to get himself in there must be because he wants to turn some things off.”


Trump: We’re Forging A New Political Majority That’s Shattering The New Deal Coalition

[RealClearPolitics, via Naked Capitalism Water Cooler 01-28-2025]

President Donald Trump speaks at the House Republican Issues Conference at the Trump National Doral Miami Resort: “Together, we’re forging a new political majority that’s shattering and replacing Franklin Roosevelt’s New Deal coalition, which dominated American politics for over 100 years…. If we do our job over the next 21 months, not only will House Republicans be reelected and expand our majority in 2026, we will cement a national governing coalition that will preserve American freedom for generations to come. There has never been anything like what’s happened in politics in the last few years.”


The Anti-Oligarchy Constitution: Reconstructing the Economic Foundations of American Democracy

Joseph Fishkin, and William E. Forbath (2024, Harvard University Press)

Chapter 7, “CONSTITUTIONAL COUNTERREVOLUTION AND THE LEGACIES OF A TRUNCATED NEW DEAL”

p. 319

Three of the principal actors in the New Deal drama-the nation's business elites, their Republican allies in Congress, and the leaders of the Southern wing of the Democratic Party-would have laughed out Inud at the notion of a constitutional settlement in the early 1940s. None had made peace with the idea of plenary national authority over the economy. All agreed that labor's new statutory and constitutional free-doms were counterfeit. They saw the Court as simply a judicial wing of the Roosevelt White House, and they embarked on a militant crusade to restore the old order. The crusade only gathered momentum as New Dealers tried to complete their project of building a democratic political economy-even beginning….

P. 324

As the New Dealers looked ahead to peacetime, they aspired to make their innovations permanent 25 They hoped to carry on with this public/private style of economic governance: a peacetime "mixed economy," committed to full employment and replete with democratic controls over economic decision-making to assure that the erstwhile oligarchs never again enjoyed such lopsided authority over the political economy and ordinary Americans' share of wealth, power, and opportunity. 26

A good illustration of this robust constitutional discourse emanating from the wartime executive branch came in the National Resources Planning Board's 1942 Annual Report. It began with a declaration of rights, a classic Rooseveltian Living Constitution proclamation: We must reinterpret "our provisions for human freedom.... [T]o the old freedoms we must add new freedoms and restate our objectives in modern terms."28 Roosevelt's speechwriter (and editor of his Public Papers), Samuel Rosenman, described how Roosevelt himself grabbed hold of the 1942 report and set about simplifying and "dramatiz[ing]" its meld of social and economic rights, structural reforms, and policy innovations for his widely published 1944 State of the Union address. 

p. 327

… as the 1936 election approached, and business opposition to the New Deal intensified, Roosevelt grew more attentive to two crucial constituencies: the insurgent industrial unions of the CIO and the Black voters of the large cities of the North. As these groups gained importance in his 1936 re-election bid. Roosevelt's social and economic rights talk grew more robust and universal-and the Southerners attacked. Governor Eugene Talmadge of Georgia convened a "Grass Roots Convention" to "uphold the Constitution" against "Negroes, the New Deal and Karl Marx."

p. 328

Just as FDR had cemented his alliance with industrial labor and redoubled his attacks on corporate "tyrants," and just as executive redoch support for upstart Blacks and poor whites was mounting in branc hitherto had been secure provinces of "States' rights" and "local self-government," judicial safeguards against all these dangers seemed to crumble. In the fall of 1937, after the Court handed down West Coast Hotel Co. v. Parrish and Jones & Laughlin, who could say that the Court's steadfastness in upholding the old Constitution was still to be counted on?44 For all these reasons, the New Deal's foes in Congress were galvanized. A group of conservative Southern Democrats in the Senate met with like-minded Republican senators to consider a more formal alliance against the New Deal. 45

The counterrevolution contemplated party realignment in the name of the old Constitution, and its leaders drafted a "statement of principles and objectives, "46 which became known as the "Conservative Manifesto." If the Court was giving up the constitutional battle against economic radicalism and centralized government, these conservatives would carry it on. The manifesto proclaimed the conservative Democrats' and Re-publicans' shared devotion to the Constitution of states' rights, liberty of contract, and the property rights of the owners of capital." The attempt at forming a new conservative party foundered, but the coalition and its role as bulwark for the old Constitution held firm.

The leaders of the new coalition declaimed against "Roosevelt constitutional tyranny.”….


Trump Almost Deleted Medicaid

Ryan Cooper January 29, 2025 [The American Prospect]

These are not bright guys, and things got out of hand….

In the initial order, it was not specified directly whether Medicaid was subject to the funding freeze, but as a grant program, it seemed to qualify. Sure enough, Sen. Ron Wyden (D-OR) reported on Tuesday that all states had lost access to the federal Medicaid reimbursement portal. By later that day, a White House


A New Era for the Center-Left

Stirling S Newberry, January 15, 2025

Part one is here.  Looking backwards at the President Election and Forward to a New Epoch

Part Two is here. We must tell them that a new dawn is breaking.

It is always darkest before the dawn because the sun has yet to rise and the night is so very cold. This is true in politics where the forces of reaction play on the fears and terrors of losing the past. It is true that the past is slipping away from us because we can no longer ignore the costs that it imposes. We can only look to President Buchanan and President Hoover as the nadir before dawn’s early light….

