Thursday, April 28, 2011
Road trip
Some video from last year's gathering.
Posts will resume next week.
Wednesday, April 27, 2011
Statistical Snapshot of the Murder of the Middle Class
Wages now account for the lowest percentage (51%) of total personal income since the government first began keeping the statistics. Since the crash of 2008, the amount of total personal income coming from direct government transfer payments has zoomed from a historical average of 12.5% to 18.3%.
. . . 70% of the increase in personal income was simply money borrowed by the Federal government (recall the $1.6 trillion annual Federal deficit) and distributed to the citizenry. In other words, people aren't making more money--the Central State is simply borrowing more and it's being counted as "income" when it's distributed.This amply shows the utter bankruptcy of present U.S. policies. Rather than borrowing money to keep millions of Americans barely living at the edge of subsistence, our government could be using its sovereign powers to create money, and use it to pay millions of Americans put back to work repairing America's broken infrastructure (the American Society of Civil Engineers calculates $2.2 trillion is required just to get our already existing infrastructure back into fully usable condition. No money borrowed, and the new money created is going directly into creating new wealth for the country.
So here's the reality: over one-fourth of all households are at or below the poverty line: 28 million.Read the entire article.
The top 10%--10.5 million households--own the vast majority of the financial assets ($45 trillion)(the total owned by non-profits is not broken out).
The next 10% own 10% of this wealth, or about $4 trillion. So the top 21 million households own 93% of all financial wealth.
The Great Middle Class between those in poverty and the top 20%--56 million households-- owns about $2.7 trillion in financial wealth, and the millions with mortgages own an additional $1 trillion in home equity. That comes to $3.7 trillion, or about 6.5% of the total household net worth.
New FDIC Paper on the Resolution of Lehman Brothers
Two points I want to make: first, Konczal's short summary provides a good idea of how devilishly complex modern finance has become. Whether the FDIC report mentions it or not, this means that it is extremely important that financial regulators be highly trained to be able to deal with these complexities, and highly paid to diminish as much as possible the temptation to slide through the revolving door to a lucrative position with the industry they were previously regulating. I think a senior financial regulator should be pulling down at least $1 million a year, while being subject to extremely strict, almost onerous, ethical codes and security checks. Why? Because we are going to be depending on these regulators to attack and dismantle the most powerful oligarchical faction that now (mis)rules America, and the rest of the world.
Second, the disastrous results of the (mis)rule by the financial oligarchy can be seen by merely scanning the headlines immediately below on the developing world food crisis, which is almost entirely caused by global misallocations of credit and money to predatory financial activities instead of to productive economic investments in industry, agriculture, mining, transportation, infrastructure, and social programs such as education and welfare. What is singularly missing from Konczal's summary, and I assume the FDIC report, is an understanding that a world past the brink of peak oil and global climate change can no longer afford to have six or seven trillion dollars in hot money every day sloshing around the globe in a search of the "highest investment return." Credit and money are creations of society through the agency of government - even if created by private companies, those companies are created and exist at the sufferance of societies and their governments. If credit and money are being misused, then the physical capacity of society to sustain and support human life eventually erodes until the crisis point of widespread penury and starvation is reached, as evidenced in the stories below. If we took just one day of the world's hot money flows - six or seven trillion dollars - what wonders could be created and deployed to make the world's agriculture not only fully adequate, but entirely sustainable?
Until we get to the point where we apply the normative judgment "Does this help society be more economically productive and fair?" rigorously and ruthlessly to every aspect of our monetary and financial affairs, recurring economic crises are inevitable. We don't need trillions of dollars a day in what are essentially gambling bets on interest rates or currency fluctuations. We need trillions of dollars a day flowing through the hands of scientists, engineers, and producers seeking to solve our urgent real problems such as sustainable energy and food production and distribution.
The New FDIC Paper on the Resolution of Lehman Brothers
Posted on April 26, 2011 by MikeOn April 18th, the FDIC released a paper, The Orderly Liquidation of Lehman Brothers Holdings under the Dodd-Frank Act, which explains how it could have used the resolution authority in Title II of Dodd-Frank to taken down Lehman Brothers with no losses to taxpayers and without collapsing the financial system.
