Monday, November 11, 2013

The latest climate change "hoax" roars through the Philippines

I have a rule about commenting on extreme weather events—they must be record-breakers.  This time, the record in question is: What are the maximum recorded winds of a storm at landfall?  This seems to have been broken.  Unfortunately, the human toll and damage to the life-support systems of the country have probably suffered record damage as well.

Typhoon Haiyan swept ashore in the Philippines on Friday Nov 8 at 4:30 am local time packing winds in the neighborhood of 200 mph (320 kph, 90 meters per second).  To a landlubber like me, such a storm is almost incomprehensible.  We have tornadoes here in the American midwest and while I have been lucky enough to have never seen one in action, I do know about the sorts of damage they can cause—especially the big ones.  A force 4 monster leveled one of the little towns I lived in as a child—just reduced it to splinters.

Here's the deal.  The arbitrary line between a force 4 and 5 tornado is windspeeds of 200 mph.  So Typhoon Haiyan was as destructive as a force 4 tornado (think Joplin Missouri or Moore Oklahoma.)  But here's the difference—a very large tornado is only a couple of miles wide.  You can be in the center of the destructive path and yet be a few-minute walk to somewhere where the water systems work, the electricity is on, and the roofs still keep out the weather.  Rescue efforts can begin almost immediately.  By contrast, Typhoon Haiyan laid down a path of force 4 tornado destruction almost 300 miles wide.  It will be weeks before we even know how many people were killed and years before things can be rebuilt to anything like it was pre-storm.

Death, hunger and looting: Typhoon-ravaged Philippines declares state of national calamity

November 12, 2013

In the wake of Typhoon Haiyan, which left thousands dead and many more displaced and survivors battling for survival amid devastation and chaos, the Philippines has declared a state of national calamity to help restore order to the reeling nation.

In a primetime television speech delivered Monday, President Benigno Aquino said: "We declare a state of national calamity to hasten the action of the government to rescue, provide help and rehabilitate the provinces affected by [Haiyan]."

The declaration will also help the government control the prices of staple goods, with many in the country reduced to begging for food and water. Aquino called for patience as the scope of the damage frustrated efforts to coordinate relief operations.

“The extent of the devastation brought us back to a situation where information was passed on from one person to another. There was no television, radio and internet,” he said.

Noting how the devastation reduced people to word-of-mouth communication, Aquino vowed help would arrive in the coming days.

"My message: Staying calm, prayer, and helping each other are what will lift us from this challenge," he said.

This aerial photo shows flattened houses in the city of Tacloban, Leyte province, in the central Philippines on November 11, 2013, only days after Super Typhoon Haiyan devastated the town on November 8. (AFP Photo/Ted Aljibe)
Counting the dead, accounting for the missing

Three days after the typhoon made landfall, authorities are struggling to come to grips with the aftermath of one of the strongest typhoons ever recorded.

Forty-one of the country’s 80 provinces were affected, with Secretary to the Cabinet Rene Almendras saying that in the worst affected areas, the destruction had been “total.”

An estimated 10,000 people are believed to have been killed in Tacloban – a city of over 200,000 southeast of the capital, Manila – which bore the brunt of the storm. Flattened by massive waves and battered by winds reaching speeds up to 235 miles an hour, Tacloban remains littered by the dead, some covered with tarps, others left lying out in the open with looks of horror reportedly etched on their faces. The United Nations said officials in Tacloban had seen one mass grave of 300 to 500 bodies, Reuters reported. Relief workers fear that ground water may be contaminated by decaying bodies, and fears are growing of a massive public health crisis.

The city has also been gripped by looting, with authorities dispatching police and military reinforcements to restore order. A Philippine Red Cross truck carrying medical supplies was reportedly attacked while heading to the city. Manila has said it will not hesitate in deploying more police officers if necessary. Locals have already reportedly formed local militias and have promised to shoot looters to protect their property.

So far, Tacloban is relying almost entirely for supplies and evacuation on just three military transport planes flying from nearby Cebu. Aquino said 24,000 family food packs had been distributed in Tacloban on Sunday, while 18.7 billion pesos ($430 million) had been set aside from calamity funds, contingency funds, and savings for places hit by Haiyan. He said 22 foreign countries had provided aid.

Around 2,000 people, meanwhile, remain missing in the seaside town of Basely alone, which is located about 10 kilometers across a bay from Tacloban. Other coastal areas caught on Haiyan's path are likely to have suffered similar levels of destruction, though efforts to survey the damage or make a full account of the dead have been severely dampened.

The country’s government has so far confirmed 1,744 deaths.

Both the official and unofficial death tolls are likely climb once officials reach more remote areas. Guiuan, a town of 40,000 in eastern Samar province, was largely decimated, although it does not figure into the casualty tabulations.

"The only reason why we have no reports of casualties up to now is that communications systems ... are down," Colonel John Sanchez posted on the Philippines Armed Forces’ Facebook page, Reuters reported.

Farther west on the on the islands of Cebu and Panay, which also suffered direct hits from the typhoon, authorities have been hampered in their ability to assess the devastation.

Overall, more than 600,000 people were displaced by the storm across the country, with some lacking access to basic amenities such as food, water or medicine, the UN says.

This aerial photo shows destroyed houses along the water in the town of Guiuan in Eastern Samar province in the central Philippines on November 11, 2013 only days after Super Typhoon Haiyan devastated the town on November 8. (AFP Photo/Ted Aljibe)
Massively disrupted transportation and communications links have equally affected the ability for authorities to recover the dead and deliver relief to affected areas. Thirty provinces remain without electricity, and around half that number are having problems with phone and Internet connections. Although telecommunication firms believe service should be restored within days, restoring the national power grid in its entirety could take up to two months.

The US is sending an aircraft carrier in order to bolster the relief efforts, the Pentagon confirmed Monday. The nuclear-powered USS George Washington carries 5,000 sailors and more than 80 aircraft.

Meanwhile, Russia is dispatching a mobile hospital and rescue workers to the Philippines.

President Aquino said 21 other countries had provided aid, including Indonesia, the UK, Japan, Singapore, New Zealand and Hungary. more

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