 There are two areas of capitalism where the amount of profit extracted by the producers exceeds the benefit of the consumers. In this graph above that is the shortfall of lifespan of the United States versus other countries who are able to spend less and get more. All of the developed countries guarantee healthcare by one means or another through the government. This is because the advantage of capitalization is the ability to pick the winners and the losers. However, from the government’s perspective and the nation’s perspective, everybody must be covered. This defeats the advantage of private capital: it wants to pick the winners and not ensure the losers. But in this case, the losers die. But further, if there is no advantage to private capital the private capital still must make a profit. Which means that it charges more for less utility to the consumers. In other words, the advantage of private capital is to degrade the nation’s health, which does not work.

Part Three is here.  A New Engine for a New Economy

...there is another task that needs to be done: there are gaps in economics, political science, history, and law that need to be addressed within the academic world. Some of these require major reforms to the way institutions are made, but many of them address the inconsistencies that the Orthodox view of social science has adopted and have not checked them for consistency. One of these problems is the level of profitability that a company or other collection of economic interests generates. Throughout the 20th century and the first part of the 21st century, the level of carbon dioxide and other gases that warm the planet has been ignored as a source of losses on the company’s profit statement. Now has been seen to be a faulty definition of the word profit. This means that the entire history of companies has to be restated with the global warming gases factored in….

Part Four is here. These are our people and we should realize that their problems are ours.

One issue that needs to be talked about is that the majority of the Democratic party is female. There are certain key issues that the Democratic Party must stand firm on because they affect the lives of so many of our core constituents. We must look at the issue of life because it is essential. Women have a more complex relationship with life than men do: because women bear life and have inmate differences in a number of ways. This goes onwards to the rest of their lives in many cases.

First, because it is women who bring life into the world. And this causes a collision between what is biologically essential and what is culturally essential. This means that there needs to be a person who decides whether this life, in these circumstances, with these chances should be brought into the world. The Democratic Party that that decision should be made by the potential mother. Not the father, and certainly not the state.

This is in direct contradiction to what the Republican party believes: they leave that the father and the state override whatever it is the potential mother believes. There are very few issues where there is right and wrong but this is one of them: either you believe that the primary responsibility is with the potential mother or you believe that she is chattel under the control of others....

Part Five is here. Bring the Political Equilibrium Back to Balance

...This is why The New Republic, for example, over and over again stresses how wonderful the economy is doing, because, for their group of readers, it is. However, their group. of readers is not the working class or the bottom half of the middle class. And for those groups of people, it is not working. This is because this is a fallacy that is older than our country: the difference between. average and median. The two are not the same. This is because the average is the total wealth divided by the number of people while the median is the level of income represented by the 50th percentile. The reason that these two are not the same is because the absurdly wealthy, and even the merely wealthy, take up most of the income. That means that the average is skewed upwards….


The enemy of your enemy may not be your friend 

Cory Doctorow [via God's Spies, January 30, 2025

Every merger that is being teed up now for the coming four years is illegal under the antitrust laws that we stopped enforcing in the Reagan era…

This will create a trap for people who hate Trump but don't pay close attention to anticorruption cases. It's a trap that Trump sprung successfully in his first term, when he lashed out at the "intelligence community" – the brutal, corrupt, vicious, lawless American spy agencies that are the sworn enemies of working people and the struggle for justice at home and abroad – and American liberals decided that the enemy of their enemy was their friend […]

Over the next four years, Trump will use antitrust and other corruption-taming regulations to selectively punish crooked companies. He won't target them because they're crooked: he'll target them because they aren't sufficiently loyal to him.

[But] If you let your hatred of Trump blind you to the crookedness of these companies, you lose and Trump wins. [bolded emphasis mine]

There’s a lot more on this tendency here (David Graeber alert). More later perhaps.


Top AI Investor Says Goal Is to Crash Human Wages 

[Futurism, via Naked Capitalism Water Cooler 01-28-2025]

“In a recent tweet, [Marc Andreessen,] the American billionaire investor casually proclaimed that AI must ‘crash’ everyone’s wages before it can deliver us an economic utopia — one that’ll definitely happen, and certainly not create a permanent underclass of have-nots…. ‘A world in which human wages crash from AI — logically, necessarily — is a world in which productivity growth goes through the roof, and prices for goods and services crash to near zero,’ Andreessen wrote. ‘Consumer cornucopia. Everything you need and want for pennies.’ So fret not, lowly laborer: you may be destined for financial ruin, but paradise is right around the corner. Pinky promise.” \


Gaza / Palestine / Israel

Trump’s Nightmare Plan for Gaza

[The Intercept, January 31, 2025]


Oligarchy

Why are the oligarchs so grossly aggressive? Here are four answers 

[Today’s ETC, via Naked Capitalism 02-01-2025]


The carnage of mainstream neoliberal economics

The Wage Crisis of 2025: 73% of Workers Struggle Beyond Basic Living Expenses 

[Resume Now, via Naked Capitalism Water Cooler 01-27-2025]

Self-reported, but in a way that’s the point: “A recent survey by Resume Now reveals that financial stress has reached a breaking point for American workers, with 73% of employees struggling to afford anything beyond their basic living expenses.” And:

  1. 12% often cannot afford basic living expenses, and 24% struggle to cover essentials.
  2. Only 6% are able to save for the future.
  3. One-third of workers say their salary has not kept up with inflation.
  4. 55% think their salary is lower than it should be.
  5. 29% have moved to lower-cost areas or housing to navigate financial strain.
  6. 3 in 10 have taken on debt to cover living expenses.
  7. Only 4% of workers feel truly valued in their role.