It’s always good to remind ourselves what we want our law to do in terms of failure. Failure is a legal concept, and our laws reflect our values on how we want failure to proceed. We want those who benefit the most from risks to take the largest losses. We want to preserve the ongoing value of the firm if there is any. We want to coordinate the behavior of creditors – so value is based on legal rights, not the speed of action – and ameliorate the hardships caused to debtors and provide a fresh start to the entity.
The bailouts shredded these values – those who took the biggest risks also got huge upsides. Creditors were rewarded in all kinds of ways that were unfair. The firms weren’t stripped down to the core ongoing value but instead left with all kinds of bad zombie debts that needed to be recapitalized through earnings and squeezing consumers. We need better laws capable of handling failures of things we hadn’t traditionally expected to fail in a spectacular way, and the FDIC is arguing that Dodd-Frank gets us a lot of the way there. How does it do that?
Food prices!
If Food Prices Keep Surging, These Economies Will Be The Next To Crumble
Mamta Badkar | Apr. 26, 2011, 12:07 PM
Global food prices jumped 30% year-on-year in February. Food inflation has been pushed by a drop in global food reserves, brought on by severe weather conditions in Russia, China and Australia.
If prices continue to rise by 30% this year, another 193 million people will be forced into poverty, according to a new report from the Asian Development Bank.
We've compiled a list of countries that would be hit the hardest by a 30% rise in food prices and the measures they have taken to ease the burden. Some of these countries with deeper structural problems have a harder road ahead of them. more
Tuesday, April 26, 2011
The real possibility of a global food shortage
I posted about food shortages in late February. As the spring planting season comes around again, it looks like the food problem is getting even more severe. Even if you do not agree with all 20 on this list, one or two of these indicators is probably enough.
Monday, April 25, 2011
New Platinum Substitutes Could Make Hydrogen Fuel Cells, Electric Cars More Affordable
Second, note that these breakthroughs come out of the public sector - the Department of Energy, and Case Reserve University. This entirely coheres with how the U.S. economy has historically developed: with the government playing a crucial role in developing and incubating new technologies until they are ready for wide-spread commercial use which allows private profitability: a partnership between the public and private sectors to promote the general welfare through technological improvements which feed economic growth.
"Sir, you are going to have to leave the room."
"Sir, you are going to have to leave the room."
The deficit hawks will kill us
Sunday, April 24, 2011
Elevator Speech #7--inventing a sustainable future
There are no primitive solutions to the technological problems that already exist. There are no back-to-nature solutions—do you think our forebears worried about their waste products? or using up all the premium resources? or? Well we have to worry about these things and romantic dreaming will never produce more than 1% of a solution for living gracefully in our crowded biosphere. The rest is just organized hard work.
Saturday, April 23, 2011
The EPIC fail of the economics "profession"
There have been many reasons offered for why the economics business wandered off into the tall grass including the notions that economists are just guys with little dicks who hate the rest of the world, or that they have been hopelessly corrupted by their patrons in the FIRE (finance, insurance, and real estate) businesses. I have several dozen institutional reasons including the fact that to get ahead in USA economics, one simply MUST do a tour of duty with a Federal Reserve Bank or another central bank internationally--don't want anyone wandering off THAT reservation, ya know.
But if I had to point to the main intellectual flaw in economics as it is currently practiced, I would have to say it is the arrogant assumption that human behavior can be mathematically modeled. The primary reason I believe this is so is because I was there when it became hip to be a math nerd in the economics departments.
Friday, April 22, 2011
Another conservative myth bites the dust: medical tourism
Medical Tourism, separating facts from fiction
One of the greatest myths that I hear on a somewhat regular basis, centers around the belief that the US must have one of the greatest health systems in the world, because everyone comes here for their care. Well, let’s examine that shall we?
As with many things, reality is a little different from the mythology.
According to the Deloitte Center for Health Solutions and Health-tourism.com, there will be roughly 561,000 inbound medical tourists to the United States by 2017….Conversely, 750,000 Americans traveled to foreign countries in 2007, and this grew to between 1.1 and 1.3 million outbound tourists in 2008. Spending on healthcare in foreign countries was estimated to be 20 billion dollars in 2008.