DeepSeek just proved Lina Khan right 

[DropSite, via Naked Capitalism 01-28-2025]


Trumpillnomics

Coffee prices hit record high after Trump stand-off with Colombia 

[Telegraph, via Naked Capitalism 02-01-2025]


Greenland is the New Congo of the 21st Century 

[The Wire, via Naked Capitalism 01-31-2025]

...Long before the 2010 mining boom, Greenland’s economy was rooted in its mineral wealth. The island’s unique geology, teeming with rare metals and minerals, had long piqued the interest of outsiders. From 1854 to 1962, the Ivittuut mine extracted cryolite, a mineral indispensable to aluminium production, securing Greenland’s strategic importance during World War II. During this time, the United States, recognizing the vital role of Greenland’s resources, took control of its defence. Greenland’s mines yielded copper, zinc, lead, coal, and uranium for nearly a century. Yet by 1990, with resources dwindling, the industry that had once driven the island’s economy faltered and collapsed.

The world’s gaze has since turned to Greenland’s rare earth elements (REEs) – 17 elusive metals that power the pulse of modern technology. These elements are the lifeblood of electronics, hybrid vehicles, and renewable energy infrastructure. As global demand for these materials spiralled, the spectre of supply interruptions loomed ever larger. For two decades, China reigned unchallenged as the dominant supplier of REEs, controlling over 90% of global production. When environmental concerns forced the United States to abandon its own production, China’s monopolistic hold on vital resources became even more pronounced….


They’re not capitalists — they’re predatory criminals

All bets are off 

Cory Doctorow [Pluralistic, via Naked Capitalism Water Cooler 01-29-2025]

“Unions don’t owe their existence to labor laws that protect organizing activities. Rather, labor laws exist because once-illegal unions were formed in the teeth of violent suppression, and those unions demanded – and got – labor law. Bosses have hated unions since the start, and they’ve really hated laws protecting workers. Dress this up in whatever self-serving rationale you want – ‘the freedom to contract,’ or ‘meritocracy’ – it all cashes out to this: when workers bargain collectively, value that would otherwise go to investors and executives goes to the workers. I’m not just talking about wages here, either. If an employer is forced – by a union, or by a labor law that only exists because of union militancy – to operate a safe workplace, they have to spend money on things like fire suppression, PPE, and paid breaks to avoid repetitive strain injuries. In the absence of some force that corrals bosses into providing these safety measures, they can use that money to pay themselves, and externalize the cost of on-the-job injuries to their workers.”  


The first days of Boss Politics Antitrust 

Cory Doctorow [Pluralistic, via Naked Capitalism 01-26-2025]

"Boss politics" are a feature of corrupt societies. When a society is dominated by self-dealing, corrupt institutions, strongman leaders can seize control by appealing to the public's fury and desperation. Then, the boss can selectively punish corrupt entities that oppose him, and since everyone is corrupt, these will be valid prosecutions….

Trump is a classic boss politician – that's what people mean when they call him "transactional": he doesn't act out of principle, he acts out of self interest. The people who give him the most get the most back from him. This means that Biden's brightest legacy – militant antitrust enforcement of a type not seen in generations – is now going to become "boss antitrust," where genuine monopolists are attacked under antitrust law, but only if they oppose Trump:

https://pluralistic.net/2024/11/12/the-enemy-of-your-enemy/#is-your-enemy….

The Federal Trade Commission has lost its Biden-era chair, the extraordinary Lina Khan, who did more in four years than all her predecessors did in the preceding forty years, combined. The new chair is Republican Andrew Ferguson, whose first day on the job was a bloodbath, in which he killed off multiple, significant actions aimed at producing real, material benefits from Americans who are being absolutely screwed by corporations:

https://prospect.org/politics/2025-01-24-executive-action-reaction-day-4/

Ferguson killed off a public comment process on "surveillance pricing," where companies spy on you and then reprice their goods based on their estimation of how desperate you are:

https://pluralistic.net/2025/01/11/socialism-for-the-wealthy/#rugged-individualism-for-the-poor


Subprime Mortgages Destroyed Them. Who Paid the Price? 

[NYT, via Naked Capitalism 01-31-2025]

In “The Killing Fields of East New York,” Stacy Horn profiles one 1990s white-collar crime spree and the wreckage it left behind….

Horn tells the story of how a network of bankers, mortgage brokers and federal housing officials in the 1970s conspired to commit “the perfect financial crime.” It went like this: In cities across the country, brokers and other speculators descended on places like East New York, the Brooklyn neighborhood on which Horn centers her tale. They persuaded middle-class families to sell their homes at cut-rate prices by stoking fears about the imminent arrival of minorities. Other times they bought decrepit properties and performed superficial repairs. Then they resold the homes at big profits — sometimes five times as much as they’d just paid — to low-income Black and Latino families….


Nothing Gold Can Stay: Gold is both a vehicle for disguising illicit financial flows and a product of illicit activity itself.

Vanessa Ogle, February 1, 2025 [The New York Review]

...Today the most important transit hub for dirty gold is Dubai, the tax and regulatory paradise in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). Gold traders in the Emirates are known to wave through incoming shipments with questionable origins, and they’re quick to furnish gold with a new identity in one of roughly ten operational refineries. From there the metal usually travels for rectification to Switzerland, another tax haven, where between 60 and 70 percent of the world’s gold is processed. Illegal miners also set up shell com

panies with obscure ownership arrangements in places like the British Virgin Islands, the Cayman Islands, and Panama to launder profits by commingling dirty mining revenues with legitimate business earnings. Gold in this respect is both a vehicle for disguising illicit financial flows and a product of illicit activity itself.