Estimates for growth demonstrate a consistent 35% growth in outbound medical tourism annually. Projections indicate that roughly 1.6-2.5 million Americans will travel abroad in 2012, and spending could reach 100 billion dollars. That’s right, 100 billion US dollars being spent in foreign countries for healthcare such as elective surgeries, complicated dental surgery, plastic surgery, and even coronary bypass surgery.
Read more.
The Fundamental Criminality of the U.S. Financial System
Thursday, April 21, 2011
U.S. Military Unable to Find Domestic Manufacturers for Many Items
Michael Mandel, the chief economist for BusinessWeek, was recently doing some research for a textbook he’s revising when he stumbled upon a surprising entry in the Federal Registry. On March 21, the U.S. Air Force waived the “Buy American” provision of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 for a construction project at Eielson Air Force Base in Alaska. As workers tried to build a few stimulus-backed housing units, it became apparent that a number of simple domestic items couldn’t be procured from American manufacturers – namely, ceiling fans, shower rods, towel racks, toilet-paper holders, and all manner of screws and fixtures.
According to the registry entry, a contracting officialhas determined that the above items of manufactured goods are not produced in the United States in sufficient and reasonably available quantities and of a satisfactory quality. The domestic nonavailability determination for these products is based on extensive market research and thorough investigation of the domestic manufacturing landscape. This research identified that these products are manufactured almost exclusively in China.In fiscal year 2009, more than 44,000 waivers of federal “Buy American” provisions were granted, worth nearly $14 billion.
Read more.
The Corruption of American Christianity - and Resulting Destuction of Capitalism
Elevator Speech #6--Education--what folks must know
Since we are mostly on our own when it comes to education and our learning depends on our own initiative, it becomes critically important to understand why anyone wants an education in the first place. This is especially true for those of us who reject the notion than a degree should be an indicator of status. So here's what I have learned is important to know.
Reading is still the biggie. It's the ultimate intellectual shortcut--in a few hours you can read a book that may have taken the author a lifetime of learning to write and when you are done, you know roughly as much about the subject as the author. If you can extract good information from books (and now the internet) it doesn't make a bit of difference how poor you were or how crappy your schools because you can still find out the important stuff on your own. Even better, reading is self-reinforcing--the more you read the better you get at it.
Writing is still important but these days, other methods for getting an idea from your head to another's should be learned as well. These include illustrations, charts, schematics, and video production.
Knowing basic math is essential to understanding your surroundings. This does NOT mean you are a failure if you never quite understand calculus. But you should know the difference between a million, a billion, and a trillion, how to calculate and understand percentages, how statistical sampling works, and the rest of the skills one must have to extract meaning from news, government documents, and campaign literature.
Knowing history is critical. If you don't know history, you must think that that world was mostly complete (transportation, buildings, governments, etc.) the day you were born. This is the perfect prescription for infantile thinking. Worse, if you don't know how the world got the way it did, it is impossible to understand your point in human development. If you don't know where you come from, you cannot know who you are--and if you don't know who you are, you cannot know where you are going. Historical illiteracy leads to personal aimlessness--every time.
There is a Predator lie that claims that "educated" people don't have to understand tools. And while everyone doesn't have to operate tools on a daily basis to understand the lessons that technological gracefulness teach, it is also true that people who never learn to use tools and in fact, look down with disdain on those who do, are usually confused about very basic issues. Not surprisingly, technological illiterates cannot contribute much to a discussion of technology-based issues like Peak Oil or climate change.
Ireland--another poster child for neoliberalism's failures
In the following clips, Max Kaiser views the wreckage caused by neoliberal madness in Ireland. It isn't pretty but the descriptions of the problems seem especially accurate and poignant coming from those Irish who have seen the future of their country destroyed by incompetence and naked greed.
Wednesday, April 20, 2011
Update: Real Finns make stunning election gains
The fact that a right-wing populist threatens to upset Finland's cozy relationship to the Euro is probably very upsetting to the educated and respectable Finns. Timo Soini and his Real Finns are a real embarrassment to them. (BTW, my sources in Finland say "True Finns" is a bad translation. They say Real Finns is much closer to the original meaning. So I will use Real Finns even though others may still use True Finns.) And they have reason to worry. Soini has the potential to do serious damage to the whole idea of the Euro. From Helsingin Sanomat
Tuesday, April 19, 2011
Elevator Speech #5--Believing in magic and the new dark ages
- Only the market can determine value
- Effective society-wide planning is impossible because it impinges on the freedoms of those perfect markets
- It is possible to have compound growth in a finite biosphere
Sunday, April 17, 2011
News on renewable energy
Not wanting to discourage such people but at the same time, wanting them to have a better way to evaluate such a claim, I have over the years figured out the following response. "No," I will say, "I have never heard of the product you are describing, but I have a rule for evaluating claims for new technologies. I will only take such products and claims seriously when I can buy one down at Home Depot."