London has historically been the world’s most important gold trading hub. At the height of the classical gold standard in the second half of the nineteenth century—during which major European economies pegged their currencies to gold reserves—Britain was the world’s foremost economic power, and the Bank of England dominanted international monetary policy. (It helped that several of the world’s known gold reserves were situated in the British Empire, above all in South Africa and Australia.) ….



Restoring balance to the economy

California bill would let insurers sue oil companies to avoid raising rates 

[eenews, via Naked Capitalism 02-01-2025]


Confirmed: Unions Squandered the Biden Years 

Hamilton Nolan, January 28, 2025  [How Things Work]

In constant fear of being crushed by hostile Republican laws, unions have poured billions of dollars into, mostly, getting Democrats elected at the national level. And Joe Biden was as good as this game has ever gotten for them. We just lived through four years of the fruits of this approach. It is not theoretical. We can now evaluate it on its merits….

The real question is: Has achieving electoral political power translated into the growth of union power?… Today, we can definitively say the answer is ‘no.’…

In 2024, union density in America fell to 9.9% of the work force. In 1983, union density was 20.1%, meaning that organized labor is now less than half as powerful as it was during the Reagan presidency…. In 2020, union density was 10.8%. That means that over the course of the most pro-union presidency in my lifetime, not only did union density not rise—it declined into single digits. We are losing….

[Organizing] is the responsibility of existing unions and the broader labor movement. That means that unions must spend every dollar they possibly can on new organizing. They have not done this. They did not do it, during the course of the Biden administration. They still are not doing it….


Dark Times Are Coming -The labor movement faces its worst environment in a century.

Hamilton Nolan, January 31, 2025  [How Things Work]

...Republican anti-union presidential administrations have always weaponized the NLRB against organized labor by naming anti-union bastards to run it. Then Democrats put more pro-union people on it, and so it goes. Still, even anti-union NLRBs still, to some extent, are bound by the framework of labor law. They can get less enthusiastic about enforcing it, and their general counsels can undertake efforts to make regulations more anti-union, but the process has always been somewhat deliberate and characterized by this legalistic back-and-forth.

Something different is happening now. Corporate America is in the midst of a concerted legal effort to destroy the NLRA altogether and have the NLRB declared unconstitutional. Trump has, in a blatantly illegal move, fired a Democratic NLRB member, denying the board a quorum. This effectively allows employers to escape labor law enforcement indefinitely….

All of these political and legal realities raise the related question: Are unions ready for this? The answer is “no.” An unfortunate but probably inevitable truth is that big unions that have operated in the framework of the NLRA and the NLRB for 90 years are built from top to bottom to work in that framework. There is no reason to believe that the majority of unions will nimbly adapt to a world in which they cannot file ULPs and they cannot get the NLRB to schedule union elections and they cannot get their contracts enforced in a timely manner. Most unions today simply are not built for these harsh realities….

There are two basic takeaways from what is happening here, for the labor movement, and for workers in general. The first is that the social bargain that has governed labor relations for a century is gone. I mean, we can wait and see if the Supreme Court will save it, but that’s a bad bet, and in the meantime the smart move is to assume that things will turn out poorly. The sooner that unions wrap their minds around the reality of operating in an environment in which the NLRB will not enforce labor law on their behalf, the better.

The second takeaway is also the answer to the question, “Well how do we make employers do anything, then?” And that is: more strikes. Strikes are the one fundamental labor power that the government and Elon Musk and the Supreme Court put together cannot take away….

[TW: I am dismayed that Nolan believes “Strikes are the one fundamental labor power that the government and Elon Musk and the Supreme Court put together cannot take away.” This has been a key objective of the plutocrats who have funded and nurtured movement conservatism over the past eight decades. Trump and Musk will simply ignore whatever the law actually is and will order paramilitary attacks on striking workers. Whether it’s the actual US military deployed in stark violation of the Posse Comitatus Act, or “January 6” brownshirt thugs like the recently pardoned Proud Boys, lots of people are going to die. This what we need to be preparing for.

[One of Trump’s first acts was to declare that the United States is being “invaded” at the southern border. Commentators and bloggers have not yet begin to discuss the implications of this declaration. Does it remove the Posse Comitatus Act restriction on the deployment of the US military on USA soil? I’ll bet that is exactly the intent of Trump and whoever wrote it. ]


Disrupting mainstream economics

Too Close for Comfort: Why are economists in the US today uniquely able to exercise such sway over the state?

Caitlin Zaloom [The New York Review, February 13, 2025 issue]

Reviewed:

The Capital Order: How Economists Invented Austerity and Paved the Way to Fascism

by Clara E. Mattei
University of Chicago Press, 452 pp., $30.00; $22.50 (paper)

Thinking Like an Economist: How Efficiency Replaced Equality in US Public Policy

by Elizabeth Popp Berman
Princeton University Press, 329 pp., $24.95 (paper)

Economics in America: An Immigrant Economist Explores the Land of Inequality

by Angus Deaton
Princeton University Press, 271 pp., $17.95 (paper)

...The decades before [World War One] were marked by extreme income inequality and the expansion of brutal factory work, with only minimal protections for women and children and none for men. World War I, which heaved tens of millions of working men onto battlefields across continents and eventually left more than 20 million dead and maimed, tore apart any remaining faith in the fairness of laissez-faire capitalism. In May 1917 near Glasgow, 200,000 metalworkers struck for more than three weeks, occupying the city’s streets. At the end of that summer employees walked out of factories across Turin, then looted stores and claimed control of entire districts. Others fought with pens and megaphones for social programs that would soften the cruelty of low pay. On both the Continent and in Britain workers formed councils to sustain the strikes and protests. They saw nothing inevitable about exploitation.

Mattei argues that the principles of austerity were invented in large part to quash these upheavals. In order to wage the war, Britain and Italy had each borrowed enormous sums, making these governments highly motivated to stabilize their economies and increase investors’ confidence, which would keep the loans flowing. To do this, the British government bypassed democratic channels, pursuing their policies through the Treasury and the Bank of England. There, they deferred to economic experts, especially the economist Ralph Hawtrey, and fought inflation—which they blamed on the spending of “unruly” consumers (read: workers)—by throttling the buying power of all but the wealthiest. They also placed every social support on the chopping block—even a bread subsidy that helped British citizens keep food on the table—while levying taxes that disproportionately took from those who could least spare it.

In Italy, Parliament slashed pensions, unemployment and disability insurance, and supports for veterans and their families. As in Britain, it enacted a host of economic policies that squeezed wages and forced workers back into factories on owners’ terms. For the finance minister Alberto de’ Stefani, a celebrated economist and prominent fascist, abandoning the vulnerable was essential for recovery. “I need to place on the national agenda the conscious renunciation of the rights gained by the crippled, the invalids, the soldiers,” he instructed lawmakers. “These renunciations constitute for our soul a sacred sacrifice: austerity.” Austerity required victims, just as the war had….

Mattei’s early-twentieth-century economists argued that this economic order was the only one that could be successful because its social hierarchies resulted not from the decisions of men in conference rooms but from natural selection. “It seems obvious,” said Maffeo Pantaleoni, the main engineer of fascist austerity, “that the classes with lower incomes are significantly deficient in qualities with respect to others. So that this deficiency [deficienza] is the cause of the lower income and not the lower income the cause of the deficiency.”

The lower classes, he claimed, made their scarce self-control clear in excessive spending on alcohol, “sweets, chocolate, and biscuits,” and various other “pleasures.” Mattei observes that across Britain and fascist Italy, economists agreed that business owners were, as Pantaleoni put it, “men of talent and personality whom selection makes into entrepreneurs.”

The opinions of the early twentieth century persist today, Mattei argues, in policy approaches that proceed under a mantle of disinterest and technical impartiality but rely on similar assumptions about the natural origin of social hierarchies and the inherent virtue of the successful. Deaton agrees that these beliefs persist within the discipline, now often disguised as faith in meritocracy….

conomic power is difficult to perceive because it has become the very language of governance, the sociologist Elizabeth Popp Berman contends. Considering the US in the 1960s through the 1980s, her book Thinking Like an Economist: How Efficiency Replaced Equality in US Public Policy focuses not on economists’ theories but on the much wider spread of an “economic style of reasoning.” This way of thinking assumes that social ills such as failing health systems, environmental hazards, and corporate concentration can be avoided or alleviated by increasing competition among producers, expanding choices for consumers, and nudging both groups with incentives. This rhetoric of market efficiency insulates economic policies from political debate, Berman argues, and avoids messy conversations about decisions that favor the interests of certain races, classes, and geographic areas over others.

How did economic efficiency become an “insider consensus”? During the mid-twentieth century, Berman argues, many policymakers valued goals beyond efficiency—for example, protecting small businesses because they stabilized civic life in small towns. But in the 1960s and 1970s, Democratic reformers such as Presidents John F. Kennedy, Lyndon Johnson, and Jimmy Carter decided to advance a “scientific” approach to governing, particularly around policies related to transportation, health care, poverty alleviation, and environmental protection. They sought experts to supply “neutral, technocratic answers” to questions about whether to break up large companies or to pursue a negative income tax….


Climate and environmental crises

Trump rescinded a half-century of environmental rules. Here’s what that could mean 

[Vox, via Naked Capitalism 01-31-2025]


Trump’s EPA Just Deleted Climate Change

Christopher D Cook, January 30, 2025 [The Lever]

On Jan. 27, the Environmental Protection Agency quietly removed all information about climate change from its homepage and other prominent areas of its website, burying it deep in sections that are harder to find….  The new erasure came two days before the U.S. Senate confirmed Trump’s nominee to lead the agency: former Rep. Lee Zeldin (R-N.Y.), who has pledged to slash EPA funding, roll back environmental protections, and promote more fossil fuel production.


Democrats' political malpractice

Ahead of Final DNC Leadership Forum, Our Revolution Criticizes Party Leaders for Silencing Grassroots Demands to Reject Corporate Money

Our Revolution, January, 30 2025 [CommonDreams]



Trump’s transactional regime

Lawsuit claims systems behind OPM governmentwide email blast are illegal, insecure

[FedScoop, via Naked Capitalism Water Cooler 01-29-2025]