So it is with some amount of joy that I saw the other day that you can now buy solar panels at Costco.
Saturday, April 16, 2011
The Confederates have fired on Fort Sumpter
- All wars tend to all look alike after a while. The details of this one are not very interesting because the Civil War changed so little for such a short time. The differences between slavery and Jim Crow, for example, are not great.
- The world we live in and the one we must fix is the industrial outcome of the discovery of oil. While the Civil War didn't change all that much, the age of petroleum changed EVERYTHING. I find myself spending 99.9% of my energy trying to understand the world created by liquid fuels and as little time as possible trying to judge whether Pennsylvania was more enlightened and virtuous than Virginia.
- My ancestors didn't arrive in USA until the 1880s. My people aren't exactly newcomers but the conflicts they experienced were bankers and land speculators vs. farmers or robber barons vs. steelworkers. The Civil War was not their fight.
If you do not believe that the Southern aristocracy was an evil influence so extreme, it had to be put down in armed conflict consider this: When the USA didn't have to deal with the backwardness of the South after they left the government in 1861, all sorts of good things got accomplished including land-grant colleges (1862) and the beginnings of the transcontinental railroad (1863). Now that our southern brethren are (sort of) back in the fold, they have resumed their role as a cultural drag. From Strom Thurmond and the Dixiecrats to Nixon's "Southern Strategy" to their right-wing Democratic governor-turned-presidents Jimmy Carter and Clinton, to Newt Gingrich and Phil Gramm as "intellectuals", Southern cultural backwardness still defines this country.The most interesting policy innovation that occurred as a result of the Progressive opening that happened during the Civil War has to be Abe Lincoln's Greenbacks--easily the most enlightened monetary policy in the nation's history. When the Greenbacks went out of circulation in 1873, it created an economic catastrophe out here in the heartland. Trust me on this--my forebears WERE interested in this subject.
In the days when folks still foolishly assumed that our new black president would have to represent Northern Progressivism, Ellen Brown wrote this optimistic letter explaining the genius of Lincoln's Greenbacks.
Friday, April 15, 2011
Finland and the Euro-zone debt crises
Getting to know a culture through her intelligentsia may not be the best way to understand that culture but it most certainly is a good way. And one I had open to me. And this is what I discovered about Finland.
Finland has certainly been subjected to the neoliberal trends that caused the current global debt crises. Example--a man I knew who was a member of the Communist Party and could defend the teachings of Marx as a university student in the 1970s was writing a book on Adam Smith in 2005. But neoliberal trendiness aside, Finland has a long history of treating debt VERY seriously. Finland has the distinction of being the only country on the planet to pay off her WW I-era debt and when the Soviet Union demanded reparations to remain independent after WW II, the women of the country melted down their wedding rings to help meet the payments. This is NOT a culture predisposed to be frivolous about debt.
The Finns are also incredibly hard-working in a country that has only water, rocks, and trees as natural resources and clings to an existence at the edge of nowhere. For example, when the borders moved at the end of WW II, Finland found itself swamped with at least 400,000 refugees from Soviet Karelia. Because of the economic crises, Finland needed to harvest some of her forests but could not afford chain saws. So many of those Karelian refugees were put to work cutting pulpwood with axes.
So there you have it--a country with the world's best schools and a work ethic that a good Protestant would find positively erotic, harboring a hatred of debt that burns like a 1000 suns and guess what, the Finns do not have the debt problems of a Greece or Spain. But this doesn't get them off the hook because they drank enough of the kool aid to convert to the Euro in 1999. So instead of being forced to reduce their living standards because of debt, they are being forced to lower their living standards to pay for the bailouts of others in debt--mostly because they have accumulated enough wealth to attract the attention of the banksters.
Not surprisingly, folks are PISSED!