“A lawsuit filed in federal court Monday alleges that the Office of Personnel Management set up an on-premise server to conduct last week’s mass email blast to federal employees and store information it received in response without doing a privacy impact assessment on the system as required by law. Filed by two anonymous federal employees in the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia, the class-action lawsuit calls for OPM to stop the use of the system until the agency can show that it’s lawfully conducted a privacy assessment. The two employees accuse OPM officials of deploying the new server — which is said to be ‘retaining information about every employee of the U.S. Executive Branch’ or potentially doing so through systems linked to it — in a ‘rapid’ manner without building proper security measures into it or assessing the privacy impacts as required by the E-Government Act of 2002. On Friday, OPM sent a mass email to employees across the federal government — though not every federal employee received it, including one of the plaintiffs in the lawsuit — to test ‘a new distribution and response list,’ asking recipients to reply ‘yes.’ Over the weekend, federal employees received another test ‘to confirm that an email can be sent and replied to by all government employees.’ Some agency and department heads gave guidance to their employees that the emails from OPM could be trusted. The complaint goes on to say: ‘OPM has not conducted a PIA for this unknown email server or any system which collects or maintains Personally Identifiable Information (‘PII’) obtained from its use,’ nor has a chief information officer or equivalent agency official signed off on an assessment. Finally, such an assessment would need to be made publicly available for review. ‘OPM’s failure to take these steps constitutes agency action unlawfully withheld or unreasonably delayed in violation of 5 U.S.C. § 706(1),’ the lawsuit states. ‘Plaintiffs are being materially harmed by this inaction because they are being denied information about how these systems — which will be rich in PII about every employee of the U.S. Executive Branch — are being designed and used.’ As a measure of relief, the plaintiffs call for an injunction of the systems involved in the matter until OPM conducts the required privacy assessment.” 


The President’s Illegal Executive Orders: Why Trump has to be removed 

Stirling S Newberry, January 29, 2025 [The Absurd Version]

...However, this means that because they are is no normal path to opposing his illegal Executive Orders, that means that extraordinary measures must be taken. Since we must alter and amend our election procedures so that clearly unconstitutional and illegal means are not used again, we are on a long road. There is no doubt that individuals will die or be damaged by the president and his administration. This is unfortunate but it is also the truth….


Conservative / Libertarian / (anti)Republican Drive to Civil War

The Trump White House Wants A Court Challenge Over Frozen Funds 

[HuffingtonPost, via Naked Capitalism Water Cooler 01-30-2025]

“The Trump administration’s federal government funding freeze instituted Monday and apparently rescinded Wednesday appears to be a part of the White House’s official policy to get courts to hand President Donald Trump the power to pick and choose which congressionally authorized funding he will spend, according to a confidential document obtained by HuffPost. The confidential Office of Management and Budget document outlining “regulatory misalignment” calls on Trump to issue executive orders blocking the release of appropriated funds in order to provoke a court challenge over the president’s power to impound such funds…. [The] confusing series of events and conflicting statements and actions [over the OMB memo] may be a fiasco, but the confidential OMB document makes clear that the administration intends on fomenting this very court challenge over the president’s power to not spend congressionally authorized funds.”


Senior U.S. official to exit after rift with Musk allies over payment system 

[Washington Post, via Naked Capitalism Water Cooler 01-31-2025]

“David A. Lebryk, who served in nonpolitical roles at Treasury for several decades, announced his retirement Friday in an email to colleagues obtained by The Washington Post. President Donald Trump named Lebryk as acting secretary upon taking office last week. Lebryk had a dispute with Musk’s surrogates over access to the payment system the U.S. government uses to disburse trillions of dollars every year, the people said. The exact nature of the disagreement was not immediately clear, they said.” That’s too bad. Why? “Typically only a small number of career officials control Treasury’s payment systems. Run by the Bureau of the Fiscal Service, the sensitive systems control the flow of more than $6 trillion annually to households, businesses and more nationwide. Tens, if not hundreds, of millions of people across the country rely on the systems, which are responsible for distributing Social Security and Medicare benefits, salaries for federal personnel, payments to government contractors and grant recipients and tax refunds, among tens of thousands of other functions…. ‘This is a mechanical job — they pay Social Security benefits, they pay vendors, whatever. It’s not one where there’s a role for nonmechanical things, at least from the career standpoint. Your whole job is to pay the bills as they’re due,’ [Mark Mazur, who served in senior treasury roles during the Obama and Biden administrations] said. ‘It’s never been used in a way to execute a partisan agenda. … You have to really put bad intentions in place for that to be the case.'” • Stephanie Kelton pulls out the key quote:


Trump’s Worst Instincts Are His Own— & Roy Cohn’s— But His Worst Austerity Ideas Are Russ Vought’s

Howie Klein, February 01, 2025 [downwithtyranny.com]

On Thursday, Branko Marcetic, came to the same conclusion Schumer had: Vought is the pits and was behind this week’s botched attempt to halt all federal grants, “which sent panic spasming through the country as schools, government programs, and charitable organizations ceased to function... Vought’s Trump-aligned think tank, the Center for Renewing America (CRA), has repeatedly advanced the view that the president can pause federally mandated funding or even refuse to spend it through ‘impoundment.’ Meanwhile, both the Project 2025 policy guide and the CRA’s mock budget are replete with proposals to cut or overhaul federal grants and make sure they aren’t funding ‘woke’ programs and groups.”….


“The [OMB] director must view his job as the best, most comprehensive approximation of the President’s mind,” wrote Vought, and so “ensure that OMB has sufficient visibility into the deep caverns of agency decision-making.” …. 

For Trump’s purposes, that means making sure power is put as much as possible in the hands of political appointees plucked from Trump’s movement, and taken out of the hands of career civil servants who act on “the wishes of the sprawling ‘good government’ management community in and outside of government.”



Unscrubbed PDFs Reveal Authors of Trump Memos Are Project 2025 Heavy Hitters

Brett Wilkins, January 28, 2025 [CommonDreams]

"Trump has denied or downplayed links to Project 2025," said the researcher who exposed the memos' authors. "These documents show that implementation is well underway."


Presidential Bid to Take Over Federal Spending Is Four Years in the Making

David Dayen, January 30, 2025 [The American Prospect]

On the last day of Trump’s first term, Office of Management and Budget officials asserted that presidents can alter spending they don’t like. They’re returning to OMB to finish the job….

As I noted on Tuesday, Trump’s MAGA allies have been spoiling for this fight. Trump himself said in June 2023 that he would “do everything I can to challenge the Impoundment Control Act in court” and then “use the president’s long-recognized impoundment power to squeeze the bloated federal bureaucracy for massive savings.”

But the intention to challenge 50 years of statutory and judicial precedent on impoundment actually goes back to the last day of Trump’s first term. And it was co-authored by Mark Paoletta, a close confidant of Clarence Thomas….

Russell Vought, the nominee for director of OMB, and Paoletta, who has just been installed as its general counsel, were also in those positions at the end of Trump’s first term. In November 2020, the House Budget Committee, then chaired by Rep. John Yarmuth (D-KY), issued a report on what it called OMB’s “systemic abuse of executive spending authority” going back to 2018. Trump tried to use executive orders to block funding from “anarchist” state and local jurisdictions, and tried to shift budgeting authority to political appointees. GAO repeatedly determined that Vought and Paoletta violated the impoundment rules; Trump was even impeached for illegally impounding Ukraine funding to force the country to investigate Joe Biden.

Vought and Paoletta responded to this report on the very last full day of Trump’s first term—January 19, 2021—with a 14-page letter asserting their views on the federal budget process. In the letter, they insist that everything they did was lawful, that presidents have deferred and rescinded spending going back to Thomas Jefferson, that Congress’s power of the purse “infringes upon the President’s own constitutional authorities,” and that the ICA “is unworkable in practice and should be significantly reformed or repealed.”….

But while many Supreme Court precedents back up Congress’s power of the purse and its mechanisms for presidential impoundment, it’s likely coming back again, as Vought and Paoletta test the boundaries of executive power. And that’s where Paoletta’s close friendship with Justice Thomas kicks in.

As assistant counsel to George H.W. Bush, Paoletta assisted with Thomas’s confirmation back in the early 1990s. He co-edited a recent Thomas autobiography, and he represented Thomas’s wife Ginni in disputes involving the January 6th Committee. Paoletta even appears in the infamous painting of Thomas holding court at mega-donor Harlan Crow’s luxury resort.

Paoletta is a prime mover in the bid for legalizing impoundment. Thomas will be hearing the case. This raises the question of whether that should occur. It’s worth noting that the most vociferous defender of Thomas being able to hear January 6th or other cases during the documented ethical lapses of the past few years was Mark Paoletta, who called the charges “baseless” and requests to recuse “double standards.”...


Trump Ousts Top Labor Board Leaders Who Backed Broader Worker Rights 

[Bloomberg, via Naked Capitalism Water Cooler 01-28-2025]

“Donald Trump is forcing out top leaders of the US labor board, ushering in a swift reboot of workplace law enforcement while testing the limits of presidential authority. Jennifer Abruzzo, the general counsel of the National Labor Relations Board, said she was fired via email late on Monday. Gwynne Wilcox, who was one of the labor board’s two Democratic members, said she was ousted, too. ‘As the first Black woman board member, I brought a unique perspective that I believe will be lost upon my unprecedented and illegal removal,’ Wilcox said in a statement. ‘I will be pursuing all legal avenues to challenge my removal, which violates long-standing Supreme Court precedent.'” Nice to see that the Democrats have some sort of SWAT Team to rush to her defense. Oh, wait…. More: “Firing Wilcox was less expected, particularly given that there were already enough vacant seats on the board for Trump to install a Republican majority in the coming months.” 


What Labor Could Lose — After four years under Jennifer Abruzzo, who fought to revitalize its mission, the National Labor Relations Board finds itself more threatened than ever.

Dan Kaufman, January 19, 2025 [The New York Review]


ICE Raids Are an Escalation of Our Long-Simmering De Facto Cold Civil War 

[Daring Fireball, via Naked Capitalism 01-26-2025]


Tennessee GOP passes immigration law to criminalize elected officials’ votes 

[The Tennessean, via Naked Capitalism 01-31-2025]


Preparing for the Worst

Emma Janssen, January 27, 2025 [The American Prospect]

From the church to the schoolyard to the legislature, Americans are making plans to protect themselves and their loved ones from deportation.


How Years of GOP Voter Suppression Helped Trump Win in 2024

Robert C. Koehler, February 01, 2025 [Common Dreams]

Numerous efforts over the years, at numerous governmental levels, have worked to play games with the electoral process and interfere with—and outright eliminate—certain voters’ right to vote.


Resistance

NY attorney general sues Trump administration as state gets locked out of Medicaid 

[Gothamist, via Naked Capitalism 01-29-2025]


Declassified CIA Guide to Sabotaging Fascism Is Suddenly Viral 

[404 Media, via Naked Capitalism Water Cooler 01-30-2025]

“A declassified World War II-era government guide to ‘simple sabotage’ is currently one of the most popular open source books on the internet. The book, called ‘Simple Sabotage Field Manual,’ was declassified in 2008 by the CIA and ‘describes ways to train normal people to be purposefully annoying telephone operators, dysfunctional train conductors, befuddling middle managers, blundering factory workers, unruly movie theater patrons, and so on. In other words, teaching people to do their jobs badly.’ Over the last week, the guide has surged to become the 5th-most-accessed book on Project Gutenberg, an open source repository of free and public domain ebooks.”


The (anti)Federalist Society assault on the Constitution

Trump’s Dictatorial Theory of Presidential Power – What the Executive Orders, in the Aggregate, Tell Us 

[JustSecurity, via Naked Capitalism Water Cooler 01-28-2025]

“On issue after issue, Trump claims that the Constitution directly empowers him to take certain actions, without any authorization by Congress and in the face of contrary statutes. The idea that the Constitution directly confers certain powers on the President is, by itself, neither new nor controversial. Yet in many of these orders, Trump is not simply asserting an inherent constitutional power to act. He is claiming a power to act in ways that clearly conflict with existing federal statutes. That is, he is asserting a constitutional prerogative to ignore, disregard, or even openly violate federal laws that are inconsistent with his policy agenda. Assertions of that general sort have been made in the past, and it is clear that the Constitution does confer on the President some exclusive powers that Congress may not regulate or restrict. Examples include the President’s power to veto proposed legislation, to grant pardons, to remove high-ranking executive officers he has appointed, and to recognize foreign governments. But these are the exceptions, not the rule. As Supreme Court Justice Amy Coney Barrett put it in her concurring opinion in the Trump immunity case, ‘the Constitution does not vest every exercise of executive power in the President’s sole discretion. … Congress has concurrent authority over many Government functions, and it may sometimes use that authority to regulate the President’s official conduct.’ Chief Justice John Roberts’ majority opinion in that case was sloppy and ill-reasoned in many respects, but neither he nor anyone else on the Court disagreed with Justice Barrett on this basic point. Indeed, Roberts relied heavily on Justice Robert Jackson’s concurring opinion in Youngstown Sheet and Tube Co. v. Sawyer, the steel seizure case. There, Jackson famously emphasized that presidential assertions of power to contravene federal law ‘must be scrutinized with caution, for what is at stake is the equilibrium established by our constitutional system.’ Trump’s recent executive orders would completely upend that equilibrium. He appears to be asserting a roving authority to override or simply ignore binding federal legislation whenever it interferes with his policy aims — regardless of whether the context is one of foreign affairs or national emergency. It is as though Trump is reprising his claim from his 2016 nomination acceptance speech that he alone can address the vital needs of the nation, but extending it to say that he alone has a mandate to suspend the law in pursuit of his goals.” 


Curtis Yarvin Concedes That “The NPR Class Are Not Evil People; They’re Human Beings”

Howie Klein, January 25, 2025 [downwithtyranny.com]

...And speaking of the NY Times, last week, David Marchese sat down for a conversation with there 51-year old Yarvin ….

So why is democracy so bad? It’s not even that democracy is bad; it’s just that it’s very weak. And the fact that it’s very weak is easily seen by the fact that very unpopular policies like mass immigration persist despite strong majorities being against them. So the question of “Is democracy good or bad?” is, I think, a secondary question to “Is it what we actually have?” When you say to a New York Times reader, “Democracy is bad,” they’re a little bit shocked. But when you say to them, “Politics is bad” or even “Populism is bad,” they’re like, Of course, these are horrible things. So when you want to say democracy is not a good system of government, just bridge that immediately to saying populism is not a good system of government, and then you’ll be like, Yes, of course, actually policy and laws should be set by wise experts and people in the courts and lawyers and professors. Then you’ll realize that what you’re actually endorsing is aristocracy rather than democracy….

Do you think it’s better that women got the vote? I don’t believe in voting at all.

Do you vote? No. Voting basically enables you to feel like you have a certain status. “What does this power mean to you?” is really the most important question. I think that what it means to most people today is that it makes them feel relevant. It makes them feel like they matter. There’s something deeply illusory about that sense of mattering that goes up against the important question of: We need a government that is actually good and that actually works, and we don’t have one.

The solution that you propose has to do with, as we’ve said multiple times, installing a monarch, a C.E.O. figure. Why do you have such faith in the ability of C.E.O.s? Most start-ups fail. We can all point to C.E.O.s who have been ineffective. And putting that aside, a C.E.O., or “dictator,” is more likely to think of citizens as pure economic units, rather than living, breathing human beings who want to flourish in their lives. So why are you so confident that a C.E.O. would be the kind of leader who could bring about better lives for people? It seems like such a simplistic way of thinking. It’s not a simplistic way of thinking, and having worked inside the salt mines where C.E.O.s do their CEOing, and having been a C.E.O. myself, I think I have a better sense of it than most people. If you took any of the Fortune 500 C.E.O.s, just pick one at random and put him or her in charge of Washington. I think you’d get something much, much better than what’s there. It doesn’t have to be Elon Musk….

[TW: the problem with Yarvin’s idea of CEO rule has been known for all of human history: “power corrupts and absolute power corrupts absolutely.” The solution of civic republicanism is to build governing institutions in which power is corralled by the rule of law. Yarvin, Musk, Trump, et. al are now moving quickly to dismantle those governing institutions as much as possible. We shall now see — and suffer — if the warnings of the history of the human use of political and economic power are correct. ]


Donald Trump’s Second Term Begins With a Crash

Ryan Cooper, January 30, 2025 [The American Prospect]

If the president wanted to cause airline disasters, it’s hard to imagine what he would have done differently….

On January 20, the day Trump was inaugurated, the administrator of the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), Michael Whitaker, resigned. Since then, the agency has been run by acting administrator Chris Rocheleau….

...shadow president Elon Musk—who, let me emphasize, is a foreign-born billionaire who has not been elected or appointed to any post—had been demanding Whitaker be sacked for months, because the FAA had been attempting to regulate his company SpaceX. The agency had conducted investigations (when, for instance, a SpaceX rocket blew up near the ground), delayed launches, and imposed some fines—though the amounts were pitiful, just $633,009 when the company allegedly broke two promises about safety protocols and fuel